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~137.5 keys
dbd
Unusual Brotherhood of Arms Disco Beat Down
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DBD BoA:


Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125447760#!/compare/1484956800/1485043200

115 pure


[Taking 115]


Sale 2:

Seller:https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073553007#!/compare/1485302400/1485388800

125 keys pure


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28733024


[Taking 125]


Sale 3:

buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165979335#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400

Looks like 91 pure.

seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126204929#!/compare/1489104000/1489190400

142 keys added, but from multiple sources inlcuding the buyer


91 < X < 142


[Excluding]


Sale 4:

buyer: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296878368#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800

seller: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1484438400/1484524800


Sold for pro aussie sniper (33) + green black hole mirror (54-59, recent sugg) + p.fetti elf esteem (12, in-date) + 5 keys

no findable B/O: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28710403


mirror mini:

http://backpack.tf/suggestion/58eaf1dbc440452fd1402507


X = 33 + 56.5 + 12 + 5 = 106.5 ~ 107


[Taking 107]


Sale 5:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103392733#!/compare/1485043200/1485129600

Looks like he cashed out. Tough to say.


[Excluding]


Sale 6:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121731353#!/compare/1488412800/1488499200

Bulky


[Excluding]


Sale 7:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055195449#!/compare/1489104000/1489276800

Nothing added. Probably sold the keys he got from Julia.


[Excluding]


Sale 8:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115160019#!/compare/1489968000/1490054400

Bought for DBD Fruit Shoot (21, in-date) + DBD Trilby (28-35, in-date) + DBD Engineer's Cap (26, in-date) + DBD Boxcar Bomber (88, 1 year ago) + spec.ks aussie wrench (~18.5)


Boxcar mini:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146212942#!/compare/1488844800/1488931200

With orb.fire gym rat for logo le france

Basically, close to 88. Still caps at B/O.


X = 21 + 31.5 + 26 + (88) + 18.5 = 185

Capped by B/O of 150: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28841093


[Taking 150]


Sale 9:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384#!/compare/1488931200/1489017600

Sold with a HOUWAR (60, in-date) for PE rack (182-210, 11 months ago) + NNB Ten Gallon (19-22, 6 months ago)


Seller's OP for the BoA: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28792531, wiped B/O

Previous trade for same hat: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/28766546, B/O 140


X = -60 + ~200 + ~17

Likely caps at 140.


[Taking 140]


Sale 10:

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198005273439#!/compare/1489190400/1489276800

Sold for DP BoA (56-65, 7 months ago) + KW Hong Kong Cone (61-70, in-date)


DP BoA mini:

Unsold at 60 for 3 months

Couldn't find any recent sales

Buyers 32-38

Have to call it 60 unless sale proof found.


X = 60 + 65.5 = 125.5


[Taking 125]


Sales of 107, 115, 125, 125, 140, 150

Because the 140 and 150 sales were B/O caps, I'm more inclined to call them outliers.


Unsold at 155 for 29 days; buyers at 98-100.

http://tinypic.com/r/e9xd15/9


Most common point is 125, including 115 due to buyers.


Final range: 115-125 keys.

    B/O caps are totally usable man, an "outlier" is about its distance from the other sales. B/O caps exist for exactly this reason.

    I'd be far more inclined to call the highest and lowest sales outliers and take 115-140. It's a lot more representative.

      You're probably right. I was hoping to capture the most common trading price, but including 140 should be fine.