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Whoa.
Sales
Sale 1: Sold for 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1598227200/1598400000
https://backpack.tf/item/2271904058
Buyout was close.
https://bot.tf/stats/listings/MVQ2OK9W
Sale 2: Untrace/Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015668332#!/compare/1598054400/1598313600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859721638#!/compare/1597968000/1598140800
Marketplace
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/223;5;u29;kt-2
June
$35 on June 29 (35/2.01 = 17~)
https://manic.tf/keyprice/?at=2020-06-29
https://backpack.tf/item/2208528680
This one is with specialized ks.
Listings during the time: https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y806JG7X
Classifieds
https://gyazo.com/1a351b755a80197acd2bd4035257a085
Summary
Sales at 12 and 17.
Conclusion
17 was ksed and too high, past and current seller at 13 both show that.
Going with 12 here.