Using sales from June onwards.

Sale 1:

Sold to a bot for 6 keys + 42 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036591662#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310752705#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

https://backpack.tf/item/7904063415

https://i.imgur.com/LD6CKBT.png - bot.tf confirms

Keys were spent on the Cloudy Moon Blighted Beak afterwards.

The sale after this was transferred between bot and bot owner. They don’t currently link as the bot now belongs to a different owner.

7 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 6 keys + ~46 ref

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269395083#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1592265600/1592352000

https://backpack.tf/item/7904063415

https://i.imgur.com/LD6CKBT.png - bot.tf confirms

7 keys

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30922;5;u3005

$17, June 6th

$23, June 23rd

$16, June 26th

$17, July 1st

$17, July 5th (2x)

$19, July 27th (2x)

http://manic.tf/keyprice/at=2020-06-06&price=17 - $17 / $1.99 = 8.54 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4O93G1LP - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-23&price=13 - $13 / $2.00 = 6.50 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MQ0JXWD1 - No important B/O, probs went to a buy order anyways

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-26&price=16 - $16 / $2.03 = 7.88 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4P0G8R3E - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice/at=2020-07-01&price=17 - $17 / $2.02 = 8.42 keys

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79RKN68 - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-05&price=17 - $17 / $1.99 = 8.54 keys (2x)

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y9QPQEGN - No important B/O

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-27&price=19 - $19 / $1.92 = 9.90 keys (2x)

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4R0X3EDE - No important B/O

https://backpack.tf/item/7904063415 - Don’t know which one this was

Couldn’t find or confirm any of the other histories.

After rounding, we have:

8.5 keys (4x)

10 keys (2x)

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/7297402571 (#1-4)

https://backpack.tf/item/6527440041 (#5)

https://backpack.tf/item/8023495057 (#6)

https://backpack.tf/item/6734630272 (#7)

https://backpack.tf/item/6591210722 (#8)

https://backpack.tf/item/6522764995 (#9)

https://backpack.tf/item/6478471512 (#10)

https://backpack.tf/item/6471815904 + https://i.imgur.com/LD6CKBT.png - untraceable 10 key sale

https://backpack.tf/item/8930675179 + https://i.imgur.com/LD6CKBT.png - untraceable 9 key sale

https://backpack.tf/item/6496593338 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/8436129544 - scrap

https://backpack.tf/item/6591210722 - scrap

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165222762#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

1 key matches, wasn’t unusual prior to this sale

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1593820800/1593907200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087194662#!/compare/1593734400/1593907200

Gambled afterwards

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203811797#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1594857600/1594944000

https://i.imgur.com/LD6CKBT.png - labelled as 7 keys + 1.77 ref

Missing a person in the history.

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1595376000/1595721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092382473#!/compare/1594598400/1595894400

Doesn’t show up as a sale on bot.tf (probably sold on marketplace, can’t confirm).

#5

Bulk for pure

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072157662#!/compare/1594166400/1594252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198298597700#!/compare/1593993600/1594166400

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059718019#!/compare/1592956800/1593043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135299063#!/compare/1592611200/1594080000

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198369343291#!/compare/1590969600/1591228800 - won’t update

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050160312#!/compare/1591056000/1591228800

The thing that left the buyer’s backpack doesn’t appear in the seller’s backpack in fallback, nor does an applied variant appear. Can’t confirm it sold for that thing.

#8

Bulk for Stormy 13th Scotch

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198092048287#!/compare/1591142400/1591401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198095022965#!/compare/1591228800/1591315200

#9

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1591660800/1594339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1594252800/1594339200

https://i.imgur.com/LD6CKBT.png - labelled as 7 keys

Neither backpacks are updating, and it appears the buyer re-sold for 10 keys according to bot.tf.

#10

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279706201#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198879945899#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/A6rFCue.png - 1st and 3rd listing already sold

https://backpack.tf/item/6478471512 - 10 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6802836573 - 12 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8095418262 - 19 keys

Sales at:

6.5

7 (2x)

8

8.5 (4x)

10 (2x)

6.5 is a fair bit below buyers, and isn’t very common. Excluding 6.5.

Additionally, rules state that we can use bot.tf data as sale points as long as there are at least 3 sales at a specific sale point.

https://i.imgur.com/LD6CKBT.png

We have 3 sales at ~10 keys, as well as one at 9 keys in the last 2 months.

We have 4 purchases at ~7 keys in the last 2 months.

These will support our low and high end.

Taking 7-10.