event sugg #25, team 7

mini for hellfire lucha

last two months (10/21 and beyond)

MPTF sales: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30658;5;u99

$237 on 10/23

$227 on 10/26

$250 on 10/27

$200 on 10/29

$230 on 10/31

$235 on 10/31

$230 on 11/03

$240 on 11/06

$245 on 11/19

$186 on 11/21

$220 on 11/22

$260 on 11/22

$232 on 11/28

$225 on 11/29

$210 on 12/01

$215 on 12/04

$200 on 12/18

132, 127, 139, 111, 129, 132, 129, 136, 138, 106, 126, 149, 134, 130, 123, 126, 120

some histories from those:

https://backpack.tf/item/4394992435

https://backpack.tf/item/7139138182

https://backpack.tf/item/4369686779

https://backpack.tf/item/6818557737

https://backpack.tf/item/4679191968

https://backpack.tf/item/6359473551

https://backpack.tf/item/7429278974

Sale 1: using there

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1575417600/1575504000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325595749#!/compare/1575504000/1575417600

5d racc mann - blizz brainiac

Sale 2: 128k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198325595749#!/compare/1575504000/1575590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1575590400/1575676800

Sale 3: 130k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042422678#!/compare/1575504000/1575590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061779536#!/compare/1575504000/1575590400

Sale 4: 120k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202273263#!/compare/1576022400/1576195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198867208675#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200

Sale 5: untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294663533#!/compare/1572134400/1572307200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044052046#!/compare/1572134400/1572307200

Sale 6: 140k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1575504000/1575590400

Sale 7: 128k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1574726400/1574812800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198811600841#!/compare/1574726400/1574899200

Sale 8: untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038058146#!/compare/1571616000/1571702400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1571443200/1571702400

Sale 9: 129k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198838447026#!/compare/1573603200/1573689600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198861407846#!/compare/1573603200/1573689600

Sale 10: 135k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198231082180#!/compare/1572480000/1572566400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198153360103#!/compare/1572480000/1572566400

Sale 11: untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198183073666#!/compare/1574121600/1574294400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198979519453#!/compare/1574380800/1574467200

Sale 12: bulked for something

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109671495#!/compare/1570060800/1572220800

Sale 13: 102k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089036412#!/compare/1575244800/1576627200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1576540800/1576627200

Sale 14: 139k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306288794#!/compare/1574380800/1575072000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057437847#!/compare/1574380800/1574467200

Hellfire doctor sack (100) + 40k

caps at 139: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/M0DL7DD2

Sale 15: untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105359319#!/compare/1574294400/1574899200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251805358#!/compare/1574899200/1575158400

Sale 16: 134k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028148177#!/compare/1575158400/1575590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198840760420#!/compare/1575072000/1575331200

Sale 17: 124k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037791567#!/compare/1572739200/1572825600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061082469#!/compare/1572739200/1572825600

Sale 18: 135k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050745352#!/compare/1572048000/1572134400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992258242#!/compare/1572048000/1572134400

Sale 19: using there

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035780190#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117390056#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200

bonzo nano

Sale 20: untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117390056#!/compare/1576454400/1576540800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198823641017#!/compare/1576454400/1576540800

Sale 21: 129k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103785392#!/compare/1575504000/1575590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1575504000/1575590400

Sale 22: 148k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1576713600/1576800000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025018960#!/compare/1576713600/1576800000

Scorching anger (190) + other new hat

caps at b/o of 148: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MGZOL23Q

Sale 23: high

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963348220#!/compare/1576195200/1576195200/nearest

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198033694310#!/compare/1576195200/1576022400

this is 127 in buyers, and 197 in bp prices, regardless of outdated. this is going to be high.

Sale 24: 98k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054342002#!/compare/1572307200/1572652800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126166192#!/compare/1572220800/1572652800

Sale 25: 127k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126166192#!/compare/1575158400/1575244800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114522039#!/compare/1575244800/1575936000

Sale 26: 123k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345201964#!/compare/1574208000/1574380800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161711912#!/compare/1574294400/1574380800

burrning noble (77) + 46

then dumped to tradeit

Sale 27: a bunch of hats

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014728963#!/compare/1575244800/1575331200

Sale 28: 129k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050518375#!/compare/1575417600/1575504000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1575417600/1575504000

second compare

Sale 29: 123k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327078449#!/compare/1574985600/1575417600

Sale 30: 134k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327078449#!/compare/1575417600/1575590400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212866289#!/compare/1574812800/1575331200

Sale 31: 95k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212866289#!/compare/1575331200/1575417600

Sale 32: using there

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075659290#!/compare/1576022400/1576195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156255538#!/compare/1576108800/1576195200

vicious rotation

Sale 33; bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1572220800/1572307200

Sale 34: 134k

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1572393600/1572480000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072164101#!/compare/1572048000/1572480000

Sale 35: below buyers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072164101#!/compare/1573344000/1573430400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198004310955#!/compare/1573344000/1573430400

violet vortex pithy + dbd blastdef + 19k

with seller on the pithy at 55, this will be below buyers

Sales:

95

98

102

106

111

120

120

123

123

123

124

126

126

127

127

128

128

129

129

129

129

129

130

130

132

132

134

134

134

134

135

135

136

138

139

139

140

148

149

Taking 120-140

three buyers contradict, all young

they were quicksold to in previous sales in this sugg

even if they are sold to again, which they likely will be, their buys will support this range.