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Small drop.
2 recent traceable sales.
Sale 1:
Sold for a Green Black Hole Tough Stuff Muffs(250 keys)
Proof: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136180916#!/compare/1490572800/1490832000
Capping at 230 key buyout: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28760887
= 230
Sale 2:
Sold with ~10 keys in sweets for a Purple Energy Hat With No Name(220)
Proof: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136180916#!/compare/1490832000/1490918400
= 210
Minis:
HWNN - 2 recent sales
Sale 1(bulk): https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127164669#!/compare/1491004800/1491091200
Sale 2: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127164669#!/compare/1491091200/1491350400
Seems like it sold for a duped Cloudy moon Modest.
Going with 210-230.
More proof/counter proof/feedback/constructive criticism is always appreciated
Wait, why are you taking 220 for the duped CM modest? That value is eight months outdated and that's just the clean one - duped is definitely worth way less. You'll need a better mini on the HWNN (or a duped CM modest mini)