this price looks pretty good

Sold for c9 pompom

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071829822/#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053728930/#!/compare/1457938800/1458025200

needs a mini, but seller declined 15 and 17 pure and showed he was willing to take 20:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27937170

Sale value is likely between 17 and 20 somewhere

Sold for planets festivizer, 3 keys and 2 buds

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119666999/#!/compare/1457337600/1457424000

planets festiv needs mini but that should be ~20

Sold for aussie minigun (~20) + ks eyelander kit

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112342907/#!/compare/1457078400/1457164800

~20

Sold for ml glengarry ~18

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207528353/#!/compare/1456819200/1456905600

histories dont match on the other things

The glen can be updated to 18:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198223779024/#!/compare/1455350400/1455696000 sold for 18 keys, 18 key histories match

There's 1 other offmarket sale and some bulks/idk sales on the garry, but that 18 pure sale should be the best usable one.

idk but seems to have sold for 18 keys + paint can

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198223779024/#!/compare/1455350400/1455696000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154/#!/compare/1456732800/1456819200

codex transl. sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994288846/#!/compare/1456300800/1456387200

Other sale on it is 17 as said, but I can undertake such process again on that hat :p

Seems to have sold for that exact same hat again:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045883624/#!/compare/1455177600/1455264000

aussie sticky ~17

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198096877349/#!/compare/1455696000/1456041600

Your peace milk sale

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131115320/#!/compare/1456819200/1456905600

17 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197972309544/#!/compare/1457078400/1457424000

they match, 04->05 shows 17 escrowed keys

Your buckaroos sale, histories dont match on it, buyer shows 14 keys + gold graybans ~15 which do match, and they were used to purchase the peace buck

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202592232/#!/compare/1455782400/1455868800

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165294687/#!/compare/1455782400/1455868800

~15

Unusable sales:

-bulks:

idk for what

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049994644/#!/compare/1457596800/1457683200

idk dis either

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119666999/#!/compare/1457164800/1457251200

Used to overpay for a max, which was instantly resold for ~40 in hats

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242863178/#!/compare/1457337600/1457424000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198227266224/#!/compare/1457251200/1457424000

+ Strange FN woodland for dbd outta

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068952127/#!/compare/1456473600/1456646400

-unclear:

Probably scm

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083902939/#!/compare/1456128000/1456560000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025329724/#!/compare/1456214400/1456300800

no idea

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242863178/#!/compare/1457596800/1457683200

nothing

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151773090/#!/compare/1455264000/1455782400

more nothing

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051303102/#!/compare/1455523200/1456214400

Durr

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060137271/#!/compare/1453708800/1453795200

bulknothing

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150238606/#!/compare/1455350400/1455436800

Altswitch I guess

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075844142/#!/compare/1454572800/1456300800

-obv. outliers:

The noir sale you mentioned

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117078426/#!/compare/1454486400/1454659200

~10 in garbo

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168455117/#!/compare/1453968000/1454486400

2low

In summary, sales at:

~10 (garbo)

~15 (near full pure, sold <1day)

~16 http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202592232/#!/compare/1455696000/1455868800 sold 16 key

~17

~17 (pure)

~17 (aussie)

~17* (codex thing using the other sale from open sugg)

~17* (idem)

~18

~19 (near full pure)

~20* (needs festiv mini, is festivizer + 8 (3 pure and 2buds (5)))

~20 (aussie)

~20 (capped sale mentioned in the cmment section earlier, didnt find that one)

~farabove20 (noir sale)

theres also the pompom sale, can be used there I guess

Declined pure offers @15 and 17

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27937170

Collecting offer @19

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27865970

Honestly with this Id even go 17-20 given the aussie/pure sales at that value and the pure offers