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Sale 1: (Dupe)
Sold for Blizzardy Cosa Nostra Cap + 9 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28026453 - B/O of 30
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103060345#!/compare/1462665600/1462752000
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044464835#!/compare/1462752000/1463443200
Cosa is outdated, however:
http://puu.sh/pnw8J/c2f066035f.png - Buyer at 21 keys (for cosa)
The cosa would have to be less than 21 keys to change this sale’s value. The buyer here proves that 21 and less is too low for the Cosa.
X = 30 (Capped by B/O)
Sale 2: (Dupe)
Sold for Strange Killstreak Frying Pan + Planets Wayfinder + Dead Presidents Copper’s Hard Top
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28057841 - B/O of 30
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030050182#!/compare/1462406400/1462492800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063783607#!/compare/1462492800/1462665600
Copper’s Hard Topper is outdated, however, it would have to be 8 keys or less to change the value of this sale, which is not possible due to buyers at 8 keys
X = 30 (Capped By B/O)
Sale 3:
Sold for Duped Blizzardy Storm Thirst Blood
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170078402#!/compare/1459468800/1459555200
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127316418#!/compare/1459382400/1459555200
Only sale I could find on the thirst was for an aces modest metal pile of scrap and a few keys in items. The Modest is also outdated.
Going with the current price of the Thirst (30)
X = 30
Sale 4:
Sold for Smoking Tyrannus + Orbiting Fire Dread Knot
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/27999373 - B/O of 28
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105512866#!/compare/1459209600/1459468800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071491128#!/compare/1459468800/1459555200
X = 28
Sale 5:
Sold in ~2 days for 28 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28161954 - B/O of 28, seller confirm sale (legend)
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057671085#!/compare/1463097600/1463270400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107823444#!/compare/1463184000/1463270400
X = 28
Sale 6:
Sold with 2 keys for Peace Sign Noble Amassment
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201557765#!/compare/1463097600/1463184000
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1463097600/1463184000
X + 2 = 29
X = 27
Sale 7:
Sold for 26 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28125753 - B/O of 26
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1461974400/1462060800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073495671#!/compare/1462060800/1462838400
X = 26
Sale 8:
Sold for 26 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28186431 - “Quickselling”
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119634686#!/compare/1464134400/1464220800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198207754465#!/compare/1464048000/1464566400
X = 26
Sale 9:
Quicksold for 24 keys
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201540983#!/compare/1459728000/1459814400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099829963#!/compare/1459641600/1459728000
X = 24
Sale 10:
Quicksold for 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28114102 - B/O of 22
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198197233318#!/compare/1461628800/1461715200
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047506902#!/compare/1461628800/1461715200
X = 22
Sale 11:
Sold for 22 keys
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047506902#!/compare/1463616000/1463702400
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195930528#!/compare/1463616000/1463702400
Bit odd how he bought it for the same price he bought it at. Guess he wasn’t looking to trade for profit. I’d assume it wasn’t on the market for the whole time the user owned it.
X = 22
Sale 12:
Sold for 22 keys in about 5 days
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198021383012#!/compare/1459987200/1460073600
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197980590671#!/compare/1460073600/1460592000
X = 22
Sale 13:
Sold for 20 keys + <0.5 keys in metal
No outpost
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099829963#!/compare/1463011200/1463097600
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057671085#!/compare/1463011200/1463097600
X = 20
Sale 14:
Sold with Strange Spec. KS Shooting Star + Starduster for Haunted Phantasm JR. Grenadier’s Softcap
Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019093327#!/compare/1460937600/1461628800
Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044930428#!/compare/1461024000/1461110400
Should be used to update the Softcap
Sellers:
26 keys:
http://puu.sh/pnyF3/f2a4d6a725.png - 1 week
28 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28093569 - 1 month
29 keys:
http://puu.sh/pnyHK/9e7d0fb4df.png - 3 days “Lowest available price”
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28054689 - 2 months (poorly bumped, only 123 views at time of posting)
30 keys:
http://puu.sh/pnyMG/8e23e4b418.png - 4 weeks
Offers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28139586
Sales at:
20
22 (Quicksold)
22 (Re-sold for same price)
22
24 (Quicksold)
26
26
27
28
28
30
30
30
I feel that 22 is pretty low. Two of the three sales didn’t use outpost and the one that did sold in less than a day, by the looks of it. Therefore, I’m excluding 22 from the range, but seeing as it has sold multiple times for less than 24, I’m going to use the sale at 24 as the low-end.
I would really appreciate a mod’s opinion on this range. I’ll re-suggest at whatever range is recommended.
Going with 24-30