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Moar Pyro hats.
First time suggesting a brand new price, let's see how this goes.
Sale 1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24268391 Sold with Glory Ketche + Aussy Knife + SF SKS Amby + 4 keys of sweets for C. Moon Drill
B/O for Amby was 7 keys
B/O for Knife was 2 buds 5 keys
B/O for Wraps and Conga was 1 key ea.
B/O for Guad was 6 buds
B/O for Ketche was 4 buds
B/O for Drill was 9.5 buds
Guad was offered on Drill
X + 0.3 + 0.5 + 2 + 2.8 = 9.5
X = 3.9
Guad http://backpack.tf/item/3277974979
Everything Else http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049343537?time=1422797710#page1
Drill http://backpack.tf/item/556262454
Sale 2
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24493137 Sold with 7 keys of sweets for C. Moon Cone
B/O for Cone was 4.5
B/O for Guad was 5
Guad was offered on Cone
X + 0.5 = 4.3
X = 3.8
Guad http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,3375888276,247,5 (Was not scanned by backpack.tf)
Cone http://backpack.tf/item/3283766053
Sale 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24199147 Sold for MN Cosa + 2 buds pure + Lots of Sweets http://prntscr.com/620h0l
X = 1.8*0.9 + 2 + 0.1 + 0.5*0.9
X = 4.2
Guad http://backpack.tf/item/3277974979
Cosa http://backpack.tf/item/2232290924
Mini for Machina
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Machina Sold for $16.10 on Dec 16th
$16.10 + $16.10/1.15 = $30.10
30.10/2 = $15.05
Keys were $2.46 on Dec 16th
15.05/2.46 = 6.1 keys
Sale 4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24215990 Sold for 5 pure (The Collecting Offer actually went through)
X = 5
Guad http://backpack.tf/item/3277974979
3 of the buds http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049369308?time=1420185600#page3
Last bud http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049369308?time=1420185600#page2
Keys http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049369308?time=1420185600#page5
HUGE shout out to Sugarcube! (Again) That guy is insane when it comes to these kinds of things.
No you don't. It's barely outdated.
+ The B/O was less than current price.
The price is fine.