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After being able to sell for 10 refs, I did revise current situation at the market. Her is my conclusions.
PROOF SECTION
Sellers
11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23219763
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389611
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23329865
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23253842
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23348443
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23376710
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23331964
10.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23376225 // has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23089551
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23369584
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22855613
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23355384
10
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1075784 // has solds
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1078051 // has solds
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1080015 // has solds
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1083767
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1082434
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1082671
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1080955
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1083585
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1082325
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1079287
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23360304 // has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23344506 // has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23342395 // has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23329018 // has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23369391 // has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23378150 // has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23026011 // probably has solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357769 // green tick
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23375549
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23352765
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23118716
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23358935
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23372257
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23029389
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23375526
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23375453
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23362812
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373566
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23376708
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23352775
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23371639
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23306620
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23381072
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23343485
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23379381
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23361470
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23380397
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23372888
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23355266
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23286356
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23293405
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23381657
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23369180
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373683
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370111
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382160
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23356862
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373465
9.88
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1083882
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23061843 // has green tick, not sure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23204360 // has some solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23340722
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23374947
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23303992
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23380095
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373558
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23344223
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23380173
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382142
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23380456
9.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317645 // has green tick
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23321922 // has green tick
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23377978
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389879
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23293608
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23365864
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23379681
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23378938
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23363475
9.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23360080
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357789
9.55
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23374554
Solds
11
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23069261
10.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23375246
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23384473
10
http://s9.postimg.org/mx50im7hb/Untitled.png // My solds
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1082944
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1076468
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23304015 // sells some more
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23350208 // sells some more
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23311384
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23359878
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23361214
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23371740
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23350630
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23334037
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23236626
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23367881
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23374654
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23377896
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23175757
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23250599
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23233702
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23338836
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23178018 // 1 week old
9.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23126549
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317854
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23350342
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23343624
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22972288
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22891308
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22633231
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23259665
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23366903 // 1 got sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23063916 // 2 weeks old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382647 // sells some more
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23247525 // sells some more
9.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23353815
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23376622
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23344579
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23328098
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23369187 // 1 got sold
9.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23360251
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370941
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23368441
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357876
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23384029
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23337599
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389972
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23378889
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370897
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23381609
9.55
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23306910
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23371388
9.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382305
bp.tf price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23362484
Unsolds
10
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23170143 // 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23223834 // 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23313912 // 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23369298 // closed
9.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23378525 // closed
9.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23105584 // irregulary bumped
══════════════════════════════════════════════════
SUPPORT PROOF SECTION
BUY REQUESTS
9.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23200328 // has green tick
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23377203 // has green tick
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20867153 // has green tick
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23368709 // closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22987505 // closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23084671 // closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382902 // closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382753 // closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23368651 // closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23363254
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23291326
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382904
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357210
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23356848
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23228680
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23074435
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22987993
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23351496
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23365606
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357191
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23374963
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23367141
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23364852
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23368696
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373499
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23330172
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23325771
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23352606
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23270869
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23192419
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22579962
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23288392
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23359402
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23213029
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23360753
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23352386
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23340005
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23339098
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23336008
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23333695
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23191373
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22967946
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22667531
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22449774
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23254069
9.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22440951 // has green tick
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19200400 // has green tick, old thread
BOTTOM LINE
══════════════════════════════════════════════════
» Proof covers 1 day in outpost and auto-trades in bazaar.
» Tons of sellers asking for 10 refined
» Tons of buyers asking for 9.66
» As demanded currency, it has it's extremes in both directions
» Tons of solds in 9.66-10ref range.
» Key rise will not crash economy as demand will decline and this will eventually go down.
» Demand combined with hype made it possible
√ Suggested range 9.66-10 refined per key
why did you put unsolds in anyway?
It was not my main focus, that was addition - these are rare cases... If you believe they're irrelevant, you might focus on solds, sellers, buy request sections. I posted some solds/sellers that does not support my range, this was also an adition.
Unsolds isnt needed for raising, you could be counter-proving yourself. jus sayin'
This would be quite a weak counter-proof of me :D It is high-end range, it might be normal if some sellers got unsolds. Either they are inactive, or bumped badly - who knows.
