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Alright, lets do it again...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24138230 2.33 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24347950 2.11 Ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24238777 2.33 Ref
The demand of these are low so that explains the lack of more evidence
1st link http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24604975
still loads of sellers at 2 ref though
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24702044
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24687037
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24708451
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24667209
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24553834
which is why 2 ref is still in the range
first link never sold so you only have 1 valid sale at 2.33
1st link seem unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24744627 sold for 2.66 Refined
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24238777 Sold for 2.33 refined