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Only one being traded
http://backpack.tf/item/4252736107
Simpson to Stalin
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065436693?time=1448524800&compare=1448611200
Mini for headsplitter
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26647189
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198010581980?time=1447401600&compare=1447488000
Current open suggestion on the taunt:
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/565fc665b98d886f39e94c16
Rounds to 240
240 keys+12 keys+max+Horace
240 keys+12+28+8
240 keys+12+(36*.9)
240+12+32
Rounds to
280
Howdy to Simpson
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055544256?time=1446883200&compare=1446969600
Credit to MaGenta for the Hellmet suggestion
Mini for Hellmet
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139966666?time=1448611200&compare=1449129600
It was sold by Plumperkins:
I was asking 50% overpay in unusuals for my rocket and he also added a summer hat and 6 keys
72-6-7.2 equals 0.5x
72-12 equals 0.5x
60 keys
Sale 2
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5660313fdea9e906307f788f
Using sale 2 there which is 72
So Hellmet is 60 to 72
66 middle
230-66
165 for Pig using Sale #1
Credit to MaGenta
Current declined offers for the headsplitter suggest 165 for the Pig as an outlier.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/258646406
We left this up for so long to wait for some more sales, and now we have them.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139360151?time=1449993600&compare=1450339200
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090464845?time=1450080000&compare=1449993600
53 keys were added to the war pig for a scorching rack. Rack is up-to-date and the war pig was probably offered, so I wouldn't apply overpay. The sale will be ~240.
Can't tell what happened in the sale after, but 240 should definitely be in the range.
Filtering the by the keys histories results in only 50 keys. I used 4405290772 as the id of one of the keys. Middle 280 minus 50 is 230. The sale after that had a 250 key b/o. Looks like he got the P.E Beak for 140 and a Butterfly Knife as 110.