Using sales from the last 2 months onwards.

The Sale:

Sold for 5 keys (IDs match)

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1595635200/1596067200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199020345303#!/compare/1594339200/1596240000

https://backpack.tf/item/6255409637

Near ID: 9047304674

5 keys

Other Sales:

https://backpack.tf/item/8843899996 (#1)

https://backpack.tf/item/7503690050 (#2-6)

https://backpack.tf/item/6270008633 (#7)

https://backpack.tf/item/6255409637 (#8)

https://backpack.tf/item/6253527167 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/6611288190 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/8550829368 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/8355635061 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/7931820342 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/7708585104 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/6330707215 - site bot

https://backpack.tf/item/6501879275 - scrap

https://backpack.tf/item/6493831908 - scrap

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30844;5;u3006

$7.56, June 23rd

$11.05, June 28th

$11.16, June 30th

$12.50, July 17th

$11.10, July 26th

https://backpack.tf/item/6252740040 - only history I could confirm had a marketplace sale. Was either July 17th or July 26th, can’t tell which one it was.

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-23&price=7.56 - $7.56 / $2.00 = 3.78 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-28&price=11.05 - $11.05 / $2.05 = 5.39 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-06-30&price=11.16 - $11.16 / $2.01 = 5.55 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-17&price=12.5 - $12.5 / $1.97 = 6.35 keys

http://manic.tf/keyprice?at=2020-07-26&price=11.1 - $11.1 / $1.93 = 5.75 keys

Not gonna bother checking listings since I can’t confirm any histories.

After rounding, we have:

5.5 keys (2x)

6.5 keys

#1

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166394025#!/compare/1593993600/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1593907200/1593993600

https://i.imgur.com/uojKDsr.png - Labelled as 4 keys + 10.11 ref

There’s also an untraceable sale by the buyer of this sale at 5 keys + 22.33 ref. The history shows it going to scrap next, so the buyer of that sale isn’t traceable.

#2

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037674114#!/compare/1594425600/1596931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1594339200/1594425600

Gambled prior.

#3

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1595980800/1596067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142733199#!/compare/1596067200/1596153600

#4

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142733199#!/compare/1596326400/1596499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145137746#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

#5

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145137746#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1596326400/1596412800

#6

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993686702#!/compare/1592784000/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198826514636#!/compare/1591142400/1596153600

#7

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993686702#!/compare/1593043200/1593129600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255005949#!/compare/1593302400/1596326400

#8

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154518460#!/compare/1594252800/1594684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1595203200/1595548800

Most likely missing a person in the history.

There are two remaining bot.tf sales within the last 2 months not included here. One was addressed in #1, the other one simply doesn’t exist in the bot’s backpack

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198454615761#!/compare/1594166400/1594252800

https://i.imgur.com/uojKDsr.png - 4 key + 11.44 ref purchase.

Sellers:

https://i.imgur.com/429EpyC.png

https://backpack.tf/item/6279786543 - ~6.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/7503690050 - ~6.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6252790627 - ~6.5 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6252972057 - 7 keys

Sales at:

4

5

5.5 (2x)

6

6.5

3 sellers at 6.5, one unsold for 3 months. Excluding 6.5.

4 is an outlier, excluding 4.

Taking 5-6.