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~485.5 keys
nebula
Unusual Universal Translator Nebula
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"Houston we have a problem"


Saw this minied very high; sales prove this sure as hell aint no 130


The sales


Sale 0:


Sold for misty norman + 10 in sweets

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970509048/#!/compare/1454054400/1454140800

Could be used for norman


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Sale 1:


Sold for 90 pure - February 26th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27826665

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128234752/#!/compare/1456128000/1456473600


-> 90 keys


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Sale 2:


Sold + peace panama for DaD condor - February 16th

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043624216/#!/compare/1455523200/1455609600

Can be used for condor since the sale from the last suggestion is 3m old now


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Sale 3:


Sold + strange capper (~8) for hellfire slick (~80) - January 16th

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045206504/#!/compare/1452758400/1452931200


-> 72 keys


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Sale 3:


Sold for 80 keys - February 7th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27783661

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128234752/#!/compare/1454572800/1454832000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197965601027/#!/compare/1454400000/1454832000


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Sale 4:


Sold for time warp wraith (~85) - January 29th

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064480388/#!/compare/1453968000/1454054400


-> 85 keys


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Sale 5:


Duped stormy 13th baker (~100) + ks aussie scatter (~40)- January 23rd

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064480388/#!/compare/1453536000/1453622400


Baker mini:

Sold for duped hearts tossle ~80 + pro original + 5 keys (~100 total)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197969361063/#!/compare/1455523200/1455609600


Sold for MW hot night terror scatter and a few keys (probably close to, but below 100)

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197969361063/#!/compare/1455782400/1456041600

Taking 100 as mini

Would be 140; definitely an outlier given current BOs and past BOs


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Sale 6:


QSed for 65 - January 6th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27646503


-> 65 keys QS


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Sale 7:


Sold for Cmoon fukaa - January 11th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27678586

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043873967/#!/compare/1452499200/1452844800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034312547/#!/compare/1452499200/1452844800

Can be used for fukaa, but should fit the range


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Sale 8:


Bulk for something - December 30th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27632654

cba to check what it actually sold for but multiple hats match the same next owner


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Sale 9:


Smoking antlers (~100?) - December 20th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27558334

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124564448/#!/compare/1450425600/1450598400


Sale from last closed antlers sugg should be ~100, offer here is ~100 as well

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27885794

Iffy to use this directly, but it would support the high end of the suggestion


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Sale 10:


Shouldnt be used, low - February 3rd

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27797748

The guy obviously had no clue what he was doing.


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Sale 11:


Sold for ~70 keys - January 21th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27671861 definitely not a quicksale, has been for sale for two weeks

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043844899/#!/compare/1453190400/1453363200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740754/#!/compare/1453276800/1453363200

only count 69 keys, but eh, close enough to 70


-> 70 keys


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Sale 12:


Sold + unu sticky for harvest wraith - February 2nd

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086605050/#!/compare/1454400000/1454572800

Could be used for wraith


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Sale 13:


Sold for stormy conqueror + c9 gym rat + VHP translator (~22) - January 30th

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043981131/#!/compare/1454054400/1454140800

conq and rat are outdated, at current prices thisd be ~85 which supports range. Realisticly closer to low end


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Sale 14:


Sold for more than 63 keys; not sure how much exactly since I cant trace it through the buyer, but 63 keys match. I assume he bought the taunts and stuff with the rest of the keys afterwards

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040812568/#!/compare/1455004800/1455177600

This should most definitely fit the range


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Sale 15:


Sold for pro aussie eyelander (~45 at that time) + eldritch flame hellmet (~70) - December 18th

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27554708 BO 110

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198016433317/#!/compare/1450425600/1451980800

Caps at 110


-> 110 keys


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Tricky one. High sales are all old.

Sales at:

35 [csgo keys]

65 [pure, QS]

70 [pure]

72

80 [pure]

85 [in outdated hats]

85

90 [pure]

100? unsure/crappy mini (could be used to update antlers instead I guess)

110 [BOcapped]

140


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Sales generally cluster at 70-90. The 110 sale is very old and 140 is a definite outlier even with current buyouts (which are all high and they get limited attention)

Excluding insanely low sale, the QS, the 110 sale and the 140 one as outliers, making a range with both ends supported by pure sales; 70-90


Constructive criticism welcome!


~Foamy :3

    *Houston :p

      wups typoed that; fixed :P

        Why not put 100 in range

          The 100 hat is outdated and would require a mini. I did a rough check, but the value I use there is not solid. I've used the sale as supportive evidence here.


          Since that sale is one of the oldest sales, I felt it would be more accurate to stick to the more recent sales, especially since most of the sales happened between 70 and 90. 70-90 seems to reflect the current common trading point in pure best here

      I added 12 keys to my scorching scotch bonnet for this. As many sales as you have here, you could probably use this to refresh that.


      http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27771305 - here's the trade for that


      Should support the range here, regardless