New sales, new sellers, new suggestion

Sale 1:

Sold for Time Warp Respectless Robo Glove (30) + Strange Pro. KS Festive Shotgun (10) + Pro. KS Aussie Axtinguisher (8) + Strange Pro. KS Backburner (3.5) + Uncraftable Spine Tingling Skull (2)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054200662#!/compare/1464048000/1464220800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1463961600/1464048000

X = 54 (rounded from 53.5)

Sale 2:

Sold for Pro. KS Aussie Minigun (30) + Genuine Robo Sandvich (16) + Strange Pro. KS Bread Bite (4)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28159907 - B/O of 60

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961465738#!/compare/1463702400/1463788800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054200662#!/compare/1463702400/1463788800

X = 50

Sale 3:

Sold for Mallard Larrikin Robin

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28241556 - B/O of 40

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092758976#!/compare/1465257600/1465430400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100701298#!/compare/1465344000/1465430400

X = 40 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 4:

Sold for Duped Green Energy Big Country (Mini Below)

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198195731583#!/compare/1465344000/1465430400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092758976#!/compare/1465257600/1465430400

X = 35

Sale 5:

Sold for Haunted Phantasm Jr. Slick Cut + ~5 keys in items

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090956917#!/compare/1466121600/1466208000

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064950586#!/compare/1465862400/1466208000

X = 33

Sale 6:

Sold for Ghastly Ghosts Jr. Geisha Boy (Mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28270043 - Offers

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143083316#!/compare/1466208000/1466380800

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143083316#!/compare/1466208000/1466380800

X = 27

Sale 7:

Sold for Terror-Watt Outta Sight

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28266970 - B/O of 52 (Dan?)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064950586#!/compare/1466208000/1466294400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119629032#!/compare/1466208000/1466294400

X = 27

Sale 8:

Sold for Duped Peace Sign Baker Boy (mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28149350 - B/O of 40, Seller confirms sale (Legend)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070824554#!/compare/1463011200/1463097600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1463011200/1463097600

X = 24

Baker Boy Mini:

Sale 1:

Sold for DBD Armoured authority

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28165962 - B/O of 30

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070824554#!/compare/1463097600/1463270400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161231249#!/compare/1463184000/1463270400

X = 25

Sale 2:

Sold with Genuine Horace for Ghosts Stout Shako

No outpost

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131683191#!/compare/1463616000/1463875200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082164208#!/compare/1463529600/1463616000

X + 6 = 29

X = 23

23-25 for the Duped Peace Sign Baker Boy

Big Country Mini:

Sold for 35 keys

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027694776#!/compare/1461888000/1461974400

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092758976#!/compare/1461715200/1461974400

X = 35

Going with 35 for the Big Country

Geisha Boy Mini:

Sold for 27 keys

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075481522#!/compare/1465948800/1466121600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143083316#!/compare/1463011200/1466121600

X = 27

Sellers:

35 keys:

http://puu.sh/pAJI5/f819d89328.png - 1 day

http://puu.sh/pAJJu/ee0c0e6012.png - 18 days, 2x

37 keys:

http://puu.sh/pAJMC/b71cd5bd4a.png

40 keys:

http://puu.sh/pAJQa/20e20595e8.png - 2 days

http://puu.sh/pAJRB/05e8586956.png - 2 days, strange

http://puu.sh/pAJSY/e39bd2c352.png - 2 days

http://puu.sh/pAJP3/9bc91e5085.png - 3 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28150180 - 1 month

50 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28202404 - 3 weeks

55 keys:

http://puu.sh/pAJTS/9f8e7c0adf.png - 17 days

http://puu.sh/pAJV1/68d062e8cd.png - 1 month

60 keys:

http://puu.sh/pAJVZ/7714c78f07.png - 4 days

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28188346 - 1 month

Paypal:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28019525

Sales at:

54

50

40

35

33

27

27

24

Sales at 50+ were a month ago, barely after the UT went all-class. They were most likely selling for more back then

Going to exclude 40, due to sellers for less

24 seems kinda low

Going with 27-35

New Sales:

Sale 9:

Sold for Logo Cheiftain’s Challenge + Smoking Luchadore + Pro. KS Aussie Tomislav

http://puu.sh/pAJSY/e39bd2c352.png - B/O of 40

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119629032#!/compare/1466899200/1466985600

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137197751#!/compare/1466985600/1467072000

Sale should definitely cap here

X = 40 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 10:

Sold for 35 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28292396 - B/O of 35

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129088942#!/compare/1467244800/1467331200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067415484#!/compare/1466985600/1467244800

X = 35

Sale 11:

Sold with Strange Spec. KS Backwoods Boomstick (Minimal Wear) for Hot Pro. KS Red Bear Shotgun (Field-Tested)

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164650594#!/compare/1466985600/1467331200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255119379#!/compare/1467072000/1467158400

Should be used to price the Shotgun

Sale 12:

Sold with ~6 keys worth for Green Energy Gym Rat

Seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137197751#!/compare/1467244800/1467331200

Buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090956917#!/compare/1467158400/1467244800

Should be used to update the Gym Rat

So now we have a pure sale at the high-end, as well as a sale at 40.

I'd still call 40 an outlier, due to the 4 that are currently for sale at 35:

http://puu.sh/pM5vG/efca850040.png