For the sake of being thorough, taking last 2 months

Mini for Orb Fire Rotation

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/8802216186

Sale 1

Scammed, fake bitskins bot

Sale 2

Dumped to bot, excluding sale

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199011488010#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

Sold to another bot I believe, for a trading site, or potentially gambling site, I'm still not sure

Point is, untrace

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199011488010#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1594339200/1594598400

Sold to bot

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1596067200/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126695508#!/compare/1595980800/1596153600

3 keys match

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126695508#!/compare/1595980800/1596153600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1596067200/1596153600

Untrace

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/8246446321

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164896554#!/compare/1591747200/1592870400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047239660#!/compare/1594080000/1594339200

Bought off scm

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/8223902600

Sale 8

Either bought off mp then sold, or taken off then sold

Untrace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/7573058418

Sale 9

Excluding swap.gg sales

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/7447798372

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198273528272#!/compare/1593388800/1594339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873140319#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800

1 rec matches

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873140319#!/compare/1594252800/1594339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866348414#!/compare/1594166400/1594252800

Untrace

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198866348414#!/compare/1594512000/1594598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119169573#!/compare/1594425600/1594598400

It wasn't unusualified here

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119169573#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

Bulk for Ofire Rotation, using there

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059874094#!/compare/1594684800/1594944000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112694132#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

Untrace

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198112694132#!/compare/1594684800/1596758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201660341#!/compare/1593216000/1594684800

Untrace

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201660341#!/compare/1594684800/1596758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199060200511#!/compare/1594598400/1596585600

Untrace

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/7092375999

Sale 17

Bought off mannco.trade, excluding

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/6833762638

Sale 18

Bought off tradeit, excluding

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358296372#!/compare/1594252800/1594339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1594252800/1594339200

Sold to bot, untrace

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276521556#!/compare/1594512000/1594684800

Untrace

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198276521556#!/compare/1594684800/1596672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1594598400/1594684800

Untrace, sold to bot

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1594771200/1595203200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1594684800/1596585600

Uh, moved to owner

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199008475806#!/compare/1594684800/1596585600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448501306#!/compare/1596585600/1596672000

Untrace

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/6732917699

Sale 24

Excluding scrap sales

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/5375755195

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1593302400/1593388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198390674873#!/compare/1592611200/1594425600

2 keys match

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/4974286211

Sale 26

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30762;5;u3006

Taking last 2 months

From 07/06/20 onwards

June 13th - $7.75 / $2.00 = 3.88 keys

June 28th - $7.59 / $2.05 = 3.70 keys

July 1st - $7.59 / $2.02 = 3.76 keys

July 11th - $6.05 / $1.99 = 3.04 keys

July 16th - $7.72 / $1.98 = 3.90 keys

July 25th - $7.8 / $1.93 = 4.04 keys

July 31st - $8.49 / $1.92 = 4.42 keys

Sales

3, 2, 3.9, 3.7, 3.75, 3.05, 3.9, 4.05, 4.4

Sales but ordered

2, 3, 3.05, 3.7, 3.75, 3.9, 3.9, 4.05, 4.4

Current Listings

https://gyazo.com/502f65a6cddef53f5eb0ce8f0e25fe09

3 seller sat 3.53 keys

1 seller at 5 keys

Buyers at 3 keys

Thanks Scourge:

some more sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30762;5;u3006

$5.5 / $1.79 = 3.07 keys

$6.67 / $1.79 = 3.73 keys <--- https://backpack.tf/item/7310066461

$6.60 / $1.79 = 3.69 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280693486#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

Sold for ~3.55 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198280524116#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029074524#!/compare/1597449600/1597536000

Untrace / QS

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118028178#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045187173#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200"

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198420335027#!/compare/1554163200/1598227200

Untrace

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199006427115#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067475387#!/compare/1597708800/1597795200

Untrace / can trace some keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067475387#!/compare/1597881600/1597968000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198241109482#!/compare/1597881600/1597968000

Sold for ~5.35 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066701092#!/compare/1597795200/1598140800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198204863571#!/compare/1598140800/1598313600

QS

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070295449#!/compare/1598140800/1598400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267355651#!/compare/1598313600/1598400000

Bulk / use there

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198267355651#!/compare/1598313600/1598400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067741299#!/compare/1598313600/1598400000

Bulk / use there

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067741299#!/compare/1598400000/1598486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018030216#!/compare/1598400000/1598486400

At least 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198448501306#!/compare/1597017600/1597104000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126695508#!/compare/1597017600/1597104000

Sold for ~3.6 keys

buyers have also raised slightly to ~3.05 keys.

Total sales now @:

2, 3, 3.05, 3.07, 3.55, 3.6, 3.7, 3.7, 3.75, 3.75, 3.9, 3.9, 4.05, 4.4, 5.35 keys

I'm inclined to believe that low sales (3.07 and less) are outliers, and so are some of the higher sales.

Seems like the taunt can consistently sell for at or above sellers, and only sells for lower if it goes for buyers.

This would be better at 3.55 - 3.9 keys.

Going with Scourge here and taking 3.55 - 3.9 keys!