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Team #4 Suggestion #43
Credits to suRS
1 year outdated.
SALES
Sold for 5 keys + 29.11 refined
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122096342#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198400492976#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800
Rounds to 5.5 keys
Bulk for TW Shako
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078883887#!/compare/1591488000/1591660800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311860283#!/compare/1590019200/1591401600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1586908800/1587081600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200
Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198323414731#!/compare/1586908800/1586995200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069493147#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800
Untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283225178#!/compare/1586822400/1586908800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198837807766#!/compare/1585785600/1586908800
MARKETPLACE
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30049;5;u59
12.18 on April 14 (12.18/1.75 = 6.96 rounding to 7 keys)
12.18 on April 17 (12.18/1.77 = 6.88 rounding to 7 keys)
12.5 on April 28 (12.5/1.82 = 6.87 rounding to 7 keys)
CLASSIFIEDS:
https://gyazo.com/f9da6ef4d7ac0df87f56c96ca2d9a0ce
Sellers ranging from 6.18 to 6.42.
SUMMARY:
1 @ 5.5 keys
3 @ 7 keysCONCLUSION:
Quite a few sellers from 6.18 to 6.42. 7 seems to have been common back in April, but currently it seems 7 is quite high. Excluding 7.
Taking 5.5 keys here.
looking at it after a month, looks like 5.5 is low, while 7 is a little high, even though the other mptf sales are outdated, 2 new ones at 7 as well, so probs okay to include even if high.
maybe a range of 6-7 could be pulled off when the seller ages a little. (up to mod)
classifieds now
https://gyazo.com/ecc1fa9a072aabf4eff834f9c371cbb5
new sales
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020787716#!/compare/1596153600/1596499200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035016731#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199035016731#!/compare/1596499200/1596672000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200
untrace/maybe gamble
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986747837#!/compare/1596499200/1596672000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020787716#!/compare/1596153600/1596499200
sold with 6 keys for?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198986747837#!/compare/1596240000/1596499200
scammer sold to bot
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311860283#!/compare/1590019200/1591401600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1589932800/1590019200
quite a few tradebacks/scammer exchanges here.
https://backpack.tf/item/2383364918
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198960165586#!/compare/1597190400/1597276800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060742533#!/compare/1597104000/1597276800
untrace, might be 6 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984373540#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198960165586#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400
untrace
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126695508#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984373540#!/compare/1597104000/1597190400
untrace/bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126695508#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400
but old buyout was 6.1
https://gyazo.com/f9da6ef4d7ac0df87f56c96ca2d9a0ce
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30049;5;u59
2 for $13.33 on july 31 (7~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-07-31
Heres what I found, I made a mod comment with this stuff a couple weeks ago so alot is the same as your findings:
New sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30049;5;u59
$13.33 / $1.92 = 6.94 keys
$13.33 / $1.92 = 6.94 keys - one is capped by a b/o of 6.4 seen in your selling screenshot (apollo's).
https://backpack.tf/item/2383364918
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400
Probably sold for ~6.2, from the selling ss.
https://imgur.com/a/9LEgIac
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341171690#!/compare/1596492000/1596578400
Untrace bot.tf sale @ 6
https://backpack.tf/item/7957613628
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1595203200/1595030400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1596067200/1596153600
Another 2 likely sale @ 6, first one had a 6.2 b/o in selling, second has 2 groups of 6 keys with only 2 realistic hats that it could of sold for.
Also https://backpack.tf/item/2383364918 from your screenshot sold with a b/o of 6 (also untrace)
So we have sales at:
5.5
6 (x5, all untrace)
6.5
7
Buyouts are far too common at 6, even if there is nothing fully traceable. I would call 5.5 low and 7 high here and go 6 - 6.5. Feel free to take this over, Beaser is lazy and will not re-suggest :P