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Mini for a Mini, Noice
Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/6375780643
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1635206400/1635292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036647535#!/compare/1635206400/1635292800
103 pure ~ 105
Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10800502233
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102508208#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057299364#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400
Only 74 Keys show, but buyout was 110 (https://gladiator.tf/listings/617797081405ac048c83aa59),
Remaining movement was traded back same day
Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/10800502233
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017434769#!/compare/1640304000/1641081600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1641600000/1641686400
Looking bulk, but seller's bp is now private so can't confirm in compare, excluding anyways since its bulk
Sale 4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800262512#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800
Untrace, and gladiator listings were down so can't confirm buyout, but ~110 keys left buyers bp, which could fit range/support a raise, excluding still
Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/10902538903
Sale 5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198952367451#!/compare/1636675200/1636848000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198856946310#!/compare/1636675200/1636848000
Only the taunt and rocket launcher match, which is way too low considering the BoA went to same person as well, maybe SCM? bulky
Sale 6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198856946310#!/compare/1639699200/1639872000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165629568#!/compare/1639699200/1639872000
Looks like 100 pure
Sale 7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183541107#!/compare/1641254400/1641340800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165629568#!/compare/1641254400/1641340800
Dump to bot for ~76
Last movement was taking out of bot from owner and listing on marketplace
Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/9043105231
First movement was taking off of mannco and dumping to quicksell.store, which is untraceable, then it was transferred between quicksell bots which is also untraceable for whether someone bought and redumped, so starting after
Sale 8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063425633#!/compare/1641168000/1641859200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1641081600/1641168000
Looks like 103 pure, based on what left buyer's bp and the buyout (https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d367afb1494a6dfa08df67)
Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/7836196040
Sale 9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350308765#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390448212#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200
Bulk for Phosphorous Beak, already used there
Sale 10:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390448212#!/compare/1638489600/1638576000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129205357#!/compare/1638316800/1638576000
Looks like traded for Strange Restless Wraiths Bone Cone and maybe additional keys? Can't find any usuable sales for bone cone so maybe better used there
Last movement was putting up on marketplace
Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/7426213995
Sale 11:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131683191#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116264703#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600
Looks like sold for Scorching Boxcar Bomber, see mini for pure sales
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/5378699189
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198816376494#!/compare/1640217600/1640908800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022041768#!/compare/1640822400/1640908800
110 Keys + 10 ref ~110 pure
Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/5026416220
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198730177112#!/compare/1640390400/1640476800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107562576#!/compare/1635292800/1640476800
Untrace
Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/8381583700
Sale 3:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199093497991#!/compare/1634774400/1635638400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046239819#!/compare/1635552000/1635724800
125 pure
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30546;5;u14 - Sales at 259.99 on Nov 9 and 219.99 on Dec 1
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-12-01&site=marketplace.tf
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-11-09&site=marketplace.tf
$259.99 / $1.88 = 138.29 keys ~ 140
$219.99 / $1.87 = 117.64 keys ~ 120
Rest of sales are either untrace, using a bunch of outdated hats, or incomplete compares, but these sales should be sufficient in getting a general value for the boxcar, doesn't really matter anyways. Gonna say this is high/an outlier given all the pure sales of the boxcar are higher than the current sellers at 107 (https://i.imgur.com/WfjW2sq.png), which have remained unsold for more than 1 month, and the fact that the cone was dumped to a bot same day/day after
__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Sale 12:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116264703#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600
Dump to bot
Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/7145151193
Sale 13:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199007627761#!/compare/1638316800/1639353600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1638489600/1638576000
Untrace, also a dump to a buy order
Sale 14:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1639612800/1639699200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199180861116#!/compare/1639440000/1639699200
Untrace, but buyout was 103 (https://gladiator.tf/listings/61bc2a32e452ce3e1c3d8624)
Item 9: https://backpack.tf/item/6960490314
Sale 15:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199148737749#!/compare/1635120000/1635292800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111475184#!/compare/1635206400/1635292800
Bulk for a FT Energy Orb Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher
Sale 16:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111475184#!/compare/1635292800/1635465600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196427525#!/compare/1635292800/1635379200
Bulk for Devilish Diablo Alakablamicon
Sale 17:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196427525#!/compare/1635292800/1635379200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1635292800/1635465600
Looks like then dumped to bot buy order for ~99 (https://gladiator.tf/listings/617b02f8f8a9329078612dff) which was taken out of bot and put up on marketplace before logging
Was then listed up on marketplace and sold there
Marketplace Sale:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u29 - 2 Sold for 219.99 on Nov 23
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-11-23&site=marketplace.tf - Given the instability of Key prices on that date, using the weekly average 1.86
$219.99 / $1.86 = 118.27 keys ~ 120
Given the 2 unsolds at 107 at 1+ months (https://gladiator.tf/listings/61c7913617aeb19021776570), gonna say the possible 110 bot sales, the boxcar sale and 120 marketplace sales are high
Going with 100 - 105