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Yay! All of these have sold recently! Well, except one thats 74 days old but still recent!
Proof:
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26160823 (70 keys)
Solds:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087980734?time=1433767584 (sold for a stormy storm noble nickel + circling hearts fez ~ 36 keys)
Mini for nickel:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114144063?time=1432349722 (sold for a TW cannonball ~ 24) x0.9= 22 keys
That means 22 + 36 = 58x0.9 = 52 keys. Just below low end
Sale #2:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109845291?time=1432129899 (outdated but sold for about 2 unusuals equalling to 50 keys + 9 keys) = 59 but outlier since outdated
Sale #3:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069257911?time=1432899766 (sold with a stormy storm le ~ 11 + spec ks v luger ~ 6 for a planets crone ~ 42)
So thats 42-17 = 25 x0.9= 23 keys.... Outlier?
Sale #4:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071200743?time=1432421737 (sold with the stormy le ~ 11 + the luger ~ 6 for a stormy storm killers exclusive ~ 67) 67-17 = 40 x0.9= 36 keys
The seller has lowered his buyout to 60 Keys pure: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26258281
Sale #1's Fez is duped, therefore, a mini is needed.
Credits to Jacobmeister:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086056239?time=1431586800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086056239?time=1431673200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25961593 - trade was really quick but it looks like it sold for peace tyrantium? ( http://backpack.tf/item/2905673698 ) 27 * 0.9 = ~24
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063845409?time=1429081200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063845409?time=1430377200
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/25763190 - g. pro ks awp + s. pro ks market gardener (both total ~14 keys looking at SCM) + 7 keys worth of pure = 21 keys
Can't track any more sales - taking 21-24
So therefore, after overpay, the Hearts Fez would be 20 Keys. Total amount of that sale would be 44 Keys.
Sale #2's Vivid Fruit Shoot is duped.
Mini on the Vivid Fruit:
Sold for C9 Jumper's Jeepcap ~20 Keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085041484?time=1433401200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085041484?time=1433546645
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/55381fdcb98d88fc2c8b5cad
Blizz Toy Soldier should still be around 18. ~18
Not to forget, he also added a Festive Minigun.
Altogether would be 48 Keys.
Sale #4 should not calculate overpay on the KE. The overpay should be calculated on the other side.
So, Stormy Storm KE (63 Keys) - Stormy Inspecteur (10 Keys) - Spec. KS V. Luger (7 Keys) -Sweets (7 Keys) ~39 Keys
Would round up 39 to 40 and make a range at 40-48 Keys instead.
y do u stalk me