Sales within the last 3 months looked into.

Sale 1:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1709251200/1709337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198931286318#!/compare/1709078400/1709424000

https://backpack.tf/item/4972441803

= 3 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 36.44 ref (~2.55 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283091524#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800 - Near ID: 14070576525 (keys only)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177136435#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800 - metal on buyer's end here

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-01-21T05:47:26.649Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/5404895411

= 2.55 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to STN for 2 keys + 28.44 ref (~2.45 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198930282709#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/item/4953476452

= 2.45 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1707782400/1707955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272232161#!/compare/1706140800/1707868800

https://backpack.tf/item/13985507687

Untraceable, probably gambled. Unusualified by seller.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198272232161#!/compare/1707868800/1707955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198930282709#!/compare/1707782400/1707868800

https://backpack.tf/item/13985507687

Untraceable. Gambled afterwards.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199201937808#!/compare/1707955200/1708041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1707955200/1708041600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-17T05:43:28.308Z - labelled as 2 keys + 6.66 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13985507687

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-18T05:43:28.308Z - labelled as 2 keys + 6.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/13073380313

Untraceable, could've been a bot flip.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/item/12095411427

Untraceable, probably a bot flip.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038135216#!/compare/1706918400/1707004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-04T05:47:26.649Z - labelled as 2 keys + 24.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/9622555337

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198884666106#!/compare/1708819200/1709078400 - no prior compare link

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-26T05:47:26.649Z - labelled as 2 keys + 27.33 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/9494417926

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262134530#!/compare/1704672000/1706054400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199526284857#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/item/7610484880

Bulk through a scrap.tf auction for keys

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198428877055#!/compare/1708300800/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305668226#!/compare/1708041600/1709164800

https://backpack.tf/item/6491629210

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198305668226#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199003971907#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

https://backpack.tf/item/6491629210

Untraceable. Went to a gambler afterwards.

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1707955200/1708041600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261193526#!/compare/1704412800/1708992000

https://backpack.tf/item/6304451256

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198283091524#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

https://backpack.tf/item/5404895411

Untraceable, don't even know if it was unusual yet.

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197987759101#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297455293#!/compare/1607990400/1708128000

https://backpack.tf/item/5387160396

Bulk for Runic Imprisonment Carlton + some metal

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198297455293#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199532563131#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800

https://backpack.tf/item/5387160396

Sold with ~4 ref in items for '72 Party Trick

I looked into the Party Trick, things weren't great there either. Going to use this sale on the party trick instead.

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199532563131#!/compare/1708300800/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084205929#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/item/5387160396

Untraceable, looks bulky

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238073088#!/compare/1706918400/1707264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-04T06:07:58.133Z - labelled as 2 keys + 24.44 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/5354850212

Untraceable, some metal matches

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200 - Near ID: 14131995141

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199601617117#!/compare/1708560000/1709510400

https://backpack.tf/item/4964659470

Untraceable, 2 keys match

#18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199601617117#!/compare/1708560000/1709683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032721186#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

https://backpack.tf/item/4964659470

Untraceable

#19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032721186#!/compare/1709251200/1709337600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199628478681#!/compare/1708646400/1709337600

https://backpack.tf/item/4964659470

Untraceable

#20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199223138846#!/compare/1707350400/1707696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-10T06:07:58.133Z - labelled as 2 keys + 33.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/4954041897

Untraceable

#21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199224832483#!/compare/1702080000/1702339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421652838#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

https://backpack.tf/item/8372160025

1 key + 36.66 ref. I'm almost certain it was 2 keys + 36.66 ref. Even if it was, it's too high here.

#22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099716524#!/compare/1702080000/1702252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262134530#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

https://backpack.tf/item/7610484880

Untraceable

#23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030376160#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1703808000/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/item/7004383651

Bulk for Infernal Weaith Head-Bouncers

#24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093501381#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198999159432#!/compare/1703203200/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/item/6356834523

Untraceable/Bulk

#25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198442162119#!/compare/1704240000/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198356121586#!/compare/1492646400/1707264000

https://backpack.tf/item/5375755195

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/6778709633 - unusualified

https://backpack.tf/item/4985907725 - gambled

https://backpack.tf/item/4953476452 - marketplace

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30762;5;u3006

The only marketplace sale in the last 2 months is much higher in $ compared to current sellers, and even higher than current sellers in keys. Excluding.

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/TLrlV1y

https://backpack.tf/item/13073380313 - ~2.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/14149958907 - ~2.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13624886259 - ~2.4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8372160025 - ~3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/4964659470 - ~3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5404895411 - 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9622555337 - 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13985507687 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/4953476452 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/6483488835 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/5354850212 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12855644583 - marketplace

Sales at:

2.45

2.55

3

These sales are slightly higher than sellers. Using gladiator sales.

Gladiator sales within the last 2 months:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-26T06:17:54.698Z - ~Feb 26th

2 keys + 27.33 ref (~2.45 keys), seen in #7

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-18T06:17:54.698Z - ~Feb 18th

2 keys + 6.88 ref (~2.1 keys), seen in #4

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-17T06:17:54.698Z - ~Feb 17th

2 keys + 6.66 ref (~2.1 keys), seen in #3

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-10T06:07:58.133Z - ~Feb 10th

2 keys + 33.11 ref (~2.5 keys), seen in #20

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-02-04T06:07:58.133Z - ~Feb 4th

2 keys + 24.44 ref (~2.4 keys, 2x), seen in #16

Buyers at ~2.15-2.25 keys, ignoring the one bot at ~2.45 keys, as it's higher than the sellers, and isn't going to last long lol. Excluding 2.1.

3 sellers at ~2.4 keys, excluding anything higher.

Taking 2.4 keys flat

(this is just a glorified B/O drop isn't it)