"If this isn't a smoking gun..."

Ive encountered this hat 3 or 4 times now, and theres only 1 other sale on the hat I wanted to update. So yeah, be updated.

This took, like, 10 times as long as I wanted. eh.

The sales

Sale 1:

Upgraded to stormy KE

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056270072?time=1446188400&compare=1446274800

Not using, may be used for stormy

Sale 2:

Sold for TaW modest (~40) + 6 keys and ~3 keys in ref

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109200391?time=1447920000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109200391?time=1448179200 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109200391?time=1447920000&compare=1448179200

Modest had a BO of 40.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27437943

0.9*(40) + 6+3 = ~45

-> 45 keys

Sale 3:

Qsed? not sure

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109200391?time=1447833600&compare=1447747200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105075325?time=1447833600&compare=1447747200

Ignoring as this is really low

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Sale 4:

This is hard to track. Both parties had multiple trades and nothing matches

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105075325?time=1447401600&compare=1447488000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160?time=1447488000&compare=1447401600

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Sale 5:

Sold for dp metal modest + aces sns + Strange coldsnap coat

Cant mini the metalmodest and its probably way too high.

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198147595101?time=1446188400&compare=1446710400

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Sale 6:

Sold + 20 keys in sweets for logo rack

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071371521?time=1446274800&compare=1446188400

Would fit the rack range after overpay

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Sale 7:

Sold for GBH stout shako (~41)

keys are not involved: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089243832?time=1444287600&compare=1444201200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999549682?time=1444287600 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999549682?time=1444374000 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999549682?time=1444287600&compare=1444374000

Assuming offered, the KE had no outpost trade.

-> 41 keys

Sale 8:

Sold for peace guad (~21) + gfetti stuntman (~10) + logo tam (~16)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26868247

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017901187?time=1443769200 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017901187?time=1443855600 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017901187?time=1443769200&compare=1443855600

0.9*(21+10+16) = ~43

-> 43 keys

Sale 9:

Sold + ghosts l'inspecteur for scorching hermes

http://backpack.tf/id/trippy_8bit?time=1446102000 before

http://backpack.tf/id/trippy_8bit?time=1446188400 after

http://backpack.tf/id/trippy_8bit?time=1446102000&compare=1446188400

Could be used to update the hermes if the inspecteur gets mini'ed

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Sale 10:

Sold for searing madden

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27244826

Unpriced, can be used for madden

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Sale 11:

Sold for misty inspecteur + S. puffy provocateur

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123758604?time=1448352000 before

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123758604?time=1448092800 after

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123758604?time=1448352000&compare=1448092800

probably supports the range

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Sale 12:

Sold for DB bootleg billy (~33) + strange pro bb (~7) + 7 keys + 2 in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123758604?time=1447574400&compare=1447488000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061376237?time=1447401600&compare=1447488000

The bootleg was quicksold after the trade, not sure for how much exactly.

0.9*(33+7+2) +7 = ~45

-> 45 keys

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41-45 should work here.

Constructive criticism welcome!

~foamy ;3