Price Suggestion
Purple Energy Rotation Sensation
Submitted by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes)
89.08%
n/a
180–200 keys
14
~187 keys
p.nrg
Unusual Rotation Sensation Purple Energy
155 votes up
19 votes down
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Comments

"Dont gamble on your energy: SNAKE EYEEESSSS"


~~~~ Requested by (NT) Plumperkins ~~~~

I still remember the first burning one of these got offered a beams pullover. By now, theres like 15 of em and ~18 PE ones


The sales


Sale 1:


Sold for MG brainiac (~198)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26941748 [seems to have been offered higher?]

B:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1441782000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1441868400 after


S:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036255543?time=1441763671 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036255543?time=1441868400 after

Other hats/keys dont match in any way. Keys in Mayor's backpack seem to have been used to buy ref with


0.9*198 = ~180


-> 180 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 2:


Sold for duped beams beak (~235) + DaD madden (~39) + aussie medgun (~30)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1441868400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050785450?time=1441954800 after


mini sale 2

Mini duped beak:

Sold for beams yellow belt (~190) + peace bonkboy (~45)

Bonk is outdated ~55 but has sellers 45

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27092876

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069892390?time=1444028400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069892390?time=1444114800 after

190+45 = ~235

Taking 235


0.9*(235+39) +30 = ~270


-> 270 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 3:


Sold for cash, at least ~$360

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27104484 Offered here

Keys go for about 1.80$-1.85$ each if Im correct, putting this sale at roughly 200 keys


-> 200 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 4:


Sold for duped scorching tyrants helm (~200)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061420228?time=1442300400 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061420228?time=1442386800 after


To clarify, it was first involved in a 2:1 for a duped beams Jefe here:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995847615?time=1442444677 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995847615?time=1442473200 after

Kwerty resold it for the tyrants from the looks of it


Mini duped tyrants:

Sold for 170 pure + strange normal pro ks grenade launcher + strange normal professional killstreak stickybomb launcher

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26778306

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1440040832 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053233649?time=1440226800 after

Its tricky to evaluate the strange normals, but it is evident that this will end up above 200. Taking clean value of 200


0.9*200 = ~180


-> 180 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 5:


Sold + 20 keys for duped burning reggae (~190):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27074301

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416?time=1442991600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416?time=1443078000 after


Mini sale5

Mini reggae:

Sold for duped burning company man (~190)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26563526

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037271185?time=1442545772 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037271185?time=1442732400 after


Mini company man:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26914972 unsold 190 for a month

Taking 190


0.9*190 - 20 = ~150


-> 150 keys


======================================================================================================


Sale 6:


Seems to have QSed for ~140?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27106949

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065132511?time=1443078000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065132511?time=1443337200 after

Not sure as the crucial dates are missing, but it sold in a day


======================================================================================================


Sale 7:


Complex sale :

CV prancers + clean secret stash + duped KS hallmark for duped secret bomber + PE rotation

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065132511?time=1443362803 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065132511?time=1443510000 after

Cant really use this


======================================================================================================


So the sales we have are


QS ~140 [not sure]

150

180

180

200

270


Excluding the 270 and 150.

- Avoids stretching the range too far

- Sellers at 250 counter 270 as part of the range

- QS at ~140 ish shows 150 may be low


Making the range 180-200


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3


Avatar Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes) · posted

    ur excluding a sale for no reason?

    ★ gamer · posted

    Ive been working on someting else and have been shown another sale on the company man:

    http://imgur.com/a/sFnQl Total ~240 [Credits to AfricanDrugLord]. This proves the company can sell for more, and would put that sale (~150 in the sugg) to ~190, mid-range supportive

    Avatar Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes) · posted

    Yeah i got it for 130 key + 10 in unusual

    Avatar ★ S M E T O · posted

      Ah, thanks for the confirmation! Was not sure, as histories around September 25th are tricky to track due to the little backpack.tf downtime :P

      Avatar Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes) · posted

        how much u sold it for ?

        Avatar ★ Dr. Death™ · posted

          Sold it whit secret bomber for secret stash + knifestorm hallmark and cv prancer

          Avatar ★ S M E T O · posted

        Hey all sellers I have found and it has been mostly sold around the 250 key area also it is better the GE rotation also u haven't taken a lot of ones sold into consideration

        Avatar ★ Caspar · posted

          Sales on the ones youve owned:

          Duped beams tyrants (Below suggested low end lol)

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131613558?time=1444460400 before

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131613558?time=1444546800 after


          ~160 in stuff roughly (beams hetman + burning topi + bubbling belt + pro aussie knife + maybe some keys (hard to track histories because of bptf downtime). I guess the topi is slightly undervalued but still, should be around the low end at best

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052897861?time=1445497200 before

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052897861?time=1445583600 after


          sulph brown bomber (~200)

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052897861?time=1445583600 before

          http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052897861?time=1445670000 after

          0.9*200 = ~180

          Around low-end as well


          "Its also better the GE rotation"

          Yes, it is. By ~8 keys according to this suggestion.


          With this added, the sales would be

          ~140 QS

          ~150

          ~150* (Beams tyrants, using clean value, so likely even lower)

          ~160* (what you bought it for. Didnt update all hats, probably somewhere between 150 and 180)

          ~180

          ~180

          ~180

          ~200

          ~240* (but capped at a buyout, forgot what the buyout was though, can ask the seller)

          ~270


          270 was excluded based on buyouts. 240 was capped, but I guess it shows it can pull higher. Most of the sales are between 150 and 180, so if anything, the range is on the high side. Since 200 was a cash sale (which is close to pure) and two of the lower sales are unclear in exact value, the other one being a duped downgrade sale (which are generally low), I believe 180-200 is fairly reasonable.


          If you had any other sales you wanted to contribute to this suggestion, feel free to provide them, although I guess you don't have a reason anymore since you sold yours.


          Avatar Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes) · posted

            i sold mine for the sulphurous bomber i just thoguth should be around 230 afetr looking at the offers people are giving

            Avatar ★ Caspar · posted

              its in-date at 200 though. Unless you can provide solid offers that show 200 is too low, (and by that I mean pure offers above 200 or several unusual offers that are not outdated and greatly over 200), I can just take it at 200

              Avatar Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes) · posted

              So whats wrong with the 150 sale

              Avatar ★ Darryl Braxton · posted

                Excluding the QS at 140, the sales (from the original suggestion) would be 150, 180, 180, 200, 270. Excluding high and low to preserve the median.


                Generally, duped sales like the 150 one here tend to undervalue hats. It is probably low because the buyer of the 150 sale clearly valued the reggae higher [as he was assuming 204 would be a qs value in pure for the reggae, hoping to be able to get ~230 along with other sellers, which would bring his expectations of the hat he got in return closer to the suggested range].


                [Edit; hit enter too soon]

                If I would have suggested today, I might have decided to go for a wider range, but with a similar mean (as another sale ~150 happened (also duped) and a sale ~240, both comparably far away from the mean). All other newly occurred sales seem to revolve around 180.

                Im not really sure if I would have picked a different range, since the majority of the sales is still ~180-200, but in the new situation with two sales above 200 and 2 below 180

                Avatar Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes) · posted