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Only taking sales from the last month
Sale #1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093707809#!/compare/1495497600/1496016000
Cashout?
Sale #2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197995194055#!/compare/1496620800/1496707200
Bulk
Sale #3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126679929#!/compare/1496880000/1496966400
Sold for Tiger Conga (236) + GE VRH (47)
= 283 keys
Sale #4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125791160#!/compare/1496448000/1496534400
Sold for Duped Burning FR (177) + Eerie AA (29) + Vivid FFF (35) + Tiger Disco Fever (50)
= 291
Sale #5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087172601#!/compare/1496620800/1496707200
Sold for SGG Bronco (35) + C9 Bandana (20) + Steaming Elf (10.5) + Neutron Slick Cut (36) + Sulph Steel Toe (25) + Insomnia RObo Tower (26) + Stormy Berliners (14) + G.Fetti Thirst (16.5) + Nuts Private Eye (14)
= 197 keys
Sale #6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329291302#!/compare/1496707200/1496793600
Quicksold?
Minis
Tiger Conga
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/594b8ee9cf6c752ccb68a541 - 236
Duped Burning FR
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028274974#!/compare/1493683200/1493769600
=~177 keys
Eerie AA
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/594b91f6cf6c752cde265e64 - 29 keys
Vivid FFF
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029169070#!/compare/1496534400/1496620800
= 35 keys
C9 Bandana
https://gyazo.com/c9bbb0ca5f73c4e721745406548d7877 - 20 keys
Neutron Slick
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084447725#!/compare/1494979200/1495065600
Sold with ~4 key sweets for Duped Hearts Merry ( sellers @40) = 36 keys
Sulph Toe
No minis, using current price
SS Berlin
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168274677#!/compare/1494979200/1496016000
~15 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167643864#!/compare/1496707200/1496793600
~13 keys
Taking 13-15 keys
Nuts Private
https://gyazo.com/a8ea8bb0a93f64a67a25f5a7e942467d - 14
Rounding and taking 200-290 keys
Rip meme
I like how people just make up their own rules now.
https://marketplace.tf/items/30570;5;u3006/Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Pool%20Party
Sale at $290, 2 months ago. Current seller at $360, backpack listing is 4 days old, but he's had it since June 7th.
360$
http://imgur.com/KpDwvxg
more thinking of 150-200 keys.
That will probably be correct at some point, but right now there are 2 sales at 290 and only 1 at 150. If there happen more sales at 150 in the next month then I can see that totally happening tho.
Accepting this as a conservative drop now tho for the time being.