Price Suggestion
~12 keys
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Unusual Big Elfin Deal Circling Heart
235 votes up
30 votes down
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    No new sales, unfortunately can't find the item histories.


    Given that the sales happened on the same day, I would guess that the guy who bought for 14 sold for 18 (to private inventory, then history goes away)


    To support this, there were 7 CH Big Elfins before, I know this because I had the number of existence of each unusual recorded for a project (from January or something iirc) https://imgur.com/a/KyRL9HA

    This shows that both sales are almost 100% to be on the same history.


    Of course its possible that the buyer bought for $30 and sold later for $24, but logically that feels much less likely.


    Because of how steep of a drop this is, I would probably go 18 flat. If my theory is right, 18 guaranteed quicksold, 14 almost 100% did as well (would of been bought quickly by gamblers so very unlikely it was up for awhile at $24). Of course 18 did quicksell, but given how outdated this hat is, I would rather update to 18 flat and reprice this higher at a later date if 18 flat ends up being too low.

      I agree with Xerg here, 18 flat would be the better call.

      It's gonna have to be purely based on speculation as far as I can see since I can't find the history either, but it's clear that these two sales happened really quickly. 18 flat is more conservative too, so I believe the resuggestion is warranted.