Sale 1:

Sold for 11 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198304138933#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198271894529#!/compare/1527724800/1527811200

https://backpack.tf/item/279750549

X = 11

Sale 2:

Sold for $20 on marketplace.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/174;5;u12

Couldn’t find item history.

https://marketplace.tf/items/5021;6/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key - manic.tf has no sales on this date.

20/1.88 = ~10.64

X = 11

Sale 3:

Quicksold for 9 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350962615#!/compare/1533859200/1533945600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801119167#!/compare/1533859200/1533945600

https://backpack.tf/item/168135981

X = 9

Sellers:

~10.15 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/ByH7Ukp.png

https://backpack.tf/item/265156521

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1533340800/1533427200 - Obtained ~5th August, about 2.5 weeks ago.

14 keys:

https://i.imgur.com/cU6zzQ6.png

https://backpack.tf/item/371674082

Sales at:

9

11 (2x)

9 quicksold, excluding 9.

Unsold on scrap.tf for more than 2 weeks. Since we’re using a seller as a low-end, rather than just doing a B/O drop, it should be fine to include it in the range.

Going with 10-11.