Suggestion: Anti-Freeze Chieftain's Challenge at 62–106 keys

Price Suggestion

~103 keys

anti-freeze

16 votes up

34 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 04 Feb 16 13:05:49 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

lets see what happens :P

Sale #1

sold for 37 Distinctive Lack Of Hue, 38 Extraordinary Abundance of Tinge and a white bill's hat

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27626360

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041350434?time=1452240000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041350434?time=1452585600

there was no suggested price for the paints since the trade occured 6 days before the first suggestion, not sure what to do but going to use the earliest available suggestion of white paint which was 12-17 ref so 14.5 ref black paint which was 12-14 ref so 13ref ((38*14.5)+(37*13))/17.5"key price in ref at the time"=58.97... = ~59

white bills was 3 keys 59+3=62

note: a good point was brought up in the forums about this by Frisky in :http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/48263-what-price-would-i-use-paint-for-in-a-resuggestion/#entry507627 saying that the paints might not actually have this value. not sure to not include this sale but for the moment i will, let me know if it shouldnt be used.

Sale #2

sold with a prof ks australium rocket launcher for a duped purple energy modest pile of hat and strange genuine prof ks widowmaker

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27694031#latest

Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077238860?time=1454400000

After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077238860?time=1454486400

Duped PE modest : "Chawster" offered 170 keys pure on http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27257572

strange genuine prof ks widowmaker 9 keys : http://imgur.com/a/65WNM

prof ks aussie rl 73 keys : http://imgur.com/a/65WNM

170+9=179

179-73=106

range 62-106

Range seems too wide. One of them is an outlier.

yeah but i wasnt sure which one, im kinda leaning towards the paint as the outlier but not too sure which is why i posted in hoping for feedback as to which one it is.

Um, I am not an expert but iirc you can look at the offers to determine the outlier. Or find another recent sale (if there is another).

i looked for others, the other in existance hasnt been sold in a while. and for this one these are the only 2 sales in the last 3 months

look at offers then :u?

i think it might be the paint sale, one offer was D@D winter woodsman which is ~250 if a little was added with the whole set http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27694031#latest wanted around 40-50 keys extra puts the chieftain at about (250-90 "value of items in the set")-45=115.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/26524071 was also offer haunted ghost outta sight +30 keys cheapest is 75 atm which puts it at 105 roughly

I'm feeling like the paint sale is the outlier too. it's also a pretty odd sale, an unusual selling for large stack of paints

also if you take a look at the forum post by Frisky which i linked in the suggestion you can see that it might not represent the true value, and the seller told me he was going to sit on the paint for a while suggesting that he didnt see the paints at around 13-14 ref each probably more as 1.5-2 keys each

Huuuge range, solid 106 seems better.