Suggestion: It's a Secret to Everybody Team Captain at 580–710 keys

Price Suggestion

~2775 keys

secret

65 votes up

13 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Mon, 30 May 16 12:30:35 +0000 by Vijf Kilo Boter (met voetjes).

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Comments

Sale #1

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988705887/#!/compare/1456819200/1456992000

Sold for Max (29.5) + Blizz Brigade (19) + Scorching Ze Goggles (72) + Stormy Pencil (30) + KaW Combover (37)+ Aces VVF (82.5) + AF War Pig (205) + Terror-Watt Rack (78) + Bubbling Fortunate Son (14) + Spec KS Australium Axtinguisher (8)+ ~5 keys sweets

= 580

Minis

Blizz Brigade

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988705887/#!/compare/1457510400/1457769600

Sold for Planets Samur-Eye + 2 keys = 19 keys

Scorching Goggles

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988705887#!/compare/1458457200/1459900800

Sold for Australium Sniper + Scatter = 72 keys

KaW Combover

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988705887/#!/compare/1458716400/1459123200

Sold for Orb Fire Milkman + Blizz Storm Tipplers = 37

Bubbling Fortunate

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083383718/#!/compare/1456560000/1456646400

Sold for 14 keys

Stormy Pencil

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198083383718/#!/compare/1456560000/1456646400

Sold for Pro KS Australium Knife (35)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27915346 - seller @ 30

Sale #2

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159542421/#!/compare/1457164800/1457251200

Sold for PE Ten Gallon (63) + Duped PE Reggae (90) + Stormy Mining (25) + Stare Pomade (60) + Mallard VVF (270) + C9 Toque (25) + Scorching Cloud Crasher (150) + 28 keys

= 711

Minis

Duped PE Reggae

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011643481/#!/compare/1454745600/1455091200

Sold with 39 keys for ~ 140 keys of unusuals

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28034973 - B/O on another @ 90

Stare Pomade

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097575516/#!/compare/1454486400/1454832000

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198001412830/#!/compare/1454745600/1454832000

Burning Flames Thirst Blood(103)

B/O was 60 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27794122

Mallard VVF

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997600533/#!/compare/1452844800/1452931200

Sold with ~40 keys unusuals for Demonflame Mancers (333) = 293

Seller @ 270 - https://gyazo.com/6f536436064df90c27537be3473e1ec0

C9 Toque

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159542421/#!/compare/1457337600/1457424000

Sold for ~28 keys in unusuals + sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27929328 - B/O of 25

Scorching Cloud Crasher

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091301355/#!/compare/1456646400/1456992000

Sold with ~ 50 keys of australiums for PE Veil (200) = 150

Sale #3

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056793885/#!/compare/1457164800/1457251200

Sold for Burning Flames Hallmark + Beams Tyrants (166) + Beams Brigade + ~ 70 keys sweets

Low, perhaps cash was involved? - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27928626 had a b/o of 800

Sale #4

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197990172296#!/compare/1462579200/1462752000

Sold for Burning Coldsnap + C.Heart Samur-eye + Normal Batsaber +~ 3 keys sweets

= ~860

Sales at 45-500 ish, 580, 710 and 860

Taking low and high outliers and taking a range of 580-710

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27917129 Seems that "Beams Tyrants (165)+Burning Hallmark (165)+ Beams Brigade (100)+ FT Crimsom Web Karambit (180 in tf2)+MW HyperBeast Awp (16)+Nice adds" offer was the case here with Desertbuggy: http://imgur.com/iCA70x9 I've added them to ask for a screenshot to verify. If so, this would eliminate the sub 500 as the low outlier.

The Hallmark and Karambit are probably a bit overpriced here but it will probably support the sales being used as well, I have also already eliminated the sub 500 sale as an outlier.

Ok. If the full sale of the previous low outlier passes 650-700 in value, would it not make the 580 sale the new outlier? Or would an average be based off of the top 3 sales?

It's more than likely going to fit within the range here so it should be fine whatever happens.

580 should definitely not be ruled out as an outlier seeing how long it has been for sale at 600.

Fair point. If I can get a confirmation of this TF2 + CS:GO trade, could that make the range 580-860 or would 860 still be considered an outlier?

860 would still be an outlier, it's quite a lot higher than the other sales and there was a seller at 600 for a long time.

I reckon it would be better to just put it in the middle at 650 keys.

I bought one of these yesterday and paid 800 or so for it.

I believe the 580 sale to be an outlier.

I am not sure how to post my inventory history but I paid a Morning Glory Killer Exclusive + Cloudy Moon Connoisseur's Cap + Misty Skull Napper's Respite + Scorching Flames Backbiters Billycock + Specialized Killstreak Stange Aussie Grenade Launcher.

MG KE in your sale is duped, as are the connoisseurs and the nappers. Most of those have outdated prices anyway, but that sale should end up near the suggested high end