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Adding a new sale to the range, thanks "unnamed human" and "George".
SALES
Sold for 47 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198274006629#!/compare/1589587200/1589760000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198190688419#!/compare/1589587200/1592092800
Buyout was close enough.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MXX8N1QD
MARKETPLACE
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3035
199 on June 15 (199/1.99 = 100 keys)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-15
Likely this history:
https://backpack.tf/item/5564189584
Doesn't appear to be a buyout for this sale.
220 on July 25 (220/1.93 = 113.99 rounds to 114 keys)
https://backpack.tf/item/4070780699
Buyout was 110
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y5Z3NV23
CLASSIFIEDS
https://gyazo.com/765e12aceac802f3ceee1b5ba0bfff82
Buyers range from 36 to 60.43 keys.
SUMMARY
1 @ 47 keys
1 @ 100 keys
1 @ 110 keys
CONCLUSION:
The market has seem to shifted up for this taunt, buyers are far above the current price. 47 is low according to current buyers.
Taking 100-110 here.
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1157;5;u3035
Just bought the one on Aug. 16th for $140.
Item history; https://backpack.tf/item/8370904615
Unsure if it’ll affect the suggestion, as that is/was technically above buy orders anywhere at the moment
thanks for letting me know, i think your purchase was valid and can use it for the low end here.
right now im just debating if i should exclude 110, as there are 2 new sellers at 100 (they have dropped from 150 to 100 within the past day) https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MLVK3DWZ
edit: with mods help decided to include 110 :P