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Purple Energy Crone's Dome
Sale 1: Sold for C. hearts KE (300) + Screaming Tiger Taunt: The Box Trot (13) + Holy Grail Taunt: Pool Party (30.5; priced less than a month ago) + Fountain of Delight Taunt: Didgeridrongo (24) + Max (20) + Aussie Pro KS Sniper (35) + Aussie Spec KS Flamethrower (16) + Strange Corona Australis (26) + ~53 keys in sweets --> 517.5; rounding to 518
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105989510#!/compare/1514332800/1514419200
No traceable B/O
Mini KE: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a86df9f44325a48205cdd6c
Mini Box trot: 13 keys pure https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072240925#!/compare/1517529600/1517616000
Mini Didgeridongo: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a8663cd44325a438353fd0c
Sale 2: Sold for Burning Flames Batter's Helmet (92.5) + duped Burning Flames Demoman's Fro (60.5) + Anti-Freeze War Pig (240) + Green Energy Herald's Helm (54) + 45 keys pure --> 492
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053767371#!/compare/1515110400/1515369600
B/O: 600 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29461378
Mini Fro: 35 keys + Aussie Grenade (12) + Aussie Stickybomb (13.5) --> 60.5 keys https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053767371#!/compare/1517011200/1517616000 (credits TeenyTinyCat)
Sale 3: Sold for Burning Tipped Lid
Using this sale on the Lid which has only 1 other sale and that includes a lot of taunts
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1517961600/1518134400
Sale 4: Sold for Bonzo The All-Gnawing Reggaelator + Sunbeams Bonk Helm (57.5) + duped Knifestorm Modest Pile of Hat + Death at Dusk Well-Rounded Rifleman (139) + duped Purple Energy Defiant Spartan + Orbiting Planets War Pig (30) + ~50 keys in items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045399485#!/compare/1518134400/1518220800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208062409#!/compare/1518134400/1518220800
Excluding due to lack of mini for the duped Spartan.
Mini Reggaealator:
Mini duped Modest:
Mini Rifleman 1: Sold for 155 keys https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065110530#!/compare/1511136000/1511222400
Mini Rifleman 2: Sold for KaW Viewfiner (122.5) --> Using 139 as mini
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114594037#!/compare/1512259200/1512432000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011321852#!/compare/1512345600/1512432000
Mini duped Spartan: Spartan is impossible to mini. All the sales are either bulk or untraceable.
Sales at 492, 518. Sale 4 is might be higher than sales 1 and 2 but because it's not possible to use due to lack of minis it has to be excluded. Some uncertainty on sale 4 remains.
Unsold at 660 for 2 months. Buyers at 220. https://i.imgur.com/g6KZ84l.png
Suggesting range from 490 to 520.
phat drop :thinking:
yay , my fav hat is dropping (time to buy it)
It has been unsold at 660 for 2 months so the drop can't be unexpected.
not to be biased. but this price suggestion is dumb. just cause some guy sells his for a crap hat and a bunch of crap taunts, the price shouldnt drop 200 keys lmao. its a high tier hat for a reason. not many people have 600+ keys laying around to spend. plus green energy remains untouched. cut this bs out.
Well the unsold at 660 stats that it's current price is way too high
And what about sale 2? That's a bunch of pretty nice looking hats
GE Can Also need a drop, and Darkblaze is indate at 773, And that effect is generally way higher than both the energies
Two young sellers now at 600. https://i.imgur.com/sEdJjB9.png
Missed a sale; almost outdated (88 days ago)
Sold for 120 keys pure + Screaming Tiger Shred Alert (20) + Mega Strike Taunt: Zoomin' Broom (25) + Spectral Swirl Taunt: Rock, Paper, Scissors (17.5) + Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: The Box Trot (16) + Dead Presidents Brainiac Hairpiece (17) + Purple Confetti Noble Amassment of Hats (20) + Orbiting Planets Troublemaker's Tossle Cap (14) + Fountain of Delight Taunt: Pool Party (92.5) --> 342
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092654543#!/compare/1512172800/1512259200
Mini Shred Alert: various sales on Mp.TF. Taking 20 keys https://marketplace.tf/items/1015;5;u3006 https://i.imgur.com/4iL7qWb.png (credits Randy)
Mini Brainiac: ~17 keys ; unsold at ~18 on classifieds https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218015440#!/compare/1518998400/1519084800
Mini Tossle: ~14 keys; Tossl is unsold at ~15 on classifieds so this should work. https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148504675#!/compare/1516233600/1519516800
Not sure if it's worth resuggesting a range from 340 to 520. Sale 5 might be an outlier but supports that it needs a drop
spartan mini:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305558600#!/compare/1514419200/1514592000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160120451#!/compare/1514505600/1514592000
Sold for bubbling mohawk + sweets; was resold for 42 keys (qs)
Sale before that was with GE dapper for GE rota
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964171516#!/compare/1514505600/1514592000
explains the rest of that compare
Youll need to look into the other hats in that trade as well.
