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Do I feel bad for the guy who bought this for $6000 18 months ago?
Sale 1: 331k
https://marketplace.tf/items/30066;5;u13
https://backpack.tf/item/5523164849
$600 on 2/1
Sale 2: 475k
https://marketplace.tf/items/30066;5;u13
https://backpack.tf/item/5974968964
$850 on 2/26
Sale 3: 363k
https://marketplace.tf/items/30066;5;u13
https://backpack.tf/item/5523164849
$649 on 3/30
Sale 4: using there
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1549756800/1549843200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039558598#!/compare/1549756800/1549843200
beams HKC + hghosts swatter
Sale 5: bulk for scorching legendary
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009426925#!/compare/1549324800/1549411200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1549324800/1549411200
Sale 6: no mini
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198309178418#!/compare/1550188800/1550361600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047831718#!/compare/1550102400/1550188800
Duped Beams Bonk Boy + Vivid Snowmann
only mini on snowmann comes out to at or below buyers: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119013032#!/compare/1550188800/1550361600
Sale 7: using on spellbound jefe
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198181652993#!/compare/1548374400/1548633600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1548547200/1548633600
Sale 8: likely quickbought
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139171368#!/compare/1549584000/1549670400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1549584000/1549670400
Sale 9: 299k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1549756800/1549843200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198039558598#!/compare/1549756800/1549843200
Sunbeams yellow + burning swagman + 65k in items/pure (pro ks aussie sniper included in second link)
yellow indate at 165
swagman at 68.5: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5c843b856780723ec767bad0
165 + 68.5 + 65
Sale 10: 358k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155066949#!/compare/1553385600/1553472000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996215628#!/compare/1553385600/1553472000
220k + cmoon tossle, indate at 138
Sale 11: 400k
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009426925#!/compare/1549756800/1549843200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047831718#!/compare/1549756800/1549843200
-Vivid Rack
-Blizz Crone's
-burning rubber glove
-ge milkman
-searing phantom
-D@D halogen
-Phos Counterfeit billy
-pfetti yellow
-gfetti mining light
-TF logo brain bucket
-gfetti panama
-10k
Vivid rack indate at 99.5
blizz crone's at 88.5: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ca438ec678072740e677ab6
glove indate at 38.5
milkman at 38.5: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ca501bdd381721ee97dbfeb
phantom indate at 33.5
halogen indate at 30
billy at 25
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061275415#!/compare/1549065600/1549238400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047831718#!/compare/1548979200/1549152000
yellow at 24.5: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ca507256780721c430e8f59
mining light at 23: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ca5010d67807218a56c9c43
brain bucket at 13: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135268403#!/compare/1546992000/1547078400 (9k + 4k in items/ref)
no mini on panama, taking 13
99.5 + 88.5 + 38.5 + 33.5 + 30 + 25 + 24.5 + 23 + 13 + 13 + 10 = 399.5, rounding up
Sales:
299, 331, 358, 363, 399, 475
Counting 299 as fairly close to buyers, taking 330-400
buyers at 250 now
Does this affect anything?
https://gyazo.com/7707d8f94930efdbd000712dc03c93bf
yeah
Ranges are determined at the time of the suggestion publish date. 299 was close at the time of the sale happening, so I’m not including it here. No need to widen the range either.
So, if buyers at the time were at 300. and there are sales at 330, that is counted in a valid sale? I mean thats 10% over Buy Order Price, which is generally the equivalent of a quicksell isnt it?
Quicksells aren't determined by percentage of buyers
The 299 sale went really fast. And I'm a bit concerned it's not an accurate sale because of how quickly the hats involved were exchanged. Within a day it was flipped for ~415. You were using it on the HKC, but if we use that here, it would further suggest that sale is low.
There's also not really a great reason to exclude 475 here, is there? I would probably go with 330-475 here.
Because it’s a fairly clear outlier here,
How is that? Sales will now be 299, 331, 358, 363, 399, 415 (beams hkc sale), 475
how is the beams hkc sale 415?
Didn't look too carefully, but assuming everything else in here was fine and mini is 378-395 - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5ca50f84678072264227b76c - then I'm getting ~415
https://marketplace.tf/items/30177;5;u17
new sale yesterday much lower and took long enough, that's why I closed it
Okay, thanks. I'm good with this. Thanks for the follow up.