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~91.5 keys
stormy
Unusual Hong Kong Cone Stormy Storm
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Mini for a Mini, Noice


Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/6375780643


Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148511293#!/compare/1635206400/1635292800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036647535#!/compare/1635206400/1635292800

103 pure ~ 105


Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/10800502233


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102508208#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057299364#!/compare/1635120000/1635206400

Only 74 Keys show, but buyout was 110 (https://gladiator.tf/listings/617797081405ac048c83aa59),


Remaining movement was traded back same day


Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/10800502233


Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017434769#!/compare/1640304000/1641081600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1641600000/1641686400

Looking bulk, but seller's bp is now private so can't confirm in compare, excluding anyways since its bulk


Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198800262512#!/compare/1641686400/1641772800

Untrace, and gladiator listings were down so can't confirm buyout, but ~110 keys left buyers bp, which could fit range/support a raise, excluding still


Item 4: https://backpack.tf/item/10902538903


Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198952367451#!/compare/1636675200/1636848000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198856946310#!/compare/1636675200/1636848000

Only the taunt and rocket launcher match, which is way too low considering the BoA went to same person as well, maybe SCM? bulky


Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198856946310#!/compare/1639699200/1639872000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165629568#!/compare/1639699200/1639872000

Looks like 100 pure


Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183541107#!/compare/1641254400/1641340800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165629568#!/compare/1641254400/1641340800

Dump to bot for ~76


Last movement was taking out of bot from owner and listing on marketplace


Item 5: https://backpack.tf/item/9043105231


First movement was taking off of mannco and dumping to quicksell.store, which is untraceable, then it was transferred between quicksell bots which is also untraceable for whether someone bought and redumped, so starting after


Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063425633#!/compare/1641168000/1641859200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1641081600/1641168000

Looks like 103 pure, based on what left buyer's bp and the buyout (https://gladiator.tf/listings/61d367afb1494a6dfa08df67)


Item 6: https://backpack.tf/item/7836196040


Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350308765#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390448212#!/compare/1638316800/1638403200

Bulk for Phosphorous Beak, already used there


Sale 10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390448212#!/compare/1638489600/1638576000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129205357#!/compare/1638316800/1638576000

Looks like traded for Strange Restless Wraiths Bone Cone and maybe additional keys? Can't find any usuable sales for bone cone so maybe better used there


Last movement was putting up on marketplace


Item 7: https://backpack.tf/item/7426213995


Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131683191#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116264703#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600

Looks like sold for Scorching Boxcar Bomber, see mini for pure sales

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/5378699189


Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198816376494#!/compare/1640217600/1640908800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198022041768#!/compare/1640822400/1640908800

110 Keys + 10 ref ~110 pure


Item 2: https://backpack.tf/item/5026416220


Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198730177112#!/compare/1640390400/1640476800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107562576#!/compare/1635292800/1640476800

Untrace


Item 3: https://backpack.tf/item/8381583700


Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199093497991#!/compare/1634774400/1635638400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046239819#!/compare/1635552000/1635724800

125 pure


Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30546;5;u14 - Sales at 259.99 on Nov 9 and 219.99 on Dec 1

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-12-01&site=marketplace.tf

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-11-09&site=marketplace.tf

$259.99 / $1.88 = 138.29 keys ~ 140

$219.99 / $1.87 = 117.64 keys ~ 120


Rest of sales are either untrace, using a bunch of outdated hats, or incomplete compares, but these sales should be sufficient in getting a general value for the boxcar, doesn't really matter anyways. Gonna say this is high/an outlier given all the pure sales of the boxcar are higher than the current sellers at 107 (https://i.imgur.com/WfjW2sq.png), which have remained unsold for more than 1 month, and the fact that the cone was dumped to a bot same day/day after

__________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________


Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116264703#!/compare/1635811200/1635897600

Dump to bot


Item 8: https://backpack.tf/item/7145151193


Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199007627761#!/compare/1638316800/1639353600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1638489600/1638576000

Untrace, also a dump to a buy order


Sale 14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337734785#!/compare/1639612800/1639699200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199180861116#!/compare/1639440000/1639699200

Untrace, but buyout was 103 (https://gladiator.tf/listings/61bc2a32e452ce3e1c3d8624)


Item 9: https://backpack.tf/item/6960490314


Sale 15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199148737749#!/compare/1635120000/1635292800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111475184#!/compare/1635206400/1635292800

Bulk for a FT Energy Orb Pink Elephant Stickybomb Launcher


Sale 16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111475184#!/compare/1635292800/1635465600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196427525#!/compare/1635292800/1635379200

Bulk for Devilish Diablo Alakablamicon


Sale 17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198196427525#!/compare/1635292800/1635379200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1635292800/1635465600

Looks like then dumped to bot buy order for ~99 (https://gladiator.tf/listings/617b02f8f8a9329078612dff) which was taken out of bot and put up on marketplace before logging


Was then listed up on marketplace and sold there


Marketplace Sale:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u29 - 2 Sold for 219.99 on Nov 23

https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2021-11-23&site=marketplace.tf - Given the instability of Key prices on that date, using the weekly average 1.86

$219.99 / $1.86 = 118.27 keys ~ 120


Given the 2 unsolds at 107 at 1+ months (https://gladiator.tf/listings/61c7913617aeb19021776570), gonna say the possible 110 bot sales, the boxcar sale and 120 marketplace sales are high


Going with 100 - 105