Not sure what you mean by I need to look into the other hats? What hats are you talking about?
The other hats in that trade that you haven't minied
Ok. Here is a mini for the Knifestorm duped Modest:
Sold for Cloudy Moon Modest Pile of Hat (200) + Vivid Plasma Das Ubersternmann (60) + Holy Grail Taunt: The High Five! (51) --> 311. Seems really high given that the hat is priced 224. It's the only mini sale I found and I couldn't trace a b/o for it on outpost.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052196602#!/compare/1512345600/1512432000
Micro High 5: Sold for 100 USD on MP.TF. 1 key = 1.95 USD --> ~51 keys
Other sales like this one are bulk: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961279983#!/compare/1516233600/1516320000
Bonzo Reggaealator has no other sale. See its history: https://backpack.tf/item/3127055144 Only other sale is with a marked scammer. The other one is duped. https://backpack.tf/item/3127598555
-- Sale 4 remains unusable.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29522137 the buyer there had it listed at 230, so I guess that'd be a decent indicator for pure expectations from that sale
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5a622bea44325a33c909ad69 Bonzo reggae has shown to be able to sell above current sellers. While I'm not a fan of capping at current sellers, I guess for a mini, 120 will do in this case (was used as such in other suggestions as well as a mini, where it supported other values; overall it's a decent estimate here).
That means that aside from that, all it'd need is a bbbling mohawk mini the spartan mini
Bubbling Mohawk
Sale 1: Sold for Time Warp Letch's LED; unpriced but unsold a 50.
https://www.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095909405#!/compare/1514592000/1514678400
Sale 2: Sold together with minor sweets for 36 keys pure (Quicksell)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176125115#!/compare/1514678400/1514764800
Sale 3: Sold together with Terror-Watt Nanobalaclava + '72 Taunt: Flippin' Awesome (11.5) for Harvest Moon Nanobalaclava for
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198076588232#!/compare/1513382400/1513468800
Both Nanos would need more micros.
Sale 4: Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251704884#!/compare/1514419200/1514505600
Seeing as the Mohawk is already a micro for the Spartan, I am unsure if making another two micro for Harvest Moon Nano and Terror Watt Nano is a good idea. With all these micros the price might not end up accurately. 36 was likely a quicksell. The Letch's LED would require another micro as well.
Let's have another look at sale 4:
Sale 4: Sold for Bonzo The All-Gnawing Reggaelator (120) + Sunbeams Bonk Helm (57.5) + duped Knifestorm Modest Pile of Hat (230) + Death at Dusk Well-Rounded Rifleman (139) + duped Purple Energy Defiant Spartan + Orbiting Planets War Pig (30) + ~50 keys in items
So far sale 4 clocks in at 626. Let's assume the Spartan is over 35 keys. That would put it above 660. It was unsold at 660 for over 2 months (see screenshot). This sale is a high outlier and countered by unsolds. Sale 5 (311) also supports together with sales 1 and 2 that sale 4 is high.
Given that its unsold at 500 keys for 1 month now and there is in fact another sale way lower than 500, I'm ok with calling both outliers, the ~340 key sale and the ~660 key sale (equally far away from 500 keys).
2 sellers at 500. Unsold for 12 days at that price now. https://i.imgur.com/aethnym.png