Sale 1:

Sold for Orbiting Fire Waxy Wayfinder

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27822592 - B/O of 13

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160687957/#!/compare/1455609600/1455868800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021808164/#!/compare/1455868800/1455955200

Compare links aren’t very helpful here

Bucket: http://backpack.tf/item/2203818877

Waxy: http://backpack.tf/item/880381713

X = 13 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Strange Festive Spec. KS Knife + Strange Festive Revolver + 4 keys + 7.33 ref

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115499745/#!/compare/1459641600/1459728000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108058866/#!/compare/1459555200/1459728000

X = 9 + 4 + 1.5

X = 15

Sale 3:

Quicksold for 11

No outpost link

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108058866/#!/compare/1459555200/1459728000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036490522/#!/compare/1459641600/1459728000

X = 11

Sale 4:

Quicksold for 11

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27816503 - B/O of 11

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154229385/#!/compare/1454745600/1454832000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160687957/#!/compare/1454832000/1454918400

X = 11

Sale 5:

Quicksold for 10 keys + ~1 key in ref

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27948393 - No B/O

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155953868/#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061325470/#!/compare/1457769600/1457856000

X = 10 + 1

X = 11

Sale 6:

Sold for 10 keys

No outpost link

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163254451/#!/compare/1458370800/1458716400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115499745/#!/compare/1458630000/1458716400

X = 10

Sale 7:

Sold for Uncraftable Summer Hat + B.M.O.C

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27770604 - B/O of 15, declined 12 and 13 pure

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054288197/#!/compare/1454832000/1455177600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516/#!/compare/1455091200/1455177600

X = 7 + 4

X = 11

Buyers:

10 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27880732

Sellers:

Offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28065251

Sales at:

10

11

11

11

11

13

15

Most of the sales at 11 sold quickly, so 11 shouldn’t be in the range (There are probably buyers at around that price too)

Going with 13-15