Sales 1 & 2:

Sold for $14 and $8 on Marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/30844;5;u3009

14/1.95 = 7.18

8/1.95 = 4.1

X = 7

X = 4

Sale 3:

Sold for 5 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395846608#!/compare/1523145600/1523577600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098418759#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600

X = 5

Sale 4:

Sold for 5 keys (Buyer’s end)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098418759#!/compare/1523232000/1523404800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120768380#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000

X = 5

Sale 5:

Sold with ~3.5 keys in items for Pro. KS Big Kill (8)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143364483#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198432068902#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600

X = 4.5

Sale 6:

Bulk for Abduction Head Full of Hot Air

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154370879#!/compare/1523491200/1523577600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1523491200/1523577600

Sale 7:

Sold with a strange cosmetic (1) for Terror-Watt Geisha Boy

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120768380#!/compare/1523145600/1523232000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198307532189#!/compare/1522713600/1523232000

Seems pretty high without a B/O, excluding.

Sale 8:

Sold with a ~1 key item for Purple Confetti Airdog

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198432068902#!/compare/1523059200/1523145600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055470739#!/compare/1522972800/1523232000

Same story as the last sale.

Bot.tf stats:

https://i.imgur.com/aM0SOwW.png

Bought at 5 keys + 10 ref

Sold for 5 keys + 25 ref

I could not find the item’s history unfortunately.

X = 5.5

X = 6

Sellers:

7 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/bw4DoDZ.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6749251635

Sales at:

4

4.5

5 (2x)

5.5

6

7

SCM buyers at ~5.5 keys worth: https://i.imgur.com/ebitGX1.png

Excluding 5.5 and lower.

I may be excluding a lot of lower sales, but there are a couple sales that are significantly higher that are being excluded too, which might help balance that out a bit. Still not too sure about the range, feedback would be appreciated.

Going with 6-7 for now.