Suggestion: Green Confetti Airdog at 8–9 keys

Couldn’t find the history of the 8.5 key sale, seems like a buy order sale anyways, meaning we aren’t going to see it pop up in the marketplace bot’s history as it would’ve moved too quick.

X = 11 (capped by B/O)

X = 11

X = 8.5

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/4827816693 (#1 & #2)

https://backpack.tf/item/5033230701 (#3-11)

https://backpack.tf/item/5180048047 (#12)

https://backpack.tf/item/7036100886 (#13-18)

https://backpack.tf/item/6823830853 - gambling/scammers

https://backpack.tf/item/7754555643 - gambling or otherwise unusable

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077370413#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1559260800/1559347200

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198809891378#!/compare/1560124800/1560729600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099652804#!/compare/1560124800/1560211200

Most likely gambled at this point. Assuming gambling involved until the next included sale.

Sold with a key for Miami Nights Tsarboosh

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176535830#!/compare/1561075200/1561161600

Can hopefully be used on the Tsarboosh.

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198176535830#!/compare/1561248000/1561420800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109771976#!/compare/1561248000/1561420800

Sold with ~4.5 keys in pure/items for Aces High Soldier’s Slope Scopers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109771976#!/compare/1561680000/1561766400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112564673#!/compare/1561593600/1561766400

Should be used on the Scopers, if possible.

Sold for Subatomic Head Full of Hot Air

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112564673#!/compare/1561766400/1561852800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383573734#!/compare/1561507200/1561852800

Can be used on the HFoHA, can’t find a B/O here. Will most likely fit in the range regardless.

Untraceable, 3 keys match (seller’s end)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383573734#!/compare/1561852800/1562198400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051844387#!/compare/1562112000/1562198400

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425413352#!/compare/1562198400/1562284800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063372917#!/compare/1562198400/1562284800

Bulk for Haunted Ghosts Titanium Pillar

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063372917#!/compare/1562284800/1562371200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061353482#!/compare/1562198400/1562284800

#10

Sold with some ref for Dead Presidents Tyrantium

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198882518056#!/compare/1566000000/1566172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198290053747#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

#11

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198290053747#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116559834#!/compare/1566086400/1566172800

Most likely gambled, assuming gambling for the rest of the item’s history.

#12

Untraceable, probably gambled/missing a person in the history

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230117828#!/compare/1563148800/1563321600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198953553493#!/compare/1563148800/1563235200

Rest of the history appears to be scammers/gambling.

#13

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198295061570#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154023527#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

#14

Untraceable, only 1 key + some metal match

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154023527#!/compare/1559347200/1559433600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349699425#!/compare/1559347200/1559433600

#15

Sold with a small amount of metal for Smoking Rimmed Raincatcher

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186283845#!/compare/1559779200/1559865600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064858726#!/compare/1559779200/1559865600

Can be used on the Raincatcher, we have enough pure sales to work with here.

#16

Sold with a key for Logo Bloke’s Bucket Hat

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064858726#!/compare/1559952000/1560038400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051972091#!/compare/1559952000/1560038400

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9DJ37D4 - B/O of 9

Same as the previous sale, can be used on the Bucket hat, we have enough sales here. B/O of 9 regardless, so it’s likely to fall into the range if used here.

#17

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051972091#!/compare/1561334400/1561420800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802991149#!/compare/1561334400/1561420800

#18

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802991149#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170924002#!/compare/1534982400/1565136000

Sales at:

7.5

8 (4x)

8.5

9 (3x)

11 (2x)

No current sellers, apart from a strange one for a little more than 8 keys.

Many of these sales are quicksales, but we have no pure sales for higher, so we shouldn’t be excluding them as they are far too common. Will excluding 7.5 as it doesn’t appear to be a common trading point.

Given the very few listing snapshots from bot.tf I’ve added into this suggestion showing several sellers at different points selling for cheaper than 11 keys, how far the sales at 11 are from the rest of the common trading points, and the fact that the sales at 11 keys were marketplace sales, which aren’t a very accurate representation of this item’s pure value, I will be excluding 11 from the range.

Going with 8-9 keys.