After consideration, I revised my proof and come up with some changes. Please see below. This appears to be more valid as some of previous links might not be convincing
Solds
10
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1075784
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1078051
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1080015
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23358935 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23352775 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23379381 // no key, appears to be sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373683 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23395827 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23375549 // has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23371639 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23381072 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382160 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23329018 // has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23378150 // has some refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357769 // has some refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23350208 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23311384 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23371740 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23367881 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23374654 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23175757 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23250599 // has comments,
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23338836 // refs in bp
9.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317854 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382647 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22972288 // refs in bp, comments
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23126549 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22891308 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317854 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382647 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23247525 // has comment
I've got my lesson and I believe i owe [F2P] Mr.Giang · an apology xD
Again, I acknowledge my fault after revising my links recently. Some of them might be unconvincing. I will try to improve their quality in future.
According to solds, still keeping this under consideration.
Well shit, keys are soon to be 10 ref
Shouldn't there be a cooldown in effect?
Cooldown doesn't apply for such large rises, also cooldown is around 3 days.
Oh okay, thanks, I just thought it was a bit odd to see a key suggestion so early
Keen for the big 10 boiz!
R.I.P. Refined. What happened with the keys?
Stop make higher prices for keys.
Well, backpack.tf as well as other 'price guidelines' sites don't making price, they just represent it. Price for any item here made by people who willing to pay it, and who paid it already.
The solds section isn't fair proof!!! So many of the solds are either sales still open where no one has commented (doesn't count as solds), closed sales where no one has commented or added (doesn't mean its done and sold for that price, just means he closed the sale without anything happening- in this way someone can put up a price for 20 ref, close it, and you could use it for proof) or just put up with random unrelated comments (still doesn't mean its sold at the sellers price!)
This means the solds section, which is very important to price change isn't accurate!
eg. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23343624 This was the fourth down in the solds for 9.88 in your suggestion. There is no comments or anything in the trade, just someone putting it up for sale without any actual selling success!! Many more of your solds proof is like this!
This is an ACTUAL sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/20867153
people actually replied like, added, or I need to buy 3 for your price etc.
well, every piece market as sold has it mark on "item history". Not all people make mutual acceptance, and key sales do occur. Whenever possible I tried to mention if selling still happens "has some solds" or "sell more". My intentions was no way to mislead anyone. Sorry if you felt like that and thanks for feedback.
U are doing the same thing again. Including those selling in your proof so that your proof looks more convincing. Plz remove those selling link
Listing sellers is a good thing for others to see, how fast they sell. There is not other meaning of it whatsoever, maybe scroll down and check some other links, i doubt you did check them all by this time you posted this here ;)
I read the whole proof before I commented. Selling links has no use but to distract others. Btw some links in the sold section are not really sold
That's why there is sections. More proof can be used to help people get better understanding of demand/supply ratios. You are supposed to check proof not to vote on random. So are you selling that sellers are irrelevant addition to proof or what's your concern?
Im still frequently buying keys at 9.55 ref i took down my trade on outpost because i wanted to save my ref until keys went down in price again
*added some proof of 9.55
[IMG][url=http://i922.photobucket.com/albums/ad61/juan248/key2.png]http://i922.photobucket.com/albums/ad61/juan248/key2.png[/IMG][/URL]
[IMG][url=http://i922.photobucket.com/albums/ad61/juan248/key3.png]http://i922.photobucket.com/albums/ad61/juan248/key3.png[/IMG][/URL]
[IMG][url=http://i922.photobucket.com/albums/ad61/juan248/keys1.png]http://i922.photobucket.com/albums/ad61/juan248/keys1.png[/IMG][/URL]
hopefully
It's going to be pretty difficult to buy keys at that price now, they sold within seconds at 9.33-9.55 in the last two days, but yeah, I'm also trying to save.
watch valve troll us and have another update like the bread and everyone will end up dumping their keys for ref.
I'm banking on that, I cant bring myself to pay 9.66 ref for a single key :/ Although from valves perspective there's no reason for them to want to stop the devaluation of ref, as it drives more people to buy keys directly and give them money
sigh not letting me edit these are correct links
http://s922.photobucket.com/user/juan248/media/keys1.png.html?filters[user]=102100718&filters[recent]=1&sort=1&o=1
http://s922.photobucket.com/user/juan248/media/key3.png.html?filters[user]=102100718&filters[recent]=1&sort=1&o=1
http://s922.photobucket.com/user/juan248/media/key2.png.html?sort=3&o=2
http://s922.photobucket.com/user/juan248/media/key4.png.html?filters[user]=102100718&filters[recent]=1&sort=1&o=0
NO just NO I dont care about the proof this is just crap
The keys go up every 2-3 days leave them be for like 2-3 weeks dam
The keys will be a bud and the bud will be a key very soon dam
P.s. Hate me now!!!
