When I go out, I'ma go out shootin'!

I don't mean when I die, I mean when I go out to the club, stupid!

Remember Me?

Resuggesting. More adjustments

Sale #1

Bulk sale for a Green Energy Dr's Dapper Topper

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1502582400/1502755200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198260747931#!/compare/1502668800/1502755200

Sale #2

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169285775#!/compare/1502150400/1502409600

Sale #3

Bulk sale for a Startorm Insomnia Killer Exclusive

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080996895#!/compare/1501200000/1501372800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169285775#!/compare/1501200000/1501372800

Sale #4

Sold for a Neutron Star Big Topper (~18, mini below) + 4 keys + ~7 keys worth of sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29281588

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202135278#!/compare/1500249600/1500336000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080996895#!/compare/1500249600/1500336000

= 18 + 4 + 7 = 29 keys

Neutron Topper mini

Sold for 18 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29283721

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126835242#!/compare/1500422400/1500508800

=18 keys

Sale #5

3-way, bulk trade for a Scorching Flames L'Homme Burglerre

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202135278#!/compare/1499990400/1500163200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165164137#!/compare/1499558400/1500076800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198869057#!/compare/1499990400/1500076800

Sale #6

Can't seem to trace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057747574#!/compare/1499644800/1499990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198869057#!/compare/1499990400/1500076800

Sale #7

Sold for an Orbiting Planets Team Captain (~37, mini below) + Blizzardy Storm Your Worst Nightmare (~21) + 8 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29273978

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057747574#!/compare/1499644800/1499990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091706202#!/compare/1499904000/1499990400

= 37 + 21 + 8 = 66 keys

B/o constraint = 60 keys

https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:VVTQ3ZQKx-4J:www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29273978

Credits to King for the link

Planets TC mini

Sold for a Blizzardy Storm Modest Pile of Hat (~31) + 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091706202#!/compare/1500249600/1500336000

= 31 + 6 = 37 keys

Sale #8

Sold for a Circling Heart Killer's Kabuto (~42.5, mini below)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29258383

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071737757#!/compare/1499126400/1499212800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091706202#!/compare/1499126400/1499212800

= 42.5 keys -> 43 keys

C. Heart Kabuto mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5996df20cf6c754e0e0b6e82 ~42.5 keys

Sale #9

Sold w/ 2 keys for an Orbiting Planets Law (~34, mini below) + Orbiting Planets Cotton Head (~23.5, mini below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061182096#!/compare/1498608000/1498867200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071737757#!/compare/1498780800/1498867200

= 34 + 23.5 = 56.5 -> 57 keys

Planets Law mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5996edb3cf6c75083963ef44 ~34 keys

Planets Cotton mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5996ed80cf6c750733244713 ~23.5 keys

Sale #10

Sold w/ ~2 keys worth of sweets + 2 keys for a Circling Peace Sign Killer's Kabuto (~31) + Circling Peace Sign Handyman's Handle (~10.5) + Circling Peace Sign Gauzed Gaze (~20, mini below)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118254940#!/compare/1498262400/1498348800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061182096#!/compare/1498348800/1498435200

= (31 + 10.5 + 20) - (2 + 2) = 57.5 -> 58 keys

Peace Sign Kabuto mini

Couldn't find a mini for the Kabuto. It's only recently been outdated, though, so I doubt the price would have a drastic fluctuation. Taking it as it is.

Peace Sign Gaze mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/597a55b9cf6c7542401af5b8 ~20 keys

Sale #11

Sold for a Roboactive Jumper's Jeepcap (~56.5, mini below) + Earbuds (~1.7) + ~3 keys worth of sweets

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29301263

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157323044#!/compare/1501372800/1501459200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1501286400/1501459200

= 56.5 + 1.7 + 3 = 61.2 -> 61 keys

RA Jeepcap mini

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5997244ccf6c75733b28b139

Sale #12

Complex-ish trade

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087172601#!/compare/1500336000/1500508800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050959046#!/compare/1500422400/1500508800

Sale #13

Sold w/ a Blizzardy Storm Pirate's Bandana (~18) + 3 keys for an Anti-Freeze Front Runner (~82)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1500595200/1500681600

= 82 - (18 + 3) = 61 keys

Sale #14

Can't seem to trace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152219414#!/compare/1499990400/1500854400

Sale #15

Sold for ~27 keys worth of sweets + 23 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043601405#!/compare/1498003200/1498176000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152219414#!/compare/1498089600/1498176000

= 27 + 23 = 50 keys

Sale #16

Sold for 49 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29263596

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049884052#!/compare/1500336000/1500422400

= 49 keys

Sale #17

Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174203179#!/compare/1498867200/1498953600

Buyers

http://i.imgur.com/1JxRCtw.png

x1 at 43 keys

Conclusion:

Sales at:

29 - obvious outlier

43 - countered by the buyers

49

50

57

58

61

61

61

They're all quite evenly distributed. There aren't much indications which are the clear outliers, save for the 29 and the 43 key sales, of course. Going with 49-61 keys as the new price.

Additional/Supportive and Counter Evidence is always appreciated.

Discovery out ヽ༼ຈل͜ຈ༽ﾉ