- Forums
-
Pricing
- Community Pricing
- Pricegrid
- Spreadsheet
- Browse Suggestions
- Latest Changes
- Unusual Pricelist
- Browse by Item
- Browse by Effect
- Steam Community Market
- Market Pricelist
-
Trading
- Classifieds
- Classified Listings
- Utilities
- Calculator
- Premium Search
- Statistics
I like Crashing
Mostly Creds to Blaze
Sale 1)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146848978#!/compare/1486252800/1486339200 - Sold for a Molten Mallard Frickin' Sweet Ninja Hood + 16 Keys
MMFSNH -
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58697e20e3387730a918c318 - 82 Keys
B/O 130 - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28737860
= 98
Sale 2)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076691532#!/compare/1485129600/1485216000 - Sold for a Bonzo The All-Gnawing Das Naggenvatcher + Anti-Freeze Frenchman's Beret + ~8 Keys in Sweets.
BTAGDN -
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58a750960e2cad084f452d33 - Open @ 99
AFFB -
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5865012a0e2cad093e0ee922 - 2 Months ago @ 50 Keys
No B/O
= 157
Sale 3)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329519283#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200 - Sold for a Scorching Flames Rebel Rouser
SFRR -
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076691532#!/compare/1484524800/1484611200 - Sold for a Morning Glory Familiar Fez + Vivid Plasma Le Party Phantom = 88 keys
No B/O
= 88
Sale 4)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128385353#!/compare/1482019200/1482105600 - Sold for a Starstorm Slumber Fortunate Son + ~19 Keys In Sweets
SSFS -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28670006 - B/O of 60 Keys
B/O = 130 Overall - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28642823
= 89
Sale 5)
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1480636800/1480723200 - Sold for a Roboactive Attendant + Aces High Cadaver's Cranium
RA -
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034095893#!/compare/1485129600/1485216000 - sold for Stormy Storm Larrikin Robin + Bubbling Flipped Trilby + Purple Confetti Sammy Cap + Nuts n' Bolts Scotch Bonnet = 89 keys
AHCC -
http://backpack.tf/item/2462796392 - Seller @ 10 Keys (7 Days)
= 99
Sale 6) Creds to Joe
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086312574#!/compare/1486598400/1486684800 - Sold for a Starstorm Slumber Cotton Head + Tesla Coil Hermes + Midnight Whirlwind Taunt: I See You + ~20 Keys Aussie
SSCH -
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/584e0a960e2cad61e17a8b90 - 2 Months Ago for 100
TCH -
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/5837451883de6b7bd76dd3ee - 3 Months for 41
MWT:ISY -
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158206236#!/compare/1482451200/1482537600 - ~18 Pure
= 179
Sales we have are:
98, 157, 88, 89, 99 and 179
Now Apologies firstly as this is gonna be a big bulk of text. As you know Pyrojoe is a YouTuber with 20K+ Subs. This hat doesn't yet have a solid stats page so technically when Pyro said about this it's advertising to a lot of people. In a way Pyro Might get the sympathy vote because Rags to Riches is his most popular series so people may pay more to help him along.
All but one of the sales before PyroJoe's Video were around 90 - 100 Keys. Pyrojoe released the video and sold it (to a collector) within 4 Day of having it for way above previous sales. A big unusual trade (Xergoyf) Owned for 2+ Weeks with a B/O of 130 and sold a lot lower than his Buyout.
I think Blaze closed his suggestion due to offers on Pyrojoe's Hat well once again if you compare offers and sales to other "normal" traders they're much lower.
Sales plotted on a line:
Sale 3, Sale 4, Sale 1, Sale 5, PyroJoe's Offers ~100, Sale 2 PyroJoe's Sale.
^^~"Normal Sellers"~~~~~~~^^ ^^~~~~~~~~~Youtuber~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~^^
Now sale 2 looks like an outlier. Another line:
88_89_________98_99__________________________________________________________157______________________179
^^Most Sales are Here^^
It is 1 Of 1 and In a collectors backpack (Looking at owned unusuals history they own them for a while) So I doubt it'll sell again.
Remember I'm just a Lemon.
