Suggestion: Nebula Universal Translator at 170–200 keys

Sold for Duped Purple Confetti Co-Pilot (Mini at 136 below) + Purple Confetti Brown Bomber + Strange Spec. KS FN Balloonicorn Sniper (~28) + Strange Pro. KS Balloonicorn Flame Thrower (~44)

https://i.imgur.com/lggFGhX.png - B/O of 190, Credits to Beaser

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1531699200/1531785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190186326#!/compare/1531699200/1531785600

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Balloonicorn%20Sniper%20Rifle%20%28Factory%20New%29 - Sale at $70 here on a non-Spec. KS one, was the best I could do. Taking 28 on the sniper

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Balloonicorn%20Flame%20Thrower%20%28Factory%20New%29 - very old sale at $110 here, couldn’t do anything better than that.

https://backpack.tf/item/6942767677

Without a Purple Confetti Brown Bomber Mini, this should still easily cap at the B/O.

X = 190 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 14:

Sold for 190 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1532131200/1532217600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108331387#!/compare/1532131200/1532304000

https://backpack.tf/item/4267826225

X = 190

Sale 15:

Sold for 190 keys, 60 went to the secret elf

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080218537#!/compare/1531699200/1531872000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198257905663#!/compare/1531785600/1531872000

https://backpack.tf/item/4195752235

X = 190

Sale 16:

Sold for 184 keys + Strange Festive Spec. KS Ambassador (~4)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29728376 - No B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198247314#!/compare/1533081600/1533168000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119349110#!/compare/1533081600/1533168000

https://backpack.tf/item/7003962188

X = 188

Sale 17:

Sold for 186 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085628805#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198071674964#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200

https://backpack.tf/item/7068315089

X = 186

Sale 18:

Sold for 185 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112336424#!/compare/1534032000/1534118400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000340956#!/compare/1533945600/1534032000

https://backpack.tf/item/6930207231

X = 185

Sale 19:

Sold for 184 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053747026#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046956665#!/compare/1508198400/1535068800

https://backpack.tf/item/6862348899

X = 184

Sale 20:

Sold for 180 keys + ~1 key in items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198365460548#!/compare/1531699200/1531785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996215628#!/compare/1531785600/1531872000

https://backpack.tf/item/6823843991

X = 181

Sale 21:

Sold for 180 keys (Buyer’s compare link)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823736236#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309178418#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

https://backpack.tf/item/7076651449

X = 180

Sale 22:

Sold for 180 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064490192#!/compare/1534464000/1534636800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022355711#!/compare/1533945600/1534464000

https://backpack.tf/item/5007544594

X = 180

Sale 23:

Sold for 180 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080218537#!/compare/1530748800/1530835200

https://backpack.tf/item/4195752235

X = 180

Sale 24:

Sold for DBD Team Captain (124) + 55 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29723504 - Offers

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165576105#!/compare/1533254400/1533340800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1533254400/1533340800

https://backpack.tf/item/4254695341

X = 179

Sale 25:

Sold for 179 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089997759#!/compare/1531440000/1531526400

https://backpack.tf/item/6588692355

X = 179

Sale 26:

Sold for 179 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1531612800/1531785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161016501#!/compare/1531440000/1531872000

https://backpack.tf/item/4440202038

X = 179

Sale 27:

Sold to a buy order for 178 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

https://backpack.tf/item/5771438191

X = 178

Sale 28:

Sold for 176 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047941585#!/compare/1532304000/1532390400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961279983#!/compare/1532304000/1532390400

https://backpack.tf/item/7000763217

X = 176

Sale 29:

Sold for 175 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174203179#!/compare/1535500800/1535673600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030343929#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600

https://backpack.tf/item/6299928604

X = 175

Sale 30:

Sold to a bot for 173 keys + 20 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121830870#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155110999#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

https://backpack.tf/item/6481689343

X = 174

Sale 31:

Sold to a buy order for 173 keys + 5 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1536019200/1536105600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1536105600/1536192000

https://backpack.tf/item/6650390181

X = 173

Sale 32:

