Suggestion: Burning Flames Brotherhood of Arms at 2200 keys

Price Suggestion

~434.5 keys

burning

41 votes up

7 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Thu, 01 Mar 18 17:19:35 +0000 by the submitter.

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Comments

YEAHHHHHHHHHHH, no.

Burning Flames Brotherhood of Arms

Sale #1

Sold for a Burning Flames Hong Kong Cone, Sunbeams Hong Kong Cone, and 51 keys. {Supportive since it’s a little too old and is a rabbit hole of minis.}

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089291231#!/compare/1506988800/1507161600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000730178#!/compare/1507075200/1507161600

{Excluding}

Sale #2

Sold for a DUPED Burning Flames Team Captain. {?} {Only being used for minimal support. Reasoning below.}

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296492523#!/compare/1515369600/1515456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1515369600/1515456000

https://image.prntscr.com/image/cpDp_3nXTsiBULFMPQb65Q.png

{Excluding}

Sale #3

Sold for $3990 / $1.82 on OPskins.

https://opskins.com/?item=72135619&loc=shop_view_item

https://backpack.tf/item/5642946235

https://image.prntscr.com/image/ndVqqiQzSmeocAJzMqYSGw.png {Creds Sparta}

https://image.prntscr.com/image/xfOxhrDwSgSrbeW7PFfm0g.png {Creds Sparta}

Taking 2200k

Marketplace sellers at $2,095.00 and $2,100.00 to keep an eye on as well as the $4,899.99 seller.

https://image.prntscr.com/image/wB6gZkTITI_bWsefnn3m8w.png

https://backpack.tf/item/5389366554

https://backpack.tf/item/5078682165

https://backpack.tf/item/5006098987

Can’t find any traceable sales for Burning HKC. Taking current price.

Sunbeams HKC has some sales that’ll may minimally affect its value, but will more or less support this flat price. If you wanna see what the Sunbeams HKC has sold for, here are the sales.

Sunbeams HKC “Mini”

Sale #1

Sold for a Scorching Flames Brown Bomber. {?} {Low}

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103480691#!/compare/1514332800/1514764800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065792603#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800

{Excluding}

Sale #2

Sold for a DUPED Green Energy Mining Light, Purple Energy Brotherhood of Arms, Hellfire Liquidator's Lid, Hot Festivized Professional Killstreak Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher (Minimal Wear), Hot Festivized Specialized Killstreak Butcher Bird Grenade Launcher (Minimal Wear), and a DUPED Bonzo The All-Gnawing Reggaelator.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296076323#!/compare/1510963200/1511049600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126893981#!/compare/1510876800/1511049600

Taking ___k

Sale #3

Sold for a Frostbite Dr's Dapper Topper, Fountain of Delight Taunt: Conga, Frostbite Galvanized Gibus, and ~58 keys in sweets.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089291231#!/compare/1515110400/1515196800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198291554347#!/compare/1515110400/1515196800

Taking ___k

In regards to the duped Burning TC ‘sale’, SexySparta agreed with someone to not share that sale, so its either this sale happened and it supports a higher value or it’s wrong and it means nothing. I pretty much have nothing to lose on that one.

Anyways, a flat price with a cash sale seems better to me then using an almost outdated sale with tons of minis for like what, a 100 key range? I think this’ll be fine.

Final Price: 2200k

This seems high especially considering that theres 2 sellers at ~half this too?

There are 2 (maybe 3) sales that support this higher price and no one knows how long those sellers have been there. Sales > Sellers.

I dont think anyone can have missed that theres been "massive Quicksells" or "good deals" on the BF BOA in the latest 6 months? I mean c'mon, I dont have proof for it tho as I didnt think it would be neccesary to keep. However

Yet one of them sells for $4k on OPskins like what, a week ago? I've laid out every bit of proof I have and I do not see a single reason for this being too high. No one knows how long those marketplace sellers have been up with their price which is why I noted them in the suggestion, along with the fact that I more or less have 3 sales that support my suggested price.

I know for a fact this is going to stay up for a month to keep an eye on the marketplace sellers, but as of right now nothing is wrong with this.

3 as of now

Exactly... This is just bs, qs or not 3 sellers at half suggested price is just a joke :3 Btw Sin nothing personal <3 But this is just a joke :3

Feel free to upvote the other suggestion then.

Sellers are currently at $1,995.00 and $2,000 on marketplace right now. The $4,899.99 seller has not changed price.

https://image.prntscr.com/image/9uEc3lvcRkefhKAA1NmDpQ.png

Sellers are back up to ~4k.

https://image.prntscr.com/image/7uqDqMU4TF61wsm0eFlPeg.png

https://image.prntscr.com/image/OFny6QAkSbGiw-H82WKHEg.png

Lowest seller is at 2079 keys using a key price of $1.90. If they mature there's the possibility of a range, otherwise nothing as of now counters my range.

Sellers rose their prices even higher.

https://image.prntscr.com/image/0f934hhwQVe9V6BoA8L7Cg.png

Sale Untraceable.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109361696#!/compare/1514505600/1515283200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014355017#!/compare/1517184000/1517529600

Nothing else to report.

Prices dropped again. Stay consistent god damnit ;-;

https://image.prntscr.com/image/6NQGpcBQQBOlHZMh5n1yHQ.png

New seller appeared.

https://backpack.tf/item/5078682165

Sellers dropped again.

https://image.prntscr.com/image/azsqXEJDR_eV5OD3t0v2Lw.png

Sale at ~880 keys and I can ask for proof in a bit. This'll be low compared to the three sales I provided above and with no sellers to support a lower price, this is looking ok.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nQgrnmWo47s

Can confirm the buyout price at 880 keys [$2200 USD] (not including paypal fees)

More Proof:

https://imgur.com/a/o1YJv

And the trade itself:

https://imgur.com/a/3BSB9

Little drops.

https://image.prntscr.com/image/G9N3yUv1TbihivNUvwmJcw.png

https://prnt.sc/igz6u0

ayy lmao look at this http://prntscr.com/iiwfc8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087192017#!/compare/1518566400/1518652800

I looked at that for less than a minute and can see that it's an unboxer sale and it's roughly like 500 keys. If Jewlander can quicksell it for 880 in cash, this is definitely too low.

Not keen on using it. Sorry.

yeah that's understandable just wanted to add it here, also to tell you to keep an eye on merp to see what he resells for

Of course, yeah. Thanks for the heads up regardless.

[wtf I left a comment here like 5 days ago and its gone oO]

While I guess those really low sales will end up being low, I think there are too many indications here that this is still too high. It evidently struggles to sell well below 2k keys. Those sellers have been there for over a month and a half, and while they are volatile, there is one constant - they're consistently below 2000. In that aspect, it is clear that 2200 flat will be too high - even as a conservative update.

What I would do at this point is resuggest this with the current mp sellers as low end and 2200 as high end. It's a sucky solution, but it's the best we have at this point. I guess this shows it's clear the hat's old value does not hold anymore now that there is competition, something that has lacked in the past, which is why it has managed to sell so much higher before.