Thanks =)
Another minor thing to note, PyroJoe said Himself "I don't see there being an issue of getting at least maybe 100 to 150 somewhere in that region on the cloud crasher" I reckon even he's surprised by an offer ~180. He also said he had listed for 140 pure which limits his sale to 140. Thus also proving the 157 Sale is an outlier. 140 Would still be an outlier as well.
reason i closed my suggestion is because we have 3 sales near 100 and 2 sales above 150. just because pyrojoe is a youtuber doesn't automatically make his sales invalid. no real reason to call the highest 2 sales outliers and make the range with the lowest sales that occurred.
Ok, time to complicate things even more xD
Your missing the 2nd unusual that was added to my sale, the Sulphorus Noble Nickel Amassment. I think blaze had it in his sug, heres the other side of the compare http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1482019200/1482105600. You have the correct amount of sweets added, which blaze doesn't, however. This should cap that sale at my 130 B/O. Also btw, your Slumber Fortunate Son mini is insuficent, but heres what I sold it for http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1483920000/1484006400. You probably didn't see it because the time stamps are a bit weird. I sold the swirl + 3 key taunt for a burning hetmans http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200 (I sold the hetmans for almost bp.tf price in pure), and the Frontier d'justice I added like 7 keys sweets for an eldritch helmet http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1485734400/1485820800 (~62, sellers for much less but still easily caps at my 60 b/o of the fortunate).
TLDR My sale is 130.
What I bought it for also has a story. Apparently the guy I bought it from was brokering the hat, and after completing the trade, refused to give the owner the stuff back, quickselling the 2 unusuals (attendant and cranium). Feel free to add the guy, hed give you confirmation and probably tell you his life story along the way lol. He added me begging for me to give him the hat back since he got scamed, ofc I feel bad for him but def not giving him free stuff :/
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198138577355 - victim
http://backpack.tf/item/1660328675 - qsed in 1 day
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138577355#!/compare/1480636800/1480723200 - cloud crasher being given to "broker"
The scammer seems to of gotten away with it. I never reported him because I didn't have screenshots of him telling me that he was brokering etc. Kinda sad. Id probably exclude this sale.
Also this sale http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138577355#!/compare/1480291200/1480636800 almost out of date but supports ~110 given my current ninja hood sug (which might be low bc blazes neutron muff sug was closed and it was based on that)
Also, the scorching rebel rouser mini is probably a tad low; id probably want another sale there, and there's plenty of data points here to exclude it. 122 (outdated) --> 88 feels a bit eh as far as a mini. Its not that far out of date.
That leaves us with
(~110), 98, 157, 130, 140 (joes buyout def needs to be here)
Id probably go with 100 - 140 here, calling 157 an outlier due to the lack of b/o cap. Id probably want a mods opinion on this for sure before you actually resuggest - too much uncertianty. I agree that Pyro Joe's sale should not be included if it wernt for the b/o cap, people were definitely feeling bad for him because he got so absurdly salty at the price suggestion (lol). He said he could and would take 140 in the video, and that wouldn't be influenced by the feel-bad fans, so 140s fine for the range.
xD at the length of this comment
Wow Xergoyf That's Massive (kek)
So just to clarify your sale was the Bonzo for the Nickel, Fortunate Son + ~19 Keys?
I never included the sale including the Scammer. The compare link is: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138577355#!/compare/1480636800/1480723200
I also seem to have missed that sale with the Hood?!
Yeah the rebel could be higher due to it's effect.
Because I hate rounding It would end up 98 - 140 But as it's 1 of 1 and in a collectors backpack I doubt it'll sell again so a wide range could be a possibility?
I also think mods will be more Lenient if some sales are slightly out of date as you can see we need all the sales to find what's what.
Yeah It makes sense what you're saying but I'm just gonna wait for a mod to clarify or else it'll be a pointless resuggest.
I agree the rebel is probably low here at 88. Overpaid for the spy set. This would be better suited to updating the rebel since it would probably be the only usable sale for the rebel. Or you could consider going 90-115.
Adding past b/os here for reference. Pretty clear 157 and 179 are outliers.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28737860 - 130
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28764209 - 140
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28720884 - 130
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28642823 - less than 130
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28636450 - 120
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28619603 - was willing to do the mining light (was up-to-date at 120 when the offer was made)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28612579 - 110?
That leaves us with the sales at 98, 110, 130. 100-130 or so should work here
Whew this just gets more complicated all the time! Well 98 - 130 sounds good I'll resug later!
Whew this just gets more complicated all the time! Well 98 - 130 sounds good I'll resug later!