Suggestion: Circling Peace Sign Fortunate Son at 80–100 keys

Price Suggestion

~100 keys

peace

62 votes up

16 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 29 Jan 17 22:24:35 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

Circling Peace Sign Fortunate Son

I thought this was overpriced, apparently not.

New price: 80-100 keys

[proof below]

SALE #1 = 93 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177056801#!/compare/1484870400/1485129600

Sold for a Miami Nights Coldsnap Cap (93)

Mini for the Miami Nights Coldsnap Cap = 93 keys

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/588a4db0e3387746297876dd

Current suggestion at 93

SALE #2 = 80 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067161406#!/compare/1482969600/1483228800

Sold with 4 keys for a Fountain of Delight Taunt: Meet The Medic (100)

100-4 = 96 keys.

B/O on the Circling Peace Sign Unfortunate Son was 80 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28672324

SALE #3 = 99 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1484265600/1484352000

Sold for a Mega Strike Taunt: Square Dance (90) + 9 keys = 89 keys.

SALE #4 = 80 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1484611200/1484697600

Sold for a Knifestorm Vintage Merryweather (80)

Mini for the Knifestorm Vintage Merryweather = 80 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1484784000/1484956800

Sold for a Terror-Watt Crone Dome (80)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28718703

He lowered his B/O to 70 very shortly before receiving the Merryweather offer (quite possibly the buyer didn’t even add him from this TF2OP trade), since I adviced him to do so because he wanted to get rid of the hat. Ofcourse, I can’t show proof of this, but I think it’d be unfair to cap this at 70 while other sales are at 80+, and this sale should be considered 80 as well. Not 70 because he lowered his unbumped TF2OP trade a short time before he got the Merryweather.

SALE #5 = invalid

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197979682099#!/compare/1485129600/1485216000

Sold with a Prof KS Strange Shotgun (7) + Infernal Flames Taunt: Bad Pipes for a Blizzardy Storm Crone Dome (98)

The average seller for the Taunt is 30 so 98 – 30 – 7 = 61 keys. This seems (Even without the mini) extremely low when compared to the other sales.

SALE #6 = 92 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197979682099#!/compare/1483574400/1484524800

Sold for Orbiting Fire Exquisite Rack (58) + Blizzardy Storm Furious Fukaamigasa (20) + Nuts n' Bolts Noble Nickel Amassment of Hats (14)

58 + 20 + 14 = 92 keys.

Mini for The Orbiting Fire Exquisite Rack = 58

http://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Exquisite%20Rack/Tradable/Craftable/33

Sellers at 54 keys. Sale at 62, taking the average at 58.

http://backpack.tf/item/714906083

http://backpack.tf/item/1556081943

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053700606#!/compare/1484611200/1484784000

Sold for a Misty Skull Guadalajara (62)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28722748

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5888fd57c440453495178c0a

http://imgur.com/a/Ci9M7

Pampick confirmed that his B/O was 62.

Mini for the Misty Skull Guadalajara = 72 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041376804#!/compare/1484179200/1484265600

Sold for a Demonflame Grenadier’s Softcap (72)

Mini for the Nuts & Bolts Noble Nickle Amassment of Hats = 14 keys

https://i.gyazo.com/00449b7337348918a39c7c42a5c46f5a.png

Screenshot from Pampick. The seller is gone now, so no sellers right now, but high likely a sale around 14. Given the fact that he was actually selling at 14 (unusual overpay capped at 14) I’ll value the hat at 14.

SALE #7 = 80 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065118999#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800

Sold with a Massed Flies Killer’s Kabuto (15) for a Vivid Plasma Bill’s Sport Shine (95)

95-15 = 80 keys

Mini for the Vivid Plasma Bill’s Sport Shine = 95

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5888fd57c440453495178c0a

Current suggestion at 85-105 keys.

Mini for the Massed Flies Killer’s Kabuto = 15 keys

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065118999#!/compare/1483401600/1483488000

Sold for 15 pure

SUMMARY:

Sales: 80 / 80 / 89 / 92 / 93 / 96 / 99

Sellers: -

I thought this would drop further due it being a bit overpriced, but apparently not. Going with 80-100 here since it looks better to round the 99 off to 100.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28519995 - 3 months at 70 keys

http://backpack.tf/item/4163671032

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28654200 - 1 month at 65 keys, however, it doesn't appear in the user's backpack, and seems to have disappeared

http://backpack.tf/item/5124680665

That first seller is pretty inactive, though, but I agree that the range here will be high. The high end while seemingly supported greatly, is actually probably an outlier.

- Theres no 96 sale unless Im blind; that sale is capped at 80

- The coldsnap sale is being used there and probably indicates that suggestion is too high. The supportive sale there has no mini, and this is the high end if Im correct, while it may need to be a low end.

With those sellers in mind and that sale at 61, I think thisll need a wide range. Given the inactivity of that first seller and the fact that Squirrel probably already sold his, I dont think the higher sales will need to be completely removed, but I feel like 61 should be included since those sellers are definitely an indication its.

When I saw the square sale when I handled that suggestion I already assumed it was going to be an outlier for either hat; quite sure the seller of the sq panicsold it (although I dont understand his decision at all lol). Discading that sale will make the range a lot more bearable despite being wide at ~60-90

What range should I resuggest at? Given the sales and capped B/O's. 60-100 seems as a very big range (if I include the sale at 100).

I had this for three months and couldn't even get offers at 85. Ended up getting lucky with a scrap.tf auction. It shouldn't bw anywhere near 100.

I think stretching all the way to 100 will be too much; I dont mind having 90 in the range as there are a few sales supporting that value (you can round down 90). Itll be left open for a while likely