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Turned out the other sale is a strange sale. Thanks to Mindacos for letting me know.
Requested. Might not be valid as the event is ongoing, but worth a try.
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Sold for Duped Sunbeams Team Captain:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27234911
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847?time=1444892400 (October 15th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847?time=1444978800 (October 16th)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006572847?time=1444978800&compare=1444892400
Duped Beams TC sales at around 650, 650, 650, 750, 900, 900 keys
The Scorching War Pig sales are iffy, but overall range should be fine.
Leaving it at 775 keys
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Duped Sunbeams Team Captain:
Green Energy Le Party Phantom + Searing Plasma Killer Exclusive + 300 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132960686?time=1442646000&compare=1442559600
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26890483
http://imgur.com/a/MPTP7
~650 keys based on the calculation by brendan: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/56122560b98d88c44ecc1ace
1:1 with Scorching War Pig
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/76561198049054413
~900 keys
Scorching War Pig:
Sold for these: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26909934
Seller at 1000: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27071105
Using 1000 * .9 = 900 keys
Another 1:1 with Scorching War Pig (from Khal00d)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081399403?time=1441263600&compare=1441177200
~900 keys
Scorching Flames Horrific Headsplitter (750):
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132960686?time=1440486000&compare=1440658800
~750 keys
Scorching Flames Horrific Headsplitter:
Demonflame Horrific Headsplitter (~200) + Stormy 13th Hour Villain's Veil (~240) + 350 keys:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090335223?time=1440745200&compare=1440831600
(200 + 240) * .9 + 350 = 746
~750 keys
Duped Purple Energy Team Captain + duped Burning Flames Exquisite Rack + duped Sunbeams Noble Amassment of Hats:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100926757?time=1439622000&compare=1439449200
Probably around 650 keys here.
Burning Flames Tipped Lid (720)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26714852
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049884052?time=1439535600&compare=1439708400
Seems like they made another deal for the Miami Antlers. 720 * .9 = 648
~650 keys
There's one for sale in Classifieds for 400 keys.
The seller just listed it. He's been offered 300 pure already. I'll wait a bit to see how it sells
If this hasn't been noted the 400 key seller does quick flips from SCM for pure only
That 500 key difference between strange and non strange
but in unusual price here ,there is no difference same like the unusual sniper veils
Villain's Veil has a strangifier that can be used on unusuals and only costs a few keys. In this case, strange variants can only be unboxed making them more rare and thus more valuable.than its non strange variant.
Edit: I did not expect such a significant difference o.o
To my knowledge there is no way to price the strange version of this hat. Compared to the non-strange version. Due to this if this is accepted the strange version will pick up the price of the non strange version. Is there a real reason to not put a range on this? Or just let the strange one suffer the price of the non strange version
Hmm, I guess that's a flaw in the system with not being able to price dual quality items. Pricing it with a range wouldn't really make sense though since it's stating that a non strange variant can sell for 1300 when it's 775 but it's also saying a strange variant is only worth 775 when it's actually 1300. Doesn't seem logical to put a range but at the same time, as you said, it's not exactly fair for the strange variant to be priced the same. I'm not sure what the best course of action is but I'd be interested to see what the mods would say.
Edit: I think with the past items that could only be strange through being unboxed in that quality, its value wasn't really impacted significantly by being strange. In this case though, damnnn that's a lot
It's the same with certain duped items. For example, duped Vintages are 30%-50% of the price of clean ones, but are priced equally on backpack.tf.
http://imgur.com/t6N1A5A proof of the strange unusual captain space mann (nebula) sale ,its close to 1300 in unusuals
he paid scorching hazmat headcase + harvest moon wraith wrap + mass flies snaggletooth + sweets
Just curious how you arrived at 775 from [650, 650, 650, 750, 900, 900]. Mean is 750, median is 700.
TC is 650 - 900. Use the mean of range here.
I realize it doesn't matter too much for this particular hat but I would have stuck with the data itself and used 750 instead.
I did stick with the data. 775 is correct here.
http://prntscr.com/8u3rt5
Need I say more? :<
another got unbox and he is QS for 400 keys pure http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27281707
since its a QS it will not be in the price suggestion
It's not a QS till it actually sells. If it takes weeks or longer to sell, then it's no longer considered a QS.
Noted thanks for the info
can u see this persons http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/82219 trades and tell me cause all i see he sells in brand new unusual for only keys nothing else ,i have ever added to offer on his unsual ,he just told me he only wants pure keys and blocks me cus his name ADD = BLOCK
how ironic .
Quicksold here. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27281707
Frost bought it for his friend
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27292963 - offer of PE BoA (485) + Bliz. Haz (160) + Scorching Merryweather (110) + 10 keys = 765 keys. All of the hats are up to date as well. Pretty decent offer, might want to see if Kuuko ends up buying one of these.
One more got sold http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/44637-taking-offers-on-nebula-space-mann/ sold for Frostbite exec+Green energy exec, Morning glory Kabuto and Beams White russian
Frostbite had a price suggestion at 210-230 but might end up being less, Green energy exec sellers from 180 to 225 might need an update, Morning glory Kabuto 105, White russian might be around 150 or less. around 648 with overpay. ~ 650
bp before http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166?time=1445929200
bp after http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971174166?time=1445842800
Frostbite exec mini http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26901447 Sold for Eerie brown bomber (102), Orb. fire Ten gallon (22.5), Planets Chapeau (14) and Power surge wraith wrap (outdated 11 months seller at 58 keys) and 50 keys ~ 196 * .9 = 176.4 + 50 = 226
bp before http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094923192?time=1443596400
bp after http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094923192?time=1443682800
Do you want to do the suggestion?
there is another sale and maybe maybe someone is going to take my offer tomorrow. I'm not really into suggestions to be honest so go ahead :)
No I'm asking because I don't really want to spend anymore time on this suggestion. You also seem to know more about the sales than me anyways.
Sure I will once my internet gets fixed also was overpay applied to the beams TC?
yes
I forgot to add the second trade.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27330579
took 1 hour to sell for a Circling heart Runner's, Circling heart Merryweather, Cloudy Moon Swagman's, Circling heart Villain's veil and 300 keys
Runner warm-up is outdated but he already sold for a Miami rack. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27250503 But the rack is also outdated, might require assitance getting the runners price
Cloudy swagman has an open suggestion at 75-90
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182029141?time=1446361200&compare=1446451200 - another sale here around 500 keys I guess, probably an outlier
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27324104 - all up-to-date. Should be ~700
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054422117?time=1446274800
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054422117?time=1446361200
116 keys + ~240 after overpay in hats + 158 in aussies ~514
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182029141?time=1446361200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182029141?time=1446451200
Frost resold his ~550 after overpay
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053151693?time=1445497200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053151693?time=1445583600
Mini for the Purple Range - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27032686 - 150 keys
Mini for the duped beams sensei - Last usable sale was May 19 for 115 pure
Other things are relatively minor.
So sales here at 400, 515, 550, 700, 775. Maybe 515-775 or 515-700. But going 775 flat here is going to be high.