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Current seller on OP supports the reason why higher sales are possible outliers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24952260
#1 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24547508 Sold for 5 buds, B/O was 4.75 buds (~4.8)
#2 Sold for Fountain Squaredance 5.5*0.9 = ~5 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001300729?time=1416556800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001300729?time=1416643200
#3 Sold for Aces KE 5.6*0.9 = ~5 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065294126?time=1416816000
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065294126?time=1416902400
KE mini | Sold for Stormy KE 6.25*0.9 = 5.6 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1419062400
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112281935?time=1419148800
Solds by aaroncsn
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24191309 Sold for 4 buds pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24725458 Sold for Misty Skull Backbiter's Billycock(3.5 buds) + Strange Festive Stickybomb Launcher(12 keys). Making this ~4.3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25130128 Sold for 60 keys pure(~5 buds)
looking by the comments,the buyer of the HoC was interested the day it was posted up for trade http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24191309
sales are 4, 4.3 , 4.8 (pure), 5 , 5 , 5 (pure)
i'd go with 4.8-5
edit: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24952260 has a collecting offer of 4 buds + 10 keys if anything
that's not what aaron would say. http://backpack.tf/vote/id/54d59a01ba8d88c6738b4631
I always appreciate ur help in my sgts but this is confusing me
he also said "I would probably go for 4-5 buds to capture all the data points of sales in the past 2 months."
it's just my 2 cents. obviously the market is leaning more to 5~ than to 4.
what do you think tho ? are you agreeing to him just because he's a mod or you got the same opinion since he posted the extra proof ?
i agree since what he said was what i was thinking, and the extra proof supports the price
well i disagree
and i tend to counter when i disagree :-/
i'd let it slide if the extra proof didn't include a pure sale at 5,and if the current seller didn't get offered 4.8
U can counter me, and state ur reason. lets see wat other mods decide. :D
i like your attitude. other guys wouldn't be sure in their own opinion by this point and would resuggest and/or would bitch that i shouldn't counter
haha thanks, and when your counter is accepted, i learn a lesson :3
^^ if you decide at any time to resuggest tho,just say and i'll close it
Okay, thanks man :)