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Including sales over 30 days old, as the sales in the last 30 days aren’t gonna cut it.
0-30 days old:
Sales 1 & 2:
Sold for $49.99 and $50 on Marketplace.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/1112;5;u3005
https://backpack.tf/item/2770790758
https://backpack.tf/item/2884589330 one of these two histories are the one from the 21st of December, not sure about the one that occurred on the 26th.
49.99/1.9 = ~26.3
50/2.02 = ~24.8
X = 25 & 26
Sale 3:
Sold for 14 keys in ~1-2 days
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344933095#!/compare/1515283200/1515369600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198293915597#!/compare/1515283200/1515369600
X = 14
30-60 days old:
Sale 4:
Sold for Neutron Star Fruit Shoot (Suggestion at 23.5)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29449786 - No B/O
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232885972#!/compare/1511395200/1511481600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286234945#!/compare/1511395200/1511481600
X = 24
Sale 5:
Sold for Max’s Head (~19 at the time)
No outpost
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241780530#!/compare/1511654400/1511740800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073973581#!/compare/1511654400/1511740800
X = 19
Sale 6:
Sold for 17 keys
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198286234945#!/compare/1511568000/1511654400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179285485#!/compare/1511568000/1511654400
X = 17
Sale 7:
Bulk for pan
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1511654400/1511740800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076641199#!/compare/1509926400/1511740800
Sale 8:
Bulk for Stormy Storm DCO
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192647686#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019257028#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600
Sale 9:
Bulk for Miami Nights Law
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019257028#!/compare/1512691200/1512777600
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105928603#!/compare/1512259200/1512777600
Sale 10:
Sold for Cool Factory New Blitzkrieg Stickybomb Launcher
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198179285485#!/compare/1511568000/1511654400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241780530#!/compare/1511568000/1511654400
no
Neutron Star Fruit Shoot:
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a5a05ddcf6c7563bb1b0e1e
Sellers:
16 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/wZ0DQxG.png - young
https://i.imgur.com/kxtGHic.png - 4 days
17 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/axbXIwX.png - 7 days
20 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/fZIctJq.png - 2 days
27 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/QvXezgn.png - 20 days
40 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/h6reniP.png - 7 days
https://i.imgur.com/MWmbJuC.png - 29 days
55 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/6OtfqFp.png - 2 months
60 keys:
https://i.imgur.com/r6NsIDw.png - 2 months
Steam Community Market Sellers:
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Party%20Trick?filter=fountain
https://i.imgur.com/5ZzobVW.png
$39.10 9 ~16 keys
$45 (2x) ~18 keys
$88.98 ~36 keys
$101.44 ~41 keys
Sales at:
14
17
19
24
25
26
14 quicksold, excluding 24.
Given that there are 4 sellers for up to 35% less than the sales at 24-26, I’d say that the sales at 24-26 should be excluded as outliers.
Sellers at 16, should be used to set the low-end.
Going with 16-19.
The second seller at 16 keys sold for 16 keys:
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061440669#!/compare/1515801600/1515888000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055747230#!/compare/1515801600/1515888000
X = 16
The seller at 17 looks to have sold for 17 keys too:
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1515801600/1515888000
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029357944#!/compare/1515715200/1515974400
Can't confirm that it sold for that though.
Also i realise an error i made in the conclusion part of my original post:
"14 quicksold, excluding 24." that's obviously meant to be "excluding 14", not 24.
Bulk for Green Energy Deep Cover Operator
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139229580#!/compare/1516320000/1516406400
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085269574#!/compare/1516320000/1516406400
Looks like on of the ones listed for $45 on the SCM sold on Jan 17th, and the seller at $39.10 seems to have sold, or removed their listing.