Thanks Xergoyf

Showstopper Taunt: Battin' a Thousand

https://backpack.tf/item/8513716966

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1590105600/1590192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118802562#!/compare/1590105600/1590451200

Near ID traced 2 keys 37 ref ~ 2.65 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8465068239

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146484428#!/compare/1590192000/1591747200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051798340#!/compare/1591660800/1592956800

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198051798340#!/compare/1596758400/1597190400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1596758400/1597190400

Untrace and probably bulk

https://backpack.tf/item/8290634791

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1590451200/1590796800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382290208#!/compare/1590451200/1590537600

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198382290208#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210225228#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/7844515196

Marketplace sale

https://backpack.tf/item/6566585193

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161265532#!/compare/1590624000/1590969600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446331423#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

Sold for a bunch of cosmetics and weapons

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198446331423#!/compare/1590796800/1590883200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354786487#!/compare/1590624000/1590796800

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198354786487#!/compare/1592092800/1593129600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448501306#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

Sold for 2 keys and 11 ref. Lower than buyers, excluding.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448501306#!/compare/1594944000/1595030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1593907200/1595376000

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048851745#!/compare/1595376000/1595721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1594684800/1596585600

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1596672000/1596758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000

Sold to bot buy orders

https://backpack.tf/item/6011349724

Marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/5302961195

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198334598690#!/compare/1594080000/1594166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068634500#!/compare/1583971200/1594684800

SCM?

https://backpack.tf/item/5143045464

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140718797#!/compare/1585958400/1592092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164651434#!/compare/1592006400/1592092800

Probs qs, only can trace a cosmetic

https://backpack.tf/item/4852882006

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054191816#!/compare/1591747200/1591833600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846789568#!/compare/1591660800/1591747200

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198846789568#!/compare/1591833600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352457232#!/compare/1591920000/1592006400

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198352457232#!/compare/1592784000/1592956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1592697600/1592784000

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1594944000/1595030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1594944000/1595116800

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/4025183135

Bot buy order and marketplace transfers

https://backpack.tf/item/3073226480

Marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/2907030106

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198968412423#!/compare/1589068800/1589673600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230154020#!/compare/1589673600/1589760000

Bulk for orbiting planets lhomme burger.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198230154020#!/compare/1590796800/1591228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1590710400/1590796800

Bot buy orders, lower than current buyers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1595030400/1595376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1594684800/1596585600

Bulk and untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/2948409657

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198028064416#!/compare/1591401600/1591660800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094679687#!/compare/1590192000/1591488000

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094679687#!/compare/1591488000/1597276800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121830870#!/compare/1591401600/1591488000

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121830870#!/compare/1591488000/1591574400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133830671#!/compare/1547078400/1592956800

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/2842470526

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198299040854#!/compare/1592352000/1596240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1592352000/1596153600

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/2801049330

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199298697#!/compare/1593216000/1594339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1593216000/1594339200

Bot buy order sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1595203200/1595289600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192494651#!/compare/1594598400/1595462400

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192494651#!/compare/1595462400/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051942537#!/compare/1596153600/1596240000

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051942537#!/compare/1596412800/1596499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142733199#!/compare/1596412800/1596412800/nearest

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/2800322152

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1590537600/1590624000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360112360#!/compare/1575504000/1591833600

untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/2709528522

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066171590#!/compare/1590969600/1591920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1590883200/1590969600

Sold for 2 keys to bot

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1593043200/1593561600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079397106#!/compare/1593475200/1593820800

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/item/2697287331

Bot buy order and transfers

https://backpack.tf/item/2696268159

Scrap.tf transfer

Marketplace sale: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1117;5;u3001

Sales:

3 x 3.30 keys

1 x 3.15 keys

2 x 3.2 keys

1 x 3.05 keys

1 x 3.1 keys

3 x 3.0 keys

1 x 2.2 keys

4 x 2.65 keys

3 x 3.25 keys

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Xergoyf:

Bot.tf sales:

Buys: (roughly since key prices varied a bit)

7x @ 2.3

7x @ 2.4

Sales

4x @ 3.6

3x @ 3.65

= total sales:

2.2

2.3 (x7)

2.4 (x7)

2.6 (x4)

2.65 (x7)

Sellers over time

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4WX3W870

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79RK36L

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y79X7KV9

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MNRGV8QR

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/4668LL30

There have been consistently multiple sellers under 3, I dont think the mp.tf market represents the normal item market here so I would just throw those out and go 2.3 - 2.65.

That makes sense.

Taking 2.3 - 2.65