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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22145818 ~ Sold for 60 keys pure which was 3.2 buds at that point of time.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22644728 was sold for the T-watt Reggaelator shown in http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23033983 ~ 4.2 *0.9 = 3.8 buds OUTLIER
The T-watt Samur-eye and the strange pink Veil in http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22423686 was sold for the Tyrant's shown in http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22347140 ~ 4.3 buds OUTLIER
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21604903 ~ Sold for 43 keys pure = 2.3 buds at that time WENT REALLY QUICK
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21562967 was sold for the GE Elfin's shown in http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21581801 ~ 3.2 * 0.9 = 2.9 buds but the B/O was 2.5 buds and shown here http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21461945 shows it took 5 days to sell the unusual.
The Samur-eye in http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21639443 was sold for a DBD Jefe shown in http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/21252402 ~ 4.6 * 0.9 = 4.1 buds OUTLIER
You must be thinking why the 3.8, 4.1 and 4.3 sales are outliers.
BECAUSE OF CURRENT MARKET STATUS
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23018017 ~ selling for 3.5 buds AND YET unsold for 2 weeks as shown in past trades
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22846294 ~ selling for 51 keys which is about 3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23003198 ~ selling for 3.1 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23112633 ~ selling for 3 buds
Feel free to counter or support my proofs, of course.
The three sales "higher" than 3.2 are the TW reggae, MN tyrants, and DBD jefe. All are probably inflated in value. Sales in and under your range include 2 pure sales and the GE elfin.