Don't hate backpack.tf, hate the economy.
I dont hate bp.tf I use it every day!!!
9 ref on the keys
stop buying keys until to reduced the price
one cannot simply manipulate the economy like that.
He is not alone つ ◕_◕ ༽つ
Keys won't go down just because we want them to. Like he said in his suggestion, "Demand combined with hype made this possible."
I suggest you read this before saying anything about key prices: http://tf2finance.com/2013_03/
Good thing I'm getting out of the trading soon.
O_______________O
Inb4 Buds Priced at 15 keys :O, Upvote by me :)
Im down with the sickness. Upvote based on sales ive done as well. Though i think a flat 10 ref pricing would do more justice to the suggestion. The ones sold ubder 10 are a but of quicksells if you ask me.
its buyers fault,they buying keys for high prices,then crying why keys price is insane..
I remember a time when keys where not even 8 ref...them days ended to soon >.<
Upvote...
I remember 2,66 ref as a key price. Then this bullshit started. Anyway upvote, good proof.
Yeah, anyway hopefully this huge over-pricing thing with keys will go away soon, I'm sick of items worth a key or more going up because of the keys going up...
I think backpack.tf should introduce a new cool down rule on key
I would assume it won't change much. People were to sell and buy for higher price before this suggestion.
Only question is - do we resemble current economy AS IS or we use other means to regulate the market.
But, as I've heard before, we're not here to regulate but to display current economy patterns.
Both hype and demand won't last forever, believing this would somehow destroy economy (I belive) is a myth. I have tons of ref that I personally don't bother to sell, although value will drop for a short period of time
I think the current suggestions(suggestions in this week) of keys are frightening people. Therefore, people are desperate to buy whatever the price is and this drives the price of keys even higher. When they buy keys at higher price, suggestion can be made to raise the price of keys. A vicious circle is then formed. With a new cool down rule, I hope people can really understand the market change instead of being panic
I think somehow u are right. This bubble sooner or later will burst. It is just a matter of time for the people to realise the real change
Yeah. Then will come one day, when Christmas season will be over (or faster) when people just stop bother to buy keys. What will do sellers? Either they wait until next Christmas/Haloween (:D) or they will lower their price.
Waiting that day to come and see those resellers lose tons of money
People have been saying that for years, fact is keys cost money and metal is free (you play you get) so you have a fixed currency and one which fluctuates to match that fixed currency. Key haven't changed at all it's actually metal depreciating in price keys are still 1.85-1.9 paypal and 2.5usd from the store and have been for ages.
Only reason keys have jumped in price is because of halloween where everyone stocks up on keys to try unbox a special effect
I understand and agree with u. However, what I mean is that the price of keys drop a little bit to 9.33 ref after some time or may be increase afterward. I am not saying that the keys drop to 1 ref
In order for that to happen valve needs to give metal a purpose, something useful for metal to do (eg bread box which made keys drop slightly) atm as it stands metal is useless, craft = loss, it isnt accepted as currency in any other economy other than in tf2 and it's too easy for people to get metal.
Actually Valve has all means of changing anything they want. They did rise key / tools price (wallet money). Any update they come up with might sort things in different direction. I think everything is pretty under control of theirs.
We're just distributing part of their changes and these changes constantly demands to "fit" which may be difficult for some individuals and may seem confusing.
Whilst i agree that valve controls everything eg the breadbox update which made everyone sell off keys and craft which purged a lot of metal and slowed the increase of keys, metal is still never the less useless and hold no purpose other than to buy keys.
Unfortunately valve cannot screw around with the tf2 market too much as tf2 is the "central" market where most of our currency is used in practically all other economies and is the only widely accepted currency to buy games, they probs wont want to screw around with that.
actually refined is not as worthless as it seems. You can buy quite much of low-end items for cheap prices with it and sell on SCM. I do agree they will not mess around to destabilize the market. Thanks for feedback, you gave great points of economy to reconsider (at least for me) ;)
this is crazy raise
upvote base on good proof!
Guys,Guys.
#RoadTo20Ref
(Upvote,Great proof)
OMG! 1 month ago key cost 7,66 ref.. now probably will be cost 10 ref! It's a crazy, crazy world! =)
Counter
Those are every sales happened in last 13 hours.
