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DBD BoA:
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125447760#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200
115 pure
[Taking 115]
Sale 2:
Seller:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073553007#!/compare/1485302400/1485388800
125 keys pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28733024
[Taking 125]
Sale 3:
buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165979335#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400
Looks like 91 pure.
seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126204929#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400
142 keys added, but from multiple sources inlcuding the buyer
91 < X < 142
[Excluding]
Sale 4:
buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296878368#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800
seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800
Sold for pro aussie sniper (33) + green black hole mirror (54-59, recent sugg) + p.fetti elf esteem (12, in-date) + 5 keys
no findable B/O: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28710403
mirror mini:
http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58eaf1dbc440452fd1402507
X = 33 + 56.5 + 12 + 5 = 106.5 ~ 107
[Taking 107]
Sale 5:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103392733#!/compare/1485043200/1485129600
Looks like he cashed out. Tough to say.
[Excluding]
Sale 6:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121731353#!/compare/1488412800/1488499200
Bulky
[Excluding]
Sale 7:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055195449#!/compare/1489104000/1489276800
Nothing added. Probably sold the keys he got from Julia.
[Excluding]
Sale 8:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115160019#!/compare/1489968000/1490054400
Bought for DBD Fruit Shoot (21, in-date) + DBD Trilby (28-35, in-date) + DBD Engineer's Cap (26, in-date) + DBD Boxcar Bomber (88, 1 year ago) + spec.ks aussie wrench (~18.5)
Boxcar mini:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146212942#!/compare/1488844800/1488931200
With orb.fire gym rat for logo le france
Basically, close to 88. Still caps at B/O.
X = 21 + 31.5 + 26 + (88) + 18.5 = 185
Capped by B/O of 150: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28841093
[Taking 150]
Sale 9:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384#!/compare/1488931200/1489017600
Sold with a HOUWAR (60, in-date) for PE rack (182-210, 11 months ago) + NNB Ten Gallon (19-22, 6 months ago)
Seller's OP for the BoA: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28792531, wiped B/O
Previous trade for same hat: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28766546, B/O 140
X = -60 + ~200 + ~17
Likely caps at 140.
[Taking 140]
Sale 10:
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005273439#!/compare/1489190400/1489276800
Sold for DP BoA (56-65, 7 months ago) + KW Hong Kong Cone (61-70, in-date)
DP BoA mini:
Unsold at 60 for 3 months
Couldn't find any recent sales
Buyers 32-38
Have to call it 60 unless sale proof found.
X = 60 + 65.5 = 125.5
[Taking 125]
Sales of 107, 115, 125, 125, 140, 150
Because the 140 and 150 sales were B/O caps, I'm more inclined to call them outliers.
Unsold at 155 for 29 days; buyers at 98-100.
http://tinypic.com/r/e9xd15/9
Most common point is 125, including 115 due to buyers.
Final range: 115-125 keys.
B/O caps are totally usable man, an "outlier" is about its distance from the other sales. B/O caps exist for exactly this reason.
I'd be far more inclined to call the highest and lowest sales outliers and take 115-140. It's a lot more representative.
You're probably right. I was hoping to capture the most common trading price, but including 140 should be fine.