Along with the PE crones I feel this is going to be on the high side for the current market. Most other sales here are from a time frame in which the crones was still in-date, though, and as is not uncommon in these situations, most other sales can't directly be used here anyway.

The moon crones and coffin suggestion, as well as the sale for the chullo are indications that this is very likely still pretty high. Relying on the chullo does not work here (since as said, when that happened, the crones was still in-date, and at the time it was a clear outlier for both). The coffin has nothing else and the moon crones would become borderline bulky.

That leaves the HKC sale (which has the same issue as the chullo sale), aside from the fact that it is not really doable for obvious reasons. Wouldn't even be surprised if that was partially someone overestimating that reggae :P

All things considered I guess this too would end up being a conservative drop. Hoping for something else to come along on the coffin, but I suppose if nothing happens that'll end up being fine.

Putting a note out there that this is indeed very likely still on the high side, meaning Id be hesistant to use this on other hats. (especially if there'd be other indications that those'd be too high).