Here we goooo

Burning Flames Brotherhood of Arms.

Sale #1

Sold for a Burning Flames Hong Kong Cone, Sunbeams Hong Kong Cone, and 51 keys. {Supportive since it’s a little too old and is a rabbit hole of minis.}

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089291231#!/compare/1506988800/1507161600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000730178#!/compare/1507075200/1507161600

{Excluding}

Sale #2

Sold for a DUPED Burning Flames Team Captain. {?} {Only being used for minimal support. Reasoning below.}

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198296492523#!/compare/1515369600/1515456000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054758757#!/compare/1515369600/1515456000

https://image.prntscr.com/image/cpDp_3nXTsiBULFMPQb65Q.png

{Excluding}

Sale #3

Sold for $3990 / $1.82 on OPskins.

https://opskins.com/?item=72135619&loc=shop_view_item

https://backpack.tf/item/5642946235

https://image.prntscr.com/image/ndVqqiQzSmeocAJzMqYSGw.png {Creds Sparta}

https://image.prntscr.com/image/xfOxhrDwSgSrbeW7PFfm0g.png {Creds Sparta}

Taking 2200k

For less clutter, I moved the Sunbeams HKC mini in a pastebin. Used for support.

https://pastebin.com/yLLLS8tn

High end reasoning

"In regards to the duped Burning TC ‘sale’, SexySparta agreed with someone to not share that sale, so its either this sale happened and it supports a higher value or it’s wrong and it means nothing. I pretty much have nothing to lose on that one.

Anyways, a flat price with a cash sale seems better to me then using an almost outdated sale with tons of minis for like what, a 100 key range? I think this’ll be fine."

Current Sellers

https://prnt.sc/ilhmpg

https://backpack.tf/item/5389366554

https://backpack.tf/item/5078682165

https://backpack.tf/item/5006098987

Current Marketplace key price

http://prntscr.com/ilhohv

https://marketplace.tf/items/5021;6/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

Taking 1750k

Low end reasoning

http://prntscr.com/ilhngq

"While I guess those really low sales will end up being low, I think there are too many indications here that this is still too high. It evidently struggles to sell well below 2k keys. Those sellers have been there for over a month and a half, and while they are volatile, there is one constant - they're consistently below 2000. In that aspect, it is clear that 2200 flat will be too high - even as a conservative update.

What I would do at this point is resuggest this with the current mp sellers as low end and 2200 as high end. It's a sucky solution, but it's the best we have at this point. I guess this shows it's clear the hat's old value does not hold anymore now that there is competition, something that has lacked in the past, which is why it has managed to sell so much higher before."

Final Price: 1750k-2200k