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~167 keys
scorch
Unusual Dread Hiding Hood Scorching Flames
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Maybe.


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24730786

Duped Secret TC 1V1

(Mini: http://pastebin.com/WWx70pX8 )


50 buds -- Overpay factored


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/23862327

Added a Scorching AA + GE Fed + Pro Aussie Sniper + Pro Aussie Rocket to the hood for a clean secret TC.

(Mini: http://pastebin.com/cxxLUFNL )


52 - 10 - 6 - 4 - 6 =


25.5 buds Outlier


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24743095

Hellfire Antlers 1V1 + little stuff, rounding to 35 for sake of pricing.


35 buds -- Overpay Factored


Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24221339 (70-80, barely any offers in a month, highest offer was ~40 which would have been ~35 with overpay )


Other Sales:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24163424 Sold along with the cone for a duped burning hazmat. (I died a little bit when I saw this, this values the dread well under 40)

    that range looks too wide

      25.5 and 35 are a lot closer together than 35 and 50.


      Also the current range of 28-30 is only a tad over 25.5 and within 20% of 35.


      Why is the 50 not an outlier?

      Because the 50 looks like the outlier.

        current range is outdated so not so cozy

          its crazy to tell me that a variance of 9.5 buds is an outlier, but the variance of 15 buds is correct.

            no, the current range is 28-30 :| not sure why you're pulling in the difference between 25.5-35 into this conversation

              because there are 3 sales


              the 'outlier' is being picked as the one that is closer to the middle sale.


              that makes no sense.

          Offers of 40, 25 is obviously too low,

            35 after overpay, and it doesn't even seem to truly be a current offer (given that its hidden)


            Also lets take into account that this is his best offer in a month.


            Why is 50 in the range?

              35 after overpay, declined a month ago, no offers since.

              Not convinced


              So what are you thinking? 25 - 35, even though anyone in their right mind would pay 25 for this in a heartbeat?

        Wheres the mini for the duped Secret TC, clean Secret TC, Scorching AA, GE Fed Fighting, and pro weapons?

          Links were broken, I'll get started on the other ones. Didn't think I'd need one considering it's so easy to validate the prices of the other, smaller hats especially on sales this large.

            If its easy to validate the prices then please do so, it's your job as the suggestor to provide these minis in ALL cases where a duped hat over 3 buds is involved, professional weapons are involved, or anything with an existing price that is over 3 months old.

          why did the guy take hellfire antlers instead of 50 pure?

            The guy never had 50 pure.

              he has 48. it's not a big stretch to think he could get 2 more.

              miscounted

                He has 38.

                Looks like it was faked to tell you the truth. I've checked his other backpacks because he has a few valuable CSGO items. None came from the new owner. I would take 50 pure over a hellfire antlers anyday.

            Hmm so a clean secret tc is 52 buds and a duped one 50 buds? Eh.

              I have minis for a lot of tcs in my duped hats thread, but sadly not for the secret tc. Not enough here. Even the clean secret tc price is 11 months old. 52 is likely low for that right now.