Suggestion: Burning Flames Blast Defense at 85–103 keys

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Mini for Burning Flames Hive Minder

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/8791783115

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198171672427#!/compare/1598832000/1598918400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106372188#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198106372188#!/compare/1599004800/1599091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198268703524#!/compare/1599091200/1599177600

Untrace

Sale 3

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198344406123#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032806580#!/compare/1602374400/1602460800

The FN Iso Damascus Minigun matches

Untrace rest of the sale

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032806580#!/compare/1602547200/1602806400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996047364#!/compare/1602720000/1602806400

Sold alongside 3 keys for Burning Blast Defense

Using there

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/8768953093

Sale 6

Excluding sales to and from qs.store

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198252483678#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008856914#!/compare/1598918400/1599004800

77 keys match

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/3444124641

Sale 8

Untrace, maybe MP sales

Marketplace sales

None

Sales

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/vab3l7

Seller at 90 keys, 110 keys, 140 keys

Buyers at 80 keys

No usable sales

Excluding sale 16

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032806580#!/compare/1603497600/1603584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1603584000/1603670400

Untrace

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30863;5;u13

Aug 7th - $90.06 / $1.85 = 48.68 keys

Sep 17th - $159.99 / $1.84 = 86.95 keys

Sales

74, 85, 87, 89, 103, 82, 62, 115, 49, 87

Sales but ordered

49, 62, 74, 82, 85, 87, 87, 89, 103, 115

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/vab9tt

Sellers at:

98 keys

$199.99

110 keys

115 keys

Buyers at:

87 keys

https://prnt.sc/vabfjs - buyers have only been above 85 for 2 weeks, buyers have been above 87 for less than a week

Taking 85 - 103 keys

On sale 6, it was actually 12-15 in adds. 10 pure, the l'etranger, and a killstreak festive scattergun. Scattergun had exorcism so value that as you will. Dunno if this changes the mini on the handle at all.

Proof: https://imgur.com/a/gXKdWhH

https://bot.tf/stats/listings/Y30WRZ71

Buyout is 100 keys, should cap at that if anything, will fit into the range, thanks for reporting the sale!

Also buyers above your high end

seems the market has changed quite a bit now with buyers up to 108 keys.

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30863;5;u13 - new sales at $175 (97 keys), $176.99 (97 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050052801#!/compare/1605398400/1605484800 - sold for 101 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1605398400/1605484800 - sold for 113 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067741299#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198087175689#!/compare/1605052800/1605139200 - sold with Hot Claidheamh Mòr (Field-Tested) for 132 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041832347#!/compare/1604966400/1605052800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198067741299#!/compare/1604966400/1605052800 - sold with 12~ keys for Hellfire Stately Steel Toe

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1604361600/1604448000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041832347#!/compare/1604361600/1604448000 - sold for 110 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139370347#!/compare/1604275200/1604361600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097499917#!/compare/1604275200/1604361600 - sold for 85 keys

i feel like 95 - 115 should be fine here. i wouldn't straight up call every single lower sale outliers when there have been so many lower sales.