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Sale #1
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103273606/#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000
Bulk Sale
Sale #2
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061054993/#!/compare/1457856000/1457938800
Sold for 20 keys
Sale #3
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111190437/#!/compare/1457078400/1457164800
Sold with ~1 key sweets for Flies Slo-Poke (24)
24-1 = 23
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27920742 - B/O of 22
Sale #3 was for a Bubbling Cloud Crasher.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27891916
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4637402593,98,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,4640552580,30071,5
After that he traded the Crasher with the sweets added for the Slo-Poke.
That should still fit in the range/ be capped with the seller's B/O, thank you :)
Well, the Crasher is outdated, but looking at it again I think it was actually a 1:1 trade for the Crasher and Slo-Poke, so there's a sale at 24 right off the bat. The Crasher seller in the pot trade was only asking for 20, but the average still supports your high end.