Sale 1:

Sold with 9 keys for Cloud 9 HKC (74.5)

The Cone was in-date at the time of the sale, and given I’d be using pre-Crate Depression sales to get a more accurate value on the HKC, it would make more sense to just use the sales from the suggestion.

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

https://backpack.tf/item/7145151193

No B/O at the time of the sale

X = 66

Sale 2:

Sold for DBD Cold Killer (Mini at 42 below) + Blizzardy Storm Soldered Sensei (Suggestion at 25) + ~3 keys in metal/items

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832602199#!/compare/1559520000/1559606400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138858282#!/compare/1559520000/1559606400

https://backpack.tf/item/6375780643

https://i.imgur.com/ZFG2WbL.png - B/O of 65

X = 65 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 3:

Sold for 63 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1563321600/1563408000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198169688188#!/compare/1563148800/1563408000

https://backpack.tf/item/6375780643

X = 63

Sale 4:

Sold for 60 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035694566#!/compare/1566432000/1566518400

X = 60

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 57 keys + 7 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156429471#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832602199#!/compare/1559174400/1559260800

https://i.imgur.com/ZFG2WbL.png - Bot.tf confirms

X = 57

Sale 6:

Quicksold for 53 keys + 7 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057671085#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166314775#!/compare/1561507200/1561593600

https://backpack.tf/item/7145151193

X = 53

Sale 7:

Sold for DBD Anger + 1 key and some metal

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799831856#!/compare/1559433600/1559779200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1559692800/1559779200

https://backpack.tf/item/7773444775

Anger had a sale at 50 keys pre-Crate Depression. Given that’s lower than the bot purchases above, it would probably be better to just rule this out as a low outlier.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1563667200/1563753600

https://backpack.tf/item/6620629709 (Near ID 7945779694)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7773444775 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/6375780643 (#2)

https://backpack.tf/item/3905326790 (#3)

https://backpack.tf/item/2470966845 (#4)

#1

Sold for Cloud 9 Law + 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198314776045#!/compare/1560297600/1560470400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131961959#!/compare/1560384000/1560470400

Was used on the Law. Also realized I made an error on the Law suggestion, stating it sold with 10 keys for the HKC. Oops.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198228991628#!/compare/1561852800/1561939200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080179568#!/compare/1561852800/1561939200

#3

SCM

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198412977005#!/compare/1565395200/1565654400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103197048#!/compare/1565913600/1566000000

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1563062400/1563148800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126373088#!/compare/1563062400/1563148800

Disco Beat Down Cold Killer Mini:

The sale on the HKC occurred before the Crate Depression, so I’ll only use sales pre-Crate Depression. This includes the exclusion of the new sellers.

Sale 1:

Sold for Circling Heart Caribou Companion (Suggestion at 38.5) + Fountain of Delight Soldier’s Requiem

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198832602199#!/compare/1560384000/1560470400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197962091237#!/compare/1560470400/1561161600

https://backpack.tf/item/2417776273

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MX6XDZ1Y - B/O of 42

https://i.imgur.com/aen0ZTs.png - Buy orders at ~3.5 keys on the Requiem, no mini needed, it’ll cap.

X = 42 (Capped by B/O)

Sale 2:

Sold for Purple Energy Hottie’s Hoodie + 5 keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198277409359#!/compare/1559433600/1559520000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138858282#!/compare/1559347200/1559520000

https://backpack.tf/item/2417776273

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0809KQY - B/O of 42

The only traceable sale on the Hoodie involves a terror-watt Glasgow great helm with no mini available. Excluding this one. Can probably be used on the Hoodie instead.

Taking 42.

Circling Heart Caribou Companion:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d67a6f1d381726e4c1ae069

Blizzardy Storm Soldered Sensei:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/5d5ded87d3817245be1caf5e

Even if this suggestion is off for some reason, the sale it’s being used for should still cap pretty easily.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/0v4OLqN.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6375780643 - 64 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2470966845 - 65 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7145151193 - 65 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7146714868 - 65 keys

Sales at:

53

57

60

63

65

66

53 and 57 went to bot buy orders, excluding them.

Several sellers at 65, excluding 66. Sale at 66 wasn’t good here anyways.

Going with 60-65.