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Mini for SF Bicorne
Long train ay
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/2559620884
Sale 1
https://mannco.store/item/9937
Sold June 17th - $59.99 / $1.95 = 30.76 keys
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199011488010#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1592352000/1592438400
Looked like gambling
Untrack
Sale 3
With a scammer
[b]Item 2[/b
https://backpack.tf/item/7089186235]
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198312837631#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1588291200/1588377600
Likely cash
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114545227#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305494036#!/compare/1590969600/1591056000
Sold for 22 keys 7 ref
https://prnt.sc/t3yaro - backed up by bot.tf stats page
Sale 6
https://prnt.sc/t3yaro - bought for 22 keys 30 ref off Killua Bot
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827124516#!/compare/1591056000/1591142400
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827124516#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1591315200/1591401600
Untrace, qsold
Excluding all bot sales
Sales
31
Unsold at 25 for a while - https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0OQ7D2. 3 weeks now, Debug was unsold at 26 during April.
Unsold at 28 for 9 months
https://prnt.sc/t3yfkh - webcache shows 25 was listed for a while
Taking 25 - 31
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30313;5;u8
$49 / $1.69 = 28.99 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185241815#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198162118669#!/compare/1589155200/1589241600
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0K8LKK - B/O was 27
C9 Cotton + 3
X = 27
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073335093#!/compare/1589673600/1589846400
Added 2 for a PE Airdog (21.5, indate)
21.5 - 2 = 19.5
X = 20
Overalll that gives sales at:
19.5
20.5
22
<22.5
22.5
27
29
31
https://imgur.com/a/SVuEfgj - current market, sellers only 1 key above a lone buyer @ 22.36
I would call 29/31 high due to lack of buyouts + most wanted's long unsold - Most wanted bulk sold his. Despite the buyer at 22, I think 22 is a common trading point with sales at 22/~22.5 (x2), and is supported by 2 even lower sales. I have a feeling the 22 buyer is going to have one sold to soon, which would remove the buy order and further support including 22. 27 is still probably high because of Debug, but because the other sales are buy orders/qs I am ok including a slightly high high-end
I would go 22 - 27 here
EDIT: As I am writing this, the buyer at 22 has gone away. https://imgur.com/a/CqPmPm6 22 - 23 might be better now, though I would wait for a mod comment before re-suggesting.
Given how many sold at or even below what buyers were for at that time I would probably prefer 22-23 here. The current sellers definitely support this.