Sold for 9
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392688
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389767
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23391250
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23386590
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388787
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23387525
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476486881
Sold for 9.22
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389081
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476479239
Sold for 9.33
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23390013
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23390053
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392986
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392823
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388127
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389384
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23391844
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392239
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23387365
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388403
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23387210
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23387920
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476474019
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476471071
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476463122
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476478696
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476455061
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476448102
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476460367
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476463131
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476461439
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476463322
Sold for 9.55
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392435
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476478928
Sold for 9.66
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23393452
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23390708
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389972
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388073
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23387985
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23391736
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389276
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388274
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23390334
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23386843
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392709
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388631
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392894
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388350
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23386726
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23386624
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392859
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389696
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23391381
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392389
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389578
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389579
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389568
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388620
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388598
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23389440
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476465105
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476470337
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476486230
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476486761
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476469581
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476465602
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476487277
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476449242
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476475319
Sold for 9.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392068
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388497
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23393162
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476465637
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476474635
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476485288
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476463075
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476459654
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476477067
Sold for 10
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23386518
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23386333
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476455144
http://www.trade.tf/trade/476461117
According to the proofs. 10-ref rarely happens while 9.33 - 9.66 is still most common trading point. Downvote.
Almost all your sold's are on 1> hour interval. You also can't ignore huge amount of buy requests for 9.66. And you can't ignore proof i provided. (You actually can, but it won't make your suggestion more legit) Thanks for trying trough ;)
Your investigation also "skips" 10 ref sold's. Cherry picking isn't good thing.
polar once said: "For example, if there are a 100 sales at 1.33 and 1 at 1.66, you wouldn't price it at 1.66 flat even if 1.33 sells in an hour. Similarly, if a buyer can go on the market at any point of time - today, tomorrow, in 2 days - and find at least a few sellers at 1.33, we should inform people that it's easy to buy at 1.33 regardless of how fast sales are happening at 1.33."
Even they sold fast, my proofs do show that 9.33 happens a lot of times, which means 9.33 should not be excluded out of the range. Backpack records the most common trading point, not records "who is buying for highest price".
And as I said, those are every sales in the last 13 hours I can find on trade.tf. If you can find more 10-ref sales in last 13 hours, show them. I'm not cherry-picking proofs here.
You should clarify then what is quicksell and if by your means, this counter-proof does not fit this terminology? (I would like to buy keys for 9.33 from you, if you don't mind ;) )
Read above again. If there are too many sales at 9.33, even they are quick-sales, we should inform users that 9.33 is one of the most common trading point. Counter-proofs here do fit this terminology.
Well, supply is available for 9.66. Everything below is quick-sell. Why? About anyone can buy (and does so) keys for your listed prices and about instantly "cash out" for refs. I believe this is not valid pricing methodology and makes no sense.
According to you, we should "inform" people that it's "fine" to sell below quick-buy price (tons of proof that people buy's for 9.66).
If that's fine by you - congratulations!
I saw this comment "For example, if there are a 100 sales..." many times especially in key suggestions but it also says "if a buyer can go on the market at any point of time - today, tomorrow, in 2 days - and find at least a few sellers at...". But it's difficult to find keys at the low end most of the time. Forget about 2 days, even the day the suggestion was made most of them are sold super fast and it's too difficult to get one for that price. I get confused by this everytime :/
PS: Neutral on both suggestions
And I thought for the longest time that the market for keys would crash before hitting 10 refined. Guess that shows me.
Team Fortress 2: The only hat simulator that can make you feel stupid and poor at the same time.
Keys at 10 ref !!?? My god...
okay so if anybody already see this i posted it on collectors yer suggsetion hope i will get ban and this site will get rekt cuz it suck!!!!!!!!!!
wtf u kidding me didn't u know that tf2outpost is full of lowballers u should look at those trades wihich sell the yer not the one's who buy the yer ... sorry admins ban me i don't give a fuck and this site ruins whole tf2 traiding peaple can't make good prices theirselfs :/ without this site key would still be like 3 ref or something not fucking 9 oh wait it's no even 9 anymore it's almost 10 oh god the price flies i still remember when key was 6 ref i cried about it, but now ... and wtf who made this proof thingy i am dead serious that it sux so hard, u can't find a good trade in tf2outpost only those one's who rly want to buy something to play tf2 and they quicksell their shit for cheap prices and buy other stuff for high prices like i do cuz i am not usual visitor of this site. and dude it's not my problem if u want to buy yer for cheaper price than it is cuz if u wouldn't want to buy it u wouldn't even posted this suggestion! and thx for reading i will enjoy my ban :D I just had to say it before it goes too far ofc ppl won't listen to me but u will understand 1 day what i really ment by saying this shit. and not my problem if u don't want to kill the page cuz of money :o and yeah i also know that i am not the only one who is trying to say this to traders... and btw hats don't give skill.
do you even english?
