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Selling:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25676583 - b/o: 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25581794 - b/o: 20 keys
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/24313904 - sold for miami tossle = 33 x 0.9 = 30 keys
your sale looks like an outlier with the 2 b/os
Due to your two sellers that are selling for 20 keys and 22 keys, it seems as if the Miami Tossle sale is an outlier.
Also, B/O was 18 keys here - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25373629
EDIT: Another B/O of 18 keys (buds were 6 keys) - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25624880
I'd resuggest @ 18.