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~210 keys
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Unusual Hat of Cards Aces High
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Current seller on OP supports the reason why higher sales are possible outliers.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24952260


#1 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24547508 Sold for 5 buds, B/O was 4.75 buds (~4.8)


#2 Sold for Fountain Squaredance 5.5*0.9 = ~5 buds

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001300729?time=1416556800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001300729?time=1416643200


#3 Sold for Aces KE 5.6*0.9 = ~5 buds

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065294126?time=1416816000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065294126?time=1416902400

KE mini | Sold for Stormy KE 6.25*0.9 = 5.6 buds

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1419062400

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1419148800


Solds by aaroncsn

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24191309 Sold for 4 buds pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24725458 Sold for Misty Skull Backbiter's Billycock(3.5 buds) + Strange Festive Stickybomb Launcher(12 keys). Making this ~4.3 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25130128 Sold for 60 keys pure(~5 buds)

    looking by the comments,the buyer of the HoC was interested the day it was posted up for trade http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24191309


    sales are 4, 4.3 , 4.8 (pure), 5 , 5 , 5 (pure)

    i'd go with 4.8-5


    edit: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24952260 has a collecting offer of 4 buds + 10 keys if anything

      that's not what aaron would say. http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54d59a01ba8d88c6738b4631

      I always appreciate ur help in my sgts but this is confusing me

      he also said "I would probably go for 4-5 buds to capture all the data points of sales in the past 2 months."

        it's just my 2 cents. obviously the market is leaning more to 5~ than to 4.


        what do you think tho ? are you agreeing to him just because he's a mod or you got the same opinion since he posted the extra proof ?

          i agree since what he said was what i was thinking, and the extra proof supports the price

            well i disagree

            and i tend to counter when i disagree :-/


            i'd let it slide if the extra proof didn't include a pure sale at 5,and if the current seller didn't get offered 4.8

              U can counter me, and state ur reason. lets see wat other mods decide. :D

                i like your attitude. other guys wouldn't be sure in their own opinion by this point and would resuggest and/or would bitch that i shouldn't counter

                  haha thanks, and when your counter is accepted, i learn a lesson :3

                    ^^ if you decide at any time to resuggest tho,just say and i'll close it