It is a very good suggestion, has enough proof, and we all want keys to up to 10 ref! Upvote!
How long till this suggestion closes?
Yes vote from me, up up up!
http://prntscr.com/50qmc0
http://prntscr.com/50qmio
http://prntscr.com/50qoee He, overpay for one keys because need one more key for something I guess
http://prntscr.com/50qpd4 - 48keys sold just one person for 480refine and I would show refine but to much refine so can not show all of it
http://prntscr.com/50qpt3
But here my counter proof on it to because I think getting little bit hard buy keys for 9.66refine but I buy lot more for that then sold and post some screen shot too
http://prntscr.com/50qqwh
http://prntscr.com/50qr0o
http://prntscr.com/50qr56
http://prntscr.com/50qrfv
http://prntscr.com/50qrjd
http://prntscr.com/50qrs5
http://prntscr.com/50qvay
http://prntscr.com/50qvdp
http://prntscr.com/50qvjl
http://prntscr.com/50qvns
http://prntscr.com/50qvns
http://prntscr.com/50qxnj
http://prntscr.com/50qxw5
Sso my point is that not super hard sell it at 10refine but take time sell it and find keys at 9.66refine is getting hard to because toke me a while for me get some keys for that price. I hope this help somebody out with price and everything but I say most time when sell it for 10refine somebody that buying alot of keys at once and come to me because I have more then enough for all there refine ^-^
Upvote, I put a 10ref key for sale and got three adds within the span of a minute.
Well, I've got a 10 ref key for sale for a few days now and I haven't gotten one add or trade offer. I also created an offer on tf2outpost, still nothing. So your argument is kinda invalid.
You created your listing 8 hours ago and no bump so far. I guess it's just normal to not get instant answer for high-end price range.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23393758
Don't you worry about my bumping, I've been doing so, but I've just given up. I've been doing some business with keys these days and the realistic price is currently 9.66. 9.33 are sold way too quickly (hell, it's a good price for merchandising), implying that this is a low-end price. I've sold 1 key at 10 ref and that was before I've put it up for this price, I don't really know why someone offered more than I had asked. 10 ref is currently too high, sorry, even though I've given you an upvote (kinda hypocritical, but I like to see my keys being worth more).
Revised Solds (Updated 29.10.2014)
10
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1082944
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1076468
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1075784
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1078051
http://bazaar.tf/trade/1080015
http://s9.postimg.org/mx50im7hb/Untitled.png
http://prntscr.com/50qmc0 // 8 keys
http://prntscr.com/50qmio // 1 keys
http://prntscr.com/50qpt3 // 2 keys
http://prntscr.com/50qqwh // 4 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23358935 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23310890 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23392389 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23322752 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370111 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23352775 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23379381 // no key, appears to be sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23373683 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23395827 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23375549 // has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23371639 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23381072 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382160 // has refs / no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23329018 // has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23378150 // has some refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357769 // has some refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23350208 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23311384 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23371740 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23367881 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23374654 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23175757 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23250599 // has comments,
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23338836 // refs in bp
9.88
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317854 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382647 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22972288 // refs in bp, comments
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23126549 // refs in bp, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/22891308 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317854 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382647 // refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23247525 // has comment
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23292271 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23382647 // multiple solds (item history), has refs
9.77
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23353815 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23369187 // 1 key history, refs in bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23317724 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370362 // no keys, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370851 // second key sold (history), has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23388966 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23344579 // item history, has refs, has comment - green tick
9.66
http://prntscr.com/50qrfv // 7 keys
http://prntscr.com/50qvdp // 9 keys
http://prntscr.com/50qrjd
http://prntscr.com/50qvay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23370941 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23368441 // item history, has refs, no keys
9
http://prntscr.com/50qr56
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23357876 // second key history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23384029 // item history, has refs
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23337599 // item history, has refs, no keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23378889 // item history, has refs
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I believe this is quite amount of solds to reconsider 10 refs as upper range, thanks to all who contributed.
how many of those links were posted already?
But think going be not pick one and sit back and see what happens because like said it show that buy it for 9.66refine but becoming alot lower and I sold alot of keys at 10refine too! ^-^ oh sorry for my bad english it just that have probelm writing because disable in language arts
THE RIDE NEVER ENDS.
Yes, 10REF here we go!