Sold to a buy order for 172 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070474543#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

https://backpack.tf/item/6650390181

X = 172

Sale 33:

Sold to a buy order for 172 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996215628#!/compare/1535760000/1535846400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095902384#!/compare/1535760000/1535846400

https://backpack.tf/item/6481689343

X = 172

Sale 34:

Sold for 171 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069559160#!/compare/1536019200/1536105600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128550841#!/compare/1536019200/1536105600

https://i.imgur.com/Eih8a3o.png - was listed on marketplace, most likely why the seller didn’t appear in the history.

https://backpack.tf/item/7119120286

Listing ID was 7132555662 which, when put into the link ( https://backpack.tf/item/7132555662 ), results in a missing item, which confirms this.

X = 171

Sales 35-47 are item sales. Please refer to the bottom of this suggestion for more info on them.

Sale 35:

Sold for Demonflame Ze Goggles + Anti-Freeze Ze Goggles + Hellfire Ze Goggles + Kill-a-Watt Ze Goggles + 5 keys

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1533859200/1533945600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128550841#!/compare/1533859200/1533945600

https://backpack.tf/item/4254695341

Sale 36:

Sold for Burning Flames Bonk Leadwear + Duped Burning Flames Le Party Phantom + Green Energy Tough Guy’s Toque

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046921199#!/compare/1533859200/1533945600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085628805#!/compare/1533859200/1533945600

https://backpack.tf/item/7068315089

Sale 37:

Sold for Green Energy Patriot Peak + Duped Overclocked Team Captain + Blizzardy Storm Flipped Trilby + 22 keys

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1532476800/1532736000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198200277421#!/compare/1532563200/1532736000

https://backpack.tf/item/6942767677

Sale 38:

Sold for Duped Green Energy Villain’s Veil

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309178418#!/compare/1532649600/1532822400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112336424#!/compare/1532736000/1532822400

https://backpack.tf/item/6930207231

Sale 39:

Sold for Cloudy Moon Modest + Bubbling Exquisite Rack

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29754956 - No B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013170490#!/compare/1535760000/1535846400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1535760000/1535846400

https://backpack.tf/item/6823843991

Sale 40:

Sold for Frostbite Dread Hiding Hood + Orbiting Fire Hermes + Overclocked Texas Tin-Gallon

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130948401#!/compare/1530921600/1531008000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1530921600/1531008000

https://backpack.tf/item/6671032143

Sale 41:

Sold for Haunted Ghosts Jungle Wreath + Bubbling Plumber’s Cap

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042297359#!/compare/1533168000/1533340800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1533254400/1533340800

https://backpack.tf/item/6359473551

Sale 42:

Sold for Spellbound Powdered Practitioner + 28 keys

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119013032#!/compare/1533600000/1533686400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1533600000/1533686400

https://backpack.tf/item/6299928604

Sale 43:

Sold for 40 keys + Sunbeams Battle Boonie + Miami Nights Tundra Top + Neutron Star Nasty Norsemann + FoD Bronco + Max’s (~19) + Strange Pro. KS Machina (~12) ~7 keys in metal/items

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030343929#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037631433#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600

https://backpack.tf/item/6299928604

Sale 44:

Sold for Cloudy Moon Modest + Max’s Head + Whirlwind Zoomin’ Broom

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29714327 - B/O of 190

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996215628#!/compare/1535068800/1535155200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013170490#!/compare/1535155200/1535241600

https://backpack.tf/item/6823843991

Sale 45:

Sold for Cloudy Moon Modest + Midnight Whirlwind Zoomin’ Broom + Kill-a-Watt Prehistoric Pullover

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29759325 - B/O of 200

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1535673600/1535760000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996215628#!/compare/1535155200/1535760000

https://backpack.tf/item/6481689343

Sale 46:

Sold for Scorching Flames Antarctic Eyewear + 80 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29748243 - B/O of 185

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160297740#!/compare/1534550400/1534723200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036120032#!/compare/1534723200/1534809600

https://backpack.tf/item/7076651449

Sale 47:

Sold for Scorching Flames Pithy Professional + Haunted Ghosts Hat to Kill For + Stormy Storm Le Party Phantom

No outpost

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036120032#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823736236#!/compare/1535241600/1535328000

https://backpack.tf/item/7076651449

Duped Purple Confetti Co-Pilot Mini:

Sold for 2 Death at Dusk Jumper’s Jeepcaps (48*2) + 40 keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29719874 - B/O of 150

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1532563200/1532649600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040186479#!/compare/1532563200/1532649600

https://backpack.tf/item/3340666055

X = 136

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7119120286 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7003962188 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/6942767677 (#3-6)

https://backpack.tf/item/6753330070 (#7-12)

https://backpack.tf/item/6671032143 (#13)

https://backpack.tf/item/6650390181 (#14-16)

https://backpack.tf/item/6588692355 (#17)

https://backpack.tf/item/6481689343 (#18)

https://backpack.tf/item/6299928604 (#19-21)

https://backpack.tf/item/5771438191 (#22)

https://backpack.tf/item/4791011122 (#23)

https://backpack.tf/item/4784668351 (#24)

https://backpack.tf/item/4267826225 (#25 & 26)

https://backpack.tf/item/4254695341 (#27)

https://backpack.tf/item/6925254667 - Transferred between friends or something

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328835671#!/compare/1535846400/1535932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128550841#!/compare/1536019200/1536105600

Sold for 177 keys + ~1-2 keys in items, but traded back a day later for 177 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119349110#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961136515#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197961136515#!/compare/1535587200/1535673600

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1531612800/1531699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232041512#!/compare/1531612800/1531699200

https://i.imgur.com/lHZGKH7.png - Labelled as a 180 key sale on bot.tf

Sold for Amaranthine Dapper Topper

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190186326#!/compare/1532131200/1532304000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991111981#!/compare/1532217600/1532304000

Dapper goes outdated today, and it would be too low if used here.

Sold with 3 keys for either a Duped Polar Pullover + ~46 keys in pure/items, or the 3 unusuals that appear on the buyer’s end

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991111981#!/compare/1532304000/1532390400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1532044800/1532476800

On top of being uncertain of what was involved, there was no visible B/O, so I’m just going to go ahead and exclude this sale.

I’m guessing it was the 3 unusuals on the buyer’s end, because ID’s don’t match on the Pullover, and it wouldn’t make sense if both sides added keys on their end.

Weird bot.tf sale that got traded back or something

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198340634356#!/compare/1531008000/1531180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1531008000/1531094400

https://i.imgur.com/lHZGKH7.png - Labelled as a 200 key sale and a 177 key purchase

Untraceable, sold to a bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041964232#!/compare/1532390400/1532476800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312583107#!/compare/1532390400/1532476800

https://i.imgur.com/lHZGKH7.png - Labelled as 171 keys + 4 ref

Sold with 10 keys for Sunbeams Bonk Boy

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/29740298 - No visible B/O

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002186909#!/compare/1534118400/1534204800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287940798#!/compare/1533859200/1534204800

Can be used on the Bonk Boy.

Bulk for Burning Exquisite Rack

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287940798#!/compare/1534204800/1534464000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1534291200/1534464000

Bulk on both ends

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1535414400/1535500800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1535414400/1535500800

#10

Bulk for pure?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1535500800/1535587200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997252702#!/compare/1535500800/1536105600

#12

Appears to be bulk for a Green Confetti Antlers + other items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1531526400/1531612800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198409022488#!/compare/1531440000/1531612800

#13

Bulk for Green Energy Exquisite Rack

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061586092#!/compare/1531958400/1532131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070474543#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

#14

Bulk for pan

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1532390400/1532476800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134575280#!/compare/1532390400/1532476800

#15

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134575280#!/compare/1535673600/1535760000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234128068#!/compare/1535673600/1535760000

#16

Untraceable, sold for some amount of keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960560834#!/compare/1531008000/1531180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198368868701#!/compare/1531008000/1531180800

#17

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078457532#!/compare/1533859200/1534291200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825959809#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200

#18

Untraceable, most likely sold for keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198825959809#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121830870#!/compare/1534204800/1534291200

#19

Bulk for Frostbite VVF

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963394917#!/compare/1532390400/1532563200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119013032#!/compare/1532476800/1532563200

#20

Bulk for Stormy 13th Hour Bonk Boy

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072725528#!/compare/1534377600/1534723200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174203179#!/compare/1534636800/1534723200

#21

Untraceable, probably keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037631433#!/compare/1535760000/1535846400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975587947#!/compare/1535760000/1535846400

#22

Bulk-ish for Burning Chill Chullo

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253347323#!/compare/1531872000/1535241600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057452720#!/compare/1534982400/1535155200

Should be used on the Chullo.

#23

Bulk-ish for Burning Rotation Sensation

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198127856913#!/compare/1532563200/1532736000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198264117106#!/compare/1532476800/1532563200

Rotation is in-date, but we really don’t need to use this sale here.

#24

Bulk for Death at Dusk Pyromancer’s Mask, then bulk tradeback

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153789411#!/compare/1533772800/1533859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1533772800/1533859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1534032000/1534204800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153789411#!/compare/1534032000/1534204800

#25

Untraceable, most likely went for keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226262240#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157279796#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

#26

Untraceable, probably keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198157279796#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1532044800/1532131200

#27

Untraceable, most likely sold for keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128550841#!/compare/1534982400/1535068800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1534982400/1535068800

https://backpack.tf/item/4254695341

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/KrtwJ6p.png

https://i.imgur.com/z5fmaS9.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6108475197 - 190 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4254695341 - 190 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7076651449 - 195 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6806027204 - 200 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6481689343 - 200 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6823843991 - 200 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6299928604 - 200 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4195752235 - 200 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4273446137 - 250 keys

Sales at:

160 (2x)

171

172 (2x)

173

174

175

176

178

179 (3x)

180 (3x)

181

184

185

186

188

190 (3x)

193

195 (2x)

196

199

203

204

209

230

251

Given the large amount of sellers at, or lower than, 200, it should be safe to exclude anything higher than 200. The pure sale at 209 is a lot older than the other ones we have. Excluding 203+.

The sales at 160 are outliers. Excluding 160.

https://i.imgur.com/XT0RFNx.png - Current buyers at 170 & 173. Worth noting that the 173 buyer was not there for the majority of the time I was working on the suggestion. Also, the single buyer should not counter the many sales for lower.

We have 23 pure/mostly pure sales here, excluding the two that were traded back in the “other sales” section. Based on this, we should be fine to price this with pure sales alone. Even if we were to use sales 34-47, they would either end up:

- Capping at the B/O (applies to sales 44-46)

- Falling into the range

- Being excluded as an outlier

Rounding the low and high ends to the nearest 5 (199 -> 200 & 171 ->170)

Going with 170-200.

Pray to Jarool, nice work!

Sale 24 was dbd to + 69 for trans +4

So 69 keys were added with the TC, and another 4 keys were added with the Trans? That would make it ~190, which doesn't affect the range

Cheers for clearing that up btw

Yeah, in reality it was 65+tc which would be 189 which fits in range. Sale 35 had a b/o of 195, should cap given df ze goggles have sold for 100 pure before and I got offered 45 for AF and 70 for hf. Sale 6 of the item sales was a tradeback. I got the trans for a scorching tossle + adds and sold back for 177 pure

Holy jesus, that's a lot of work. Good job Jarool!

The 2nd sale at $300 appears to be a false data point, clicking on it displays nothing in the table:

https://i.imgur.com/6iRePbb.png

So we have only 1 sale at 160, though that isn't going to affect the range at all anyways, still